Current Projects
Lahore’s Air and Punjab’s Environment Spending: Ten Years of Smog
Every winter, Lahore confronts a familiar crisis: polluted air, disrupted lives and renewed promises of action. With billions of rupees committed to environmental programmes, the need to establish what these investments deliver has become increasingly urgent. This report by Engineer Arshad H. Abbasi examines Lahore’s air quality records from 2016 to September 2026 alongside Punjab’s environmental budgets and procurement priorities. It finds little sustained improvement in air quality since 2019, with severe winter pollution persisting. By distinguishing between funding commitments and actual expenditure, and identifying gaps in the available data, the report examines how public resources can be more effectively directed towards lasting improvements. Recent programmes require time and stronger evidence before their impact can be judged. The report calls for independent performance assessments, transparent monitoring and pollution control grounded in scientific and engineering expertise. Its central message is clear: public investment must be tied to measurable reductions in pollution and meaningful improvements in the air people breathe. Disclaimer: This independently authored report reflects the author’s views and analysis and does not necessarily represent the position of the organization.
PAKISTAN RECORDS 83% SURGE IN VIOLENCE AS BALOCHISTAN DEATH TOLL TRIPLES
CRSS Security Report | Q3 2026 Q3, 2026 Security Landscape Pakistan recorded a sharp increase in violence-linked fatalities in Q3 2026, reversing the declining trend reported in Q1 and Q2, with terrorism and counter-terrorism linked deaths surging by 83% compared with Q2. Driving this reversal, with its death toll more than tripled, Balochistan accounted for nearly 88% of the national increase and overtook Khyber Pakhtunkhwa as the worst-hit province in both fatalities and recorded incidents. Outlaws’ fatalities more than doubled and accounted for nearly three-quarters of the additional deaths nationwide. However, the combined death toll among civilians and security personnel also rose by nearly 54%, indicating that the increased losses extended across all three groups, tallied the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS). Overall Tally During the third quarter of 2026, the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) recorded at least 1415 violence-linked fatalities and 558 injuries among civilians, security personnel, and outlaws across at least 385 incidents of violence involving terrorist attacks and counter-terrorism operations in Pakistan. Regional Impact In terms of regional impact, southwestern Balochistan and northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) provinces were the epicentres of violence, with the former recorded as the worst-hit region during the period under review. Jointly, they accounted for 98% of all violence-linked fatalities, with almost 59% (829) recorded in the former and over 39% (556) in the latter province. Balochistan also suffered the highest number of violent incidents in Q3, 2026, i.e. 186 (over 48%), followed by KP with 173 (nearly 45% of all incidents of violence). Moreover, KP suffered the majority of violence-linked injuries, i.e. 376 (over 67%), followed by Balochistan with 163 (over 29%). Comparative Impact In terms of comparative impact, the country recorded a whopping 83% quarter-on-quarter surge in violence related to...
Harvesting High-altitude Currents: How Wind Energy can complement GB’s power supply in winters
The highland sits at the geographic intersection of the Karakoram, Himalaya, and Hindu Kush mountain ranges, which is rich in natural resources including ice bank, snow accumulation and river network. But its energy infrastructure suffers from severe structural vulnerability due to an exclusive reliance on isolated-hydropower plants, which in numbers stands around 200 units and none of them is built on the perennial flow of four rivers. As winter approaches, sub-zero temperatures freeze snow and glacial melting and drop discharges in the streams causing a drastic drop in power generation at the exact moment when domestic heating and lighting demands peak. But the four rivers still flow and make it to Tarbela Dam. Gilgit-Baltistan’s energy gap is both acute and worsening. During winter, baseline peak demand across Gilgit-Baltistan reaches approximately 800 MW against a supply of hardly around 120 MW. In winter, the crisis deepens dramatically, as hydrologic flows collapse, operational hydroelectric output drops while heating, cooking, and lighting demand escalates subjecting major urban centers and remote valleys alike to prolonged blackouts of 18 to 22 hours daily. But the key rivers do not stop flowing in the winters and the cumulative average discharges of rivers including Astore, Gilgit, Hunza, Shayok, and Kharmang stand at around 10,300 cusecs. Assuming a vertical head of 1000 feet, and efficiency at 85%, this flow can cumulatively generate 741 MW energy. One example of an attempt to build hydro project on run- of- the -river is Hanzel, over the past at least 30 years, that has yet to start physical work on its key civil structure. The severe 85 % energy supply shortfall is further exacerbated by the region’s surging tourism industry in the summers. As visitor inflows expand rapidly, local hospitality infrastructure has placed unprecedented strain on the local grid. To keep operations running during endless grid failures, commercial hotels rely heavily on...
Pakistan–Afghanistan Relations: What Next?
Towards Pragmatic Policy Pathways in a Shifting Regional Order POLICY ROUNDTABLE REPORT Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) Islamabad, Pakistan Compiled by Imtiaz Gul and Elsa Chandio ABOUT THIS REPORT This report synthesises the interventions made at a high-level CRSS roundtable on June 30, 2026, comprising economists, development experts, former diplomats and envoys, and regional experts. Introduction As the Taliban complete five years in power in August 2026, Pakistan–Afghanistan relations are effectively frozen. What began in 2021 with expectations in Islamabad of a more cooperative relationship with Kabul has instead given way to a prolonged security and political impasse. The border has remained largely closed since October 2025, amid Pakistan’s conviction that the Afghan Taliban regime hosts and shelters the outlawed Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), which uses Afghan territory to plan, support and launch attacks against Pakistani civilians and security personnel. Against this backdrop of prolonged border closure, worsening security tensions and a deepening political impasse, the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) convened the roundtable, “Pakistan–Afghanistan Relations: What Next? Towards Pragmatic Policy Pathways in a Shifting Regional Order.” The roundtable was organised around a difficult policy question: how can Pakistan respond to the threat posed by the TTP without allowing one security dispute to consume the entire relationship with Afghanistan, and is prolonged border closure economically and politically viable in the long run? Participants examined cross-border militancy, the widening trust deficit, trade and transit, border management, people-to-people ties, humanitarian movement and the changing regional environment around Afghanistan. There was no complete agreement on the roots of the crisis. Some speakers regarded the TTP as the central obstacle to normal relations, while others viewed it as part of a longer history...
Diplomacy, Aid, and Dialogue: How the UK Remains Engaged with Afghanistan
By Elsa Chandio As the Taliban complete five years in power, UK Special Envoy Richard Lindsay has reflected in an X thread on why Britain continues to engage with Afghanistan and what that engagement has involved during his first year in the role. Five years after the Taliban returned to power, Afghanistan’s de facto government remains largely unrecognised internationally but is far from disengaged. Britain, like many other governments, has maintained cautious engagement through direct talks in Kabul, humanitarian assistance, support for the UN-led political process, and dialogue with Afghan communities. Marking his first year as UK Special Envoy to Afghanistan, Richard Lindsay explained why this engagement continues: “Afghanistan’s future matters – to Afghans first and foremost, of course, but also to the region and to the UK.” During his visits to Kabul, Lindsay has engaged directly with the Taliban on Britain’s main priorities, including counter-terrorism commitments, regional security threats, and the rights of women and girls. While the UK considers dialogue necessary, he has stressed that it “must be matched by action”, particularly in preventing Afghan territory from being used by terrorist groups and upholding human rights. Keeping this channel open does not mean formally recognising the Taliban or accepting their policies; it acknowledges that Afghanistan’s political and security problems cannot be addressed without some form of direct communication. Lindsay’s account of his first year extends beyond meetings with Taliban officials. During his visits, he met Afghan artisans, entrepreneurs, radio presenters, and civil society figures, gaining a closer view of how ordinary Afghans are dealing with economic hardship, political isolation, and restrictions on public life. Their ability to continue working, running businesses, and supporting their communities remains important to Afghanistan’s future. His meetings in London have provided another channel for...
Building Climate-Resilient Infrastructure in Gilgit-Baltistan: Indigenous Solutions for Mountain Communities
By Engineer Muhammad Darjat As floods, glacial melt, landslides, and cloudbursts increasingly damage irrigation systems and other essential infrastructure across Gilgit-Baltistan, cement-heavy construction is proving costly and difficult to sustain. Muhammad Darjat makes the case for combining indigenous knowledge, participatory planning, and nature-based engineering to build infrastructure that mountain communities can afford, maintain, and adapt to a changing climate. In high-altitude mountainous watersheds across Northern Pakistan, productive physical and social infrastructure—specifically community irrigation facilities, drinking water systems and other common facilities including small bridges, pathways, village and valley roads, —serves as the core precondition for socioeconomic development. Escalating climate volatility, rapid glacier melting, abnormal cloudbursts, and intensified monsoons have drastically increased the size, frequency and scale of vulnerabilities to soil erosion, debris and mudflows, mass landsliding and floods resulting in loss and damage of crops farmland and other utilities including off-grid hydropower stations. This article discusses the current practices in planning, construction and management of irrigation systems in the high lands. In the mountains people have been using indigenous techniques and local materials in construction and operation of these common facilities. But more recent trends show that development interventions are focused heavily on rigid, conventional "grey" infrastructure, means use of concrete, which has a high cost and is difficult to repair and maintain when it breaks; especially due to floods and mudflows or landsliding. At the micro-level in the mountains the grey structures, when subjected to thermal expansion, soil creep, seismic motion, or riverbank undercutting, these irrigation facilities crack, break, collapse, and fail completely. The recurrent loss and damage of these physical assets due to climate...
Pakistan and Afghanistan Have No Alternative but Dialogue-Based Engagement: Experts
Despite persistent security challenges, Pakistan and Afghanistan have no viable alternative but to pursue sustained dialogue-based engagement and pragmatic cooperation, calibrated security measures, expanded trade, and stronger Track 1.5/ II diplomacy to rebuild trust and advance bilateral relations, urged the experts during a high-level stakeholder consultation on Pakistan–Afghanistan bilateral developments and the way forward, organized by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) as part of its multitrack diplomacy initiative Beyond Boundaries. While opinions differed on the sequencing of priorities - particularly the relationship between security and economic engagement - the discussion broadly highlighted the importance of reviving dialogue, expanding trade and regional connectivity, strengthening people-to-people contacts, countering divisive narratives, and addressing Afghanistan's humanitarian challenges. Participants also underscored the need to involve business communities, civil society, and Track II actors in confidence-building efforts to help create conditions for a gradual normalization of bilateral relations. The discussion brought together former diplomats, senior military officials, academics, business representatives, civil society leaders, and regional experts. Fazal Moqeem, Former President of Sarhad Chamber of Commerce and Industry (SCCI), stressed that Pakistan–Afghanistan relations have significant economic stakes beyond security. He noted that many industries in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa rely on trade with Afghanistan and Central Asia, and that prolonged trade disruptions have led to unemployment and economic hardship. He urged both state and non-state stakeholders on either side of the border to revive dialogue through sustained table talks to help address outstanding issues and restore mutually beneficial economic engagement. Nasir Dawar, Senior Journalist and Tribal Representative from North Waziristan; associated with Wahdat News,...
Reclaiming the Commons: Community-Led Farmland Restoration in Gilgit-Baltistan
By Muhammad Darjat As fertile lands disappear under floods and erosion, community-led restoration offers a practical blueprint for climate resilience in Pakistan's mountain regions. Across the high-altitude valleys of Gilgit-Baltistan, a tangible crisis is radically reshaping the physical and built environment. Driven by escalating global temperatures, accelerated snow and glacier melt have turned essential seasonal lifelines into instruments of destruction. Fertile agricultural lands cultivated for generations are being systematically buried under rocky debris, eroded by shifting riverbeds, or drowned by sudden flash floods. The scars of this changing climate are increasingly visible across the mountainous region. In the Saling and Balghar area of Ghanche district and Hoto village in Skardu and the main Shigar Valley in Baltistan,the shifting, swelling waters of the Shyok , Balardu Rivers and their cumulative flow have eaten away vital farmland including agroforestry plots and apricot orchards. Meanwhile, in the villages of Dain and Pakora locality in Ishkomen Valley in Ghezir district, the intense summer heatwaves provoke sudden mudflows and debris torrents, transforming lush fruit orchards into rocky deserts. The rehabilitation work of 2025 floods in Thank in Diamer, Talidas Raoshan Gupis,and village Dain in Ishkoman are yet to be completed and the new destruction in Molaabad in Gupis and settlements in Ghanche district has started in the first week of July 2026. Further north in the village of Passu,in Hunza district aggressive lateral bank erosion and damage to farmland for decades and the turbulent flow by glacial runoff threatens the very foundations of agrarian livelihoods. Elders say that this old village used to be the settlement of 300 households and the land erosion incrementally forced people to migrate to other villages and locations within and outside Pakistan. A perennial Glacier Outburst event in the village of Hassanabad in Hunza and Hopper in...
Pakistan’s Afghan deportation drive: When ‘voluntary return’ is not a choice
More than 10,000 Afghans a day have been crossing into Afghanistan since Islamabad’s July 10 deadline. The UN warns that fear of arrest is driving people out, blurring the line between voluntary return and forced deportation. Days before Pakistan’s latest deadline for Afghans expired, a holding centre at a government college in Rawalpindi was fortified with barbed wire, CCTV cameras and searchlights. Fifty-five police officers were assigned to guard it in three shifts, alongside Elite Force commandos. Afghans brought to the centre were required to surrender their mobile phones at a verification desk until their deportation. The arrangements offered an early picture of what would follow July 10, the date after which Pakistan’s Interior Ministry ordered the immediate arrest of any Afghan national found in the country without a valid visa. The crackdown is now under way. On July 12, police detained 47 Afghans in Charsadda district and three more in neighbouring Mohmand. The detainees were transferred to holding facilities for verification before deportation through the Torkham border. Authorities in Punjab say 36 holding centres are operating across the province. Dawn reported the first arrests under the renewed operation. At the border, the scale of the movement is even more visible. Officials at the Hamza Baba transit point in Landi Kotal said more than 10,000 Afghans had been returning each day, nearly three times the rate recorded in May and June. In Kohat, state media reported that more than 12,200 families had left refugee camps through a phased return programme. A return driven by fear Pakistan describes the campaign as the enforcement of its immigration laws. The Interior Ministry’s directive applies to Afghans without valid visas, including those whose visas have expired, and requires authorities to submit daily reports on arrests and subsequent action. Islamabad argues that a sovereign state cannot indefinitely permit foreign nationals to remain without...
Socioeconomic Considerations Must Define Pakistan-Afghanistan Ties, Conflict is the Natural Course: Experts
Pakistan and Afghanistan must move beyond a predominantly security-driven paradigm and instead cultivate their relationship in sustained dialogue, socioeconomic cooperation, and pragmatic regional engagement to prevent bilateral tensions from hardening into prolonged hostility, speakers said at a roundtable titled “Pakistan-Afghanistan Relations: What Next? Towards Pragmatic Policy Pathways in a Shifting Regional Order”, convened by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS). Bringing together experts and former officials from Pakistan, Afghanistan, China, and Uzbekistan, the discussion examined the persistent trust deficit, the TTP challenge, border closures, trade disruptions, and the wider implications of strained Pakistan-Afghanistan relations for regional connectivity. Participants acknowledged Pakistan’s legitimate security concerns but cautioned that prolonged border restrictions, reactive policies, and an excessive focus on government-to-government engagement risked deepening economic hardship, humanitarian suffering, and political estrangement. The speakers called for a calibrated policy framework that combines verifiable action against cross-border militancy with continued trade, people-to-people contact, Track 2 engagement, and greater involvement of regional and multilateral institutions. They stressed that geography made sustained engagement unavoidable and that economic interdependence should serve as the foundation for a more stable and functional relationship. Maj. Gen. (R) Inam Ul Haque argued that Pakistan-Afghanistan relations have been viewed too narrowly through a government-to-government lens, while it primarily needs to be seen through business-to-business and people-to-people ties - that bind the two countries - as the paradigm of engagement. He stressed that conflict is not the natural course of bilateral relations and called for socioeconomic considerations to take precedence over geopolitical calculations. However, he cautioned...
TOP STORIES
TESTIMONIALS
“
I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.