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Pakistan Committed to Address Issues Hindering Connectivity with Afghanistan: Special Envoy Muhammad Sadiq

It will take political commitment and sincerity on both sides to steer Pakistan and Afghanistan out of the current tensions and chart the way for a better future. This was the take-away from a day-long civil society dialogue involving representatives from both countries. Nearly two dozen participants drawn from the two countries, also underscored the need for easing restrictions on visas for Afghan citizens, which they agreed, are breeding animosity and negativity among Afghans. The participants of the dialogue, organized by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) pointed out the losses worth millions of dollars that farmers and traders have been enduring due to abrupt border closures and political tensions. These disruptions, coupled with the corruption of officials, hit traders and farmers of both countries. Robust mechanisms and consistent policies can help minimize such disruptions and the ensuing losses, the participants suggested. Intensive discussions centred on girls’ education, terrorism, obstructions in the way of transit and bilateral trade, and visas for Afghan nationals. They also called on both governments to keep politics and trade separate and engage in meaningful dialogue on issues that are of primary concern to both countries. The civil society dialogue took place to the context of a spike in TTP-led terrorist violence and the consequent bombing of the terrorist outfit’s camps in eastern Afghanistan in December. Special representative for Afghanistan, Mohammad Sadiq also attended the session and listened to presentations from both sides. He promised to look into the visa-related complaints and issues encountered by common Afghans, and also informed the audience of the multiple steps the government is taking to smoothen visa processes and facilitate traders on both sides of the border. “Only through mutual consultations can we overcome problems that are hindering peoples’ and goods movement between the two countries”, delegates...

A Year of Narrative Building and Community Development

The historical ties between Pakistan and Afghanistan have not always translated into harmonious state-level relations. In light of this, the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) has established the Afghan Studies Center (ASC) with the objective of facilitating people-to-people interactions, encouraging the participation of youth and promoting empowerment through various initiatives. ASC has undertaken various activities, projects, and research reports to engage youth in track III diplomacy.        

Whose Victory Was It Anyway? The 1971 Liberation War of Bangladesh

In this eye-opening research paper, Dr. Mohammad Zahidul Islam Khan, a retired Group Captain of the Bangladesh Air Force, raises serious questions about the Indian role in the creation of Bangladesh. While Bengalis took credit of liberation, the Indians projected the event as a victory over Pakistan, and hence no senior Bengali army officer was invited to the ceremony where the surrender was signed. A Seemingly Intuitive Question? On the 54th Victory Day of Bangladesh, the Indian Prime Minister in his official X handle (formerly Twitter) posted: “today we honour the courage and sacrifices of the brave soldiers who contributed to India's historic victory in 1971.”1 Modiji’s message, seemingly undermining Bangladesh’s ownership of the 1971 Liberation War raised an intuitive question: whose victory was it anyway? The Bangladeshi polity reacted sharply. Ordinary citizens, politicians, and government executives condemned the Indian Prime Minister's misleading recollection of history and distortion of the truth, further fueling the strained bilateral relationship after the fall of the Sheikh Hasina government in August 2024 and her subsequent asylum in India. 2 Amidst the flurry of emotive reactions to Modiji’s Vijay Diwas message, Bangladesh’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) response stands out as an evidence-based reminder of the historical truth of 16 December 1971—the day on which the Pakistani troops surrendered at Dhaka, marking the victory of Bangladesh's nine-month-long liberation struggle. Quoting J. N. Dixit – former Indian Foreign Secretary, diplomat and National Security Adviser - the MOFA in its social media account posted: “A major political mistake at the surrender ceremony [of Pakistani forces at Dhaka on 16 December 1971] was the Indian military high command’s failure to ensure the presence of General M.A.G. Osmani, Commander from the Bangladesh side on the Joint Command…This was an unfortunate aberration which India could have avoided. The event...

2024 MARKS DEADLIEST YEAR FOR PAKISTAN’S SECURITY FORCES, RECORD HIGH FATALITIES IN A DECADE

CRSS Annual Security Report 2024 Security Landscape of Pakistan’s 2024 With at least 685 fatalities and 444 terror attacks suffered, 2024 turned out to be the deadliest year for Pakistan’s civil and military security forces in a decade. Equally alarming were the cumulative losses of civilians and security personnel, i.e. 1612 fatalities, accounting for over 63% of the total recorded this year and marking 73% more losses compared to 934 outlaws eliminated. The overall fatalities recorded this year were a record 9-year high, and over 66% more than 2023. On average, nearly seven lives were lost daily, with November emerging as the deadliest month across all metrics, compared to all other months of the year. The violence took the heaviest toll on Khyber Pakhtunkhwa which topped in human losses with 1616 fatalities, followed by Balochistan with 782 fatalities. Key findings of the Annual Security Report 2024 issued by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS), Pakistan. Overall Toll In 2024, Pakistan suffered 2546 violence-linked fatalities and 2267 injuries among civilians, security personnel, and outlaws. This tally of casualties stemmed from 1166 incidents of terror attacks and counter-terror operations, marking a grim year for country’s security landscape. Comparison with 2023 Compared to last year, these figures mark, i) an over 66% surge in violence (2546 vs 1533 fatalities), ii) over 55% more injuries (2267 vs 1462), and iii) around 49% more incidents (1166 vs 784). Regional Impact | KP & Balochistan - Battleground Provinces KP and Balochistan accounted for 94% of all fatalities and 89% of all incidents across the country. While KP suffered most of fatalities (over 63%) recorded this year, followed by Balochistan (31%), the highest surge in violence, compared to last year, however was recorded in the latter province (90%), followed by the former (65%), and it disregards 260% surge in Islamabad as the number of fatalities remains very low in...

Why was Pakistan the top-ranking country with Measles (a highly contagious viral disease in children) outbreak in 2024?

By Dr. Masood Joegezi The coverage for the Measles-Containing Vaccine (MCV-I) among children aged 9–12 months reached 84% in 2023, leaving approximately 1,056,000 children unvaccinated. Similarly, the MCV-II coverage for children aged 18 months to 5 years has remained constant in 2023 at 80%. These figures are concerning, especially given the highly contagious nature of measles, with a basic reproduction model for measles (R₀) of 12–18. This means each person with measles can, on average, infect 12–18 others in a susceptible population. Despite the availability of vaccines, measles outbreaks have led to hundreds of preventable child deaths, as reported in print and electronic media. However, Pakistan's Expanded Program on Immunization (EPI) and the Department of Health (DoH) have shown reluctance to maintain a transparent record of measles-related mortality data. This lack of accountability hinders comprehensive policy-making and public health interventions. Vaccine-preventable disease deaths make up almost half of the deaths in children under five years in Pakistan, moreover, malnourished children are especially at risk of severe complications and deaths. Vaccine-preventable disease deaths remain a significant contributor to child mortality, accounting for nearly half of all deaths in children under five in Pakistan. Measles, in particular, is a deadly threat to malnourished children, who are at heightened risk of severe complications. Pneumonia, encephalitis, and croup (laryngotracheobronchitis) are the leading causes of measles-related mortality in children. Has the flood devastation of the year 2022 still shown an impact on the restoration of essential immunization services in the affected areas? However, few research papers have attributed to it. Furthermore, the staggering number of unvaccinated children, 40 million in 2020-raises critical questions about the Government of Pakistan and key stakeholders’ efforts to address these gaps. I am also certain that...

Connected future impossible without data-driven innovation, digital infrastructure and accessibility, warns Daniel Castro

The internet was initially seen as a tool that could revolutionize democracy by simply getting and connecting people online. While it alone doesn’t directly create democratic revolutions, it remains highly valuable to enhance access to information, foster free expression, and connect communities in ways that support democratic values. Artificial Intelligence (AI) should be viewed as a transformative tool, comparable in significance and value to the internet, for strengthening democracy. It provides innovative avenues for accessing and understanding information that matters to us, and the democratic values that we believe in and that need to be appreciated by making them more personalized, accessible, and interactive. AI-driven tools can simplify complex topics, help citizens engage with democratic processes, and promote informed decision-making. These capabilities can amplify the principles of democracy - transparency, inclusivity, and accountability - by empowering individuals with knowledge and enabling broader participation in governance. The notions were expressed by the vice president at the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation (ITIF) and the director of ITIF's Center for Data Innovation, Mr. Daniel Castro during the round table discussion titled Empowering Democratic Governance through Technology/ AI and Media Freedom, organized by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS), Islamabad in collaboration with the Public Diplomacy Section of U.S. Embassy Islamabad. Castro noted that it is very important to understand how emerging technologies like AI should be regulated, at what level, and who gets to regulate. For instance, if the US regulates the development of an AI model that Pakistan is using, that could mean rules being put into place that are exclusive of the voices of Pakistani citizens in shaping them. At the same time, if the US does not do anything in terms of the regulation of the use of technology globally, it could lead to the...

BEYOND BOUNDARIES VI 5TH PAK-AFGHAN RELIGIOUS SCHOLARS DIALOGUE

Introduction The 5th Pak-Afghan Religious Stakeholders Dialogue, organized by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS), brought together 25 participants, including religious scholars, academicians, and political analysts from Pakistan and Afghanistan. The conference also saw notable participation from the representatives of the British High Commission (BHC) Islamabad and the former Chairman of the Council of Islamic Ideology (CII), Dr. Qibla Ayaz. Critical Analysis Both countries face significant challenges related to the TTP (Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan) and other militant groups like ISKP (Islamic State-Khorasan Province). The discussions emphasized how these groups exploit the lack of clear counterterrorism measures and effective border control between the two nations. Pakistani participants voiced their concerns over Afghanistan's role in containing the TTP, urging Afghan officials to take a proactive stance against the group’s acitivities. Afghan participants, while mostly acknowledging the concerns of Pakistan, expressed frustration with the widespread perception that Afghanistan is merely a sanctuary for militancy, emphasizing the constraints faced by a nation still seeking international legitimacy. They conveyed a desire to normalize ties globally while meeting security obligations, which they argued can only be achieved if they receive more structured support from neighboring countries like Pakistan and key international actors.  

CHINA, AFGHANISTAN, & PAKISTAN: CONFLICT, COOPERATION, OR CONFUSION?

October 31, 2024 Organized by: The Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) Introduction The roundtable brought together senior policymakers, opinion leaders, researchers, analysts, and diplomats to discuss the evolving relationship between China, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. Led by Dr. Barnett Rubin, senior research fellow at the Stimson Center, the conversation focused on the strategic opportunities and persistent challenges within this trilateral relationship. The FGD aimed to analyze the trilateral dynamics of China, Pakistan, and Afghanistan in the context of regional stability, economic development, and counter-terrorism cooperation. Participants examined key issues, including China's shifting role in regional peace-building, security concerns linked to the Belt and Road Initiative, and the complex dynamics surrounding Afghanistan-Pakistan relations that require further understanding and engagement for lasting regional stability. Critical Analysis The trilateral relationship among China, Afghanistan, and Pakistan is marked by a combination of factors: economic ambitions, security concerns, and historical tensions. There is a need to explore these challenges and opportunities within the triangular dynamic, underscoring the necessity for regional and strategic alignment, cooperation, and integration. China’s role in particular, transitioning from a stance of non-intervention to one of active engagement, arises out of its pursuit of regional stability in alignment with its economic expansion through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Meanwhile, Afghanistan and Pakistan navigate a historically fraught relationship where unresolved border issues, insurgent threats, and differing visions for governance create recurring friction. Afghanistan’s stability remains a linchpin for regional peace, with both Pakistan and China affected by the ongoing threat of terrorism from within its borders. Yet, the prospects for comprehensive cooperation are hindered by mutual...

Does censure on the disease outbreak data help or damage the control situation in Pakistan?

By Dr. Masood Joegezi The alarming rise of Diphtheria-Corynebacterium cases in Karachi, which primarily affect the throat, releases toxin (formation of greyish white membrane also called throat distemper) and upper respiratory tract in humans, especially in children. It is a completely preventable disease with a vaccine (PENTA—a combination of antigens against diseases like diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, hepatitis-B, and Haemophilus influenzae type b), which is administered I/M as the 1st dose given at 6 weeks of age, the 2nd dose at 10 weeks of age, and the 3rd dose at 14 weeks of age. If a child has not received the 1st dose by the age of 1 year, start vaccination as soon as possible according to the 0-1-6 schedule: 2 doses 4 weeks apart, then a 3rd dose 6 months after the 1st dose. Each year Pakistan has been reporting an increasing number of diphtheria cases, which correspond to the vaccination trends in the children despite having Federal & Provincial EPI Directorates and Districts and beyond field staffing, which is responsible for reaching every child during the special drive and delivering routine immunization to the children from the health facilities across the country. There is insecurity and saving skin from accountability in the health officials who are trying to prevent information to the public on the infectious disease outbreak, then things go bad to worse. In case someone in the system gives breaking news, they will face disciplinary action from the high officials, as the majority of the time our electronic and press media gives the news of a disease outbreak in Pakistan. In the beginning of this year 2024, the Ministry of National Health Islamabad conducted a global health security summit to be the most responsible state and shared data and information on infectious diseases with the world; however, insecurity and reservation still exist in the system. There was a huge outbreak of diphtheria in Karachi in October 2024. Regrettably,  health...

A Proposal to Ensure Pollution-Free Punjab

The author argues that Punjab could achieve clean air if the government prioritized sustainable solutions over spectacle. By Imtiaz Gul Lahore, Pakistan’s second-largest city, has been recording some of the highest air pollution levels globally, reaching a hazardous Air Quality Index (AQI) of 707. Dense clouds of dust and pollutants have blanketed the region, trapping heat and obstructing cooler weather patterns, further cementing Lahore’s status as the world’s most polluted city. The problem is widespread across South Asia, where 29 of the world’s 30 most polluted cities are found in Bangladesh, Pakistan, and India. According to World Bank data, air pollution incurs significant economic costs in the region, with annual expenses estimated in 2019 at $36.8 billion for India, $8.1 billion for Bangladesh, and $47 billion for Pakistan. This begs the question of whether any institutions are effectively addressing this issue, especially in Pakistan, where the Ministry of Climate Change and other entities seem to invest millions annually in climate initiatives, often with limited impact. Pakistan has set a goal of reducing projected emissions by 50% by 2030. However, a recent greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions assessment, backed by the European Commission, showed that Pakistan’s total emissions reached 546 million tons in 2022, up from 307 million tons in 2002. This breakdown includes methane (49.9%), carbon dioxide (36.5%), and nitrous oxide (11.7%). While government-backed efforts may fall short, individuals committed to environmental preservation have emerged. One such figure is Engineer Arshad H. Abbasi, who led efforts to protect the 40,000 Kanals of ancient forest on Patriata Mountain—a critical water source for Pakistan’s twin cities—from being developed. Abbasi is also known internationally for his proposal to demilitarize the 700 km² Siachen Glacier by transforming it into a Peace Park, arguing that Indian military presence accelerates glacier melt. India has...

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TESTIMONIALS

I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.

Soniya Shams

Shaheed Benazir Bhutto Women University, Peshawar