Current Projects

Open Letter to UN Secretary-General Pakistan’s Air Pollution Is a Climate Time Bomb

Open Letter to UN Secretary-General Pakistan’s Air Pollution Is a Climate Time Bomb In his letter to UN Secretary-General António Guterres, Engineer Arshad H Abbasi warns that Pakistan’s toxic air pollution—driven by outdated Euro-2 fuels, stalled refinery upgrades, rampant fuel smuggling, and the adulteration of LPG—has become a public health emergency and a hidden driver of climate disasters He also highlights regulatory failures, corruption and inaction, that allow dangerous practices to persist. Abbasi urges urgent international engagement to help Pakistan end fuel adulteration, upgrade to Euro-6 standards, halt smuggling, ban CO₂ mixing in LPG, and establish independent monitoring, warning that continued neglect will further intensify floods, heatwaves, and climate instability. Letter to the UN Secretary-General His Excellency António Guterres Secretary-General, United Nations Your Excellency, I write to you with a heavy heart and the urgency of a citizen whose homeland is being suffocated by a crisis both silent and devastating: toxic air pollution and its deadly link to climate change. For Pakistan, climate change is no longer a distant threat—it is a lived nightmare. Each year, our skies darken, our summers grow hotter, and our floods become more catastrophic. Cloudbursts strike with unprecedented ferocity, unleashing floods and landslides across Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, Karachi, and Azad Jammu & Kashmir. These are not natural accidents but man-made disasters, fueled by pollution, smuggling, and corruption. The science is undeniable. Pakistan’s air is among the dirtiest in the world. IQAir data (2013–2024) shows Lahore—once celebrated as the “city of gardens”—reduced to the “city of smog,” with winter PM2.5 levels 25 times above WHO safety limits. Karachi, Islamabad, Peshawar, and Faisalabad suffer similarly. This is not only destroying the health of our children but also destabilizing our climate. Polluted air, laden with aerosols, alters...

The Jewel That Never Shone: Gwadar’s Twelve-Year Betrayal

By Engineer Arshad H Abbasi It is a bitter tragedy that last week, the Prime Minister of Pakistan was finally compelled to take serious notice of Gwadar — a port once promised to be the crown jewel of global maritime trade — still crippled by the absence of the most necessary necessities: water and electricity. Without these, even the humblest check post cannot endure. It is now carved into the sorrowful record of our nation’s history — the Planning Commission (PC) and the Ministry of Power have, after twelve long years, utterly failed to breathe life into the dream of Gwadar Port. Not only have they abandoned the promise of its development, but they have also failed in the most basic duty — to give its people electricity and water. On July 5th, 2013, under the blazing lights of Beijing, the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) was signed with great ceremony. It was hailed as the dawn of a new age for Pakistan. Our planners stood tall, declaring themselves among the finest minds in the world, assuring the nation that they would design and execute every project with unmatched skill. So from the outset, China has vested Pakistan with full authority over planning all CPEC projects. But those bold words have rotted in the air. Twelve years have passed since that day. Twelve years of grand, colourful presentations, of fine speeches in plush conference rooms and glittering five-star hotels, mostly in Islamabad. Year after year, the same phrases have been repeated — that Gwadar’s development is a “strategic priority,” that its commercial, political, socio-economic, defence, and regional connectivity benefits are beyond measure, that it must be developed “without further delay.” The Planning Commission’s master plan, launched with pomp in Islamabad, promised motorways, expressways, national and urban railways, high-speed fibre-optic networks, and complete urban and social infrastructure linking Gwadar to Central Asia. In their dazzling visions, Gwadar would be...

The Circuit of Debt: A Tragic Tale of Lost Opportunity

By Engineer Arshad H Abbasi In 2006, Pakistan quietly entered one of the most serious crises in its economic history. It wasn't caused by war, invasion, or natural disaster. No tanks were rolling across borders or cities brought to ruin by bombs. Instead, it was an invisible storm—unfolding across spreadsheets, utility bills, and financial ledgers. They called it Circular Debt. This debt, a growing web of unpaid energy bills, mounting subsidies, and inefficiencies across the power and gas sectors, began draining the lifeblood from the country’s energy system. It moved silently through the institutions—NEPRA, CPPA, NTDC, WAPDA—crippling operations, stalling investments, and ultimately threatening national sovereignty. By 2021, it had surged past Rs 2.28 trillion. This was the battle I—Engineer Arshad H. Abbasi—was reluctantly pulled into once again. Despite my worsening financial condition and limited resources, my old friends, Imtiaz Gul (CEO of CRSS) and Engineer Jabbar, kept urging me to step forward. They knew my history in public service and my lifelong commitment to Pakistan’s energy sector. They also knew that I believed in solving problems through evidence, logic, and hard work—not slogans or politics. At their insistence, I wrote a letter to the Chief of Army Staff (COAS) on October 3, 2021, urging direct intervention. We believed that no civil institution had the authority or will to fix the circular debt crisis. And to our surprise, the letter didn’t vanish into a void. A few days later, I was invited to present my solutions to a technical team working under the guidance of GHQ. Engineer Jabbar later joined me, bearing the cost of his own travel, not once but several times. We held numerous sessions in Rawalpindi—usually near the Pearl Continental Hotel—and we presented a comprehensive, data-driven plan to address the circular debt problem. The seriousness of the military team gave us some hope, and for a while, the financial burden we were shouldering...

Pakistan’s Hydrocarbons & President Donald Trump’s Promise of Investment

President Donald Trump’s announcement on investment in Pakistan’s shale gas reserves has revived a subject that the Center for Resarch and Security Studies- a private think tank – had addressed several years ago through a HELP report, authored by Engineer Arshad H. Abbasi. This report was the first premier national inventory on Oil & Gas. Alongside his groundbreaking Shale Gas Report, it became one of the most sought-after documents globally CRSS takes pride in having touched on an issue that has now finally caught the attention of the US President and the American oil/gas industry. Matrix is reproducing this report HELP for the benefit of those interested in the subject. https://crss.pk/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Hydrocarbon-Exploration-and-Licensing-Policy-.pdf

Afghanistan’s Peace and Economic Development Is a Shared Regional Responsibility, Not Charity: Scholars

Tashkent/Islamabad: Afghanistan’s stability is a regional imperative that demands a coordinated, principled, and inclusive response. At a multistakeholder dialogue hosted by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS), Islamabad in collaboration with the Institute for Advanced International Studies (IAIS), Tashkent, on July 23–24, 2025, participants emphasized that peace and economic recovery in Afghanistan must not be treated as charity or a political burden, but as a shared moral and strategic responsibility. They underscored that regional stability hinges on inclusive education, collective security, and cross-border cooperation rooted in mutual interest, not exceptionalism. The two-day dialogue held in Tashkent, “Building Bridges: Regional Dialogue for Peace and Development”, brought together scholars and policy experts from Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, and Egypt. Discussions focused on inclusive education, addressing the misinterpretation of religion, and developing practical frameworks for sustained regional cooperation rooted in mutual benefit and long-term peacebuilding. Participants emphasized the need for greater regional synergy to promote trade, inclusive economic development, and coordinated responses to shared challenges such as refugee displacement, drug trafficking, and terrorism. They unanimously reaffirmed that education is both a sacred Islamic right and a regional necessity, especially in the light of the ban on girls’ education in Afghanistan. “Women’s education is an absolutely essential element for socio-economic development. Universities must serve not just as centres of knowledge, but as bridges between communities and countries, and scholars hold the sacred responsibility of opening minds and gatekeeping societies against negative influence”, said Dr. Qibla Ayaz, former Chairperson of Pakistan’s Council of Islamic Ideology. Speakers also warned that the instrumentalization of religion by non-state actors continues to erode...

PAKISTAN WITNESSED PROMISING TRENDS IN ITS SECURITY LANDSCAPE FOR Q2, 2025 INCLUDING 32% DECLINE IN VIOLENCE

CRSS SECURITY REPORT - Q2, 2025 With at least 615 fatalities and 388 injuries - among civilians, security personnel, and outlaws - in about 273 incidents of violence, including terror attacks and counter-terror operations, Pakistan witnessed a nearly 32% decline in overall violence, and several other promising trends in its security landscape for the second quarter of 2025, according to the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS). These include: i) Fatalities dropping from 900 in Q1 to 615 in Q2, 2025, a metric behind the reported 32% reduction in violence.ii) The fatalities suffered by security personnel and civilians combined (282) were still less than the total number of outlaws’ fatalities recorded (333) – amounting to over 15% less comparative losses among civilians and security officials, iii) Around 32% and 40% less violence recorded in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) and Balochistan provinces, respectively, compared to Q1. Violence-linked fatalities dropped from 567 to 389 in KP, and from 317 to 190 in Balochistan, indicating a possible strategic breakthrough on the back of a pro-active hunt-neutralise-capture campaign While the terrorism and insurgency-induced violence receded in these conflict-hit provinces, both regions continued to bear the brunt of violence, accounting for over 94% of the total fatalities and 93% incidents of violence recorded in this quarter. The TTP continued to lead the violence in KP, and Balochistan remained a parallel epicenter of unrest, marked by a deadly mix of separatist militancy and targeted violence, particularly against state forces. The spread of militancy into previously calmer areas is also concerning. Pakistan’s largest province of Punjab, on the other hand, witnessed an alarming trend, recording a surge in fatalities by 162%, though the number of fatalities was low; from 8 in Q1 to 21 in Q2, 2025. Notably, Azad Jammu & Kashmir, which reported zero fatalities in Q1, recorded 6 deaths in Q2. Islamabad and Sindh...

Iran’s Strategic Resistance and the Emerging Threat to Pakistan

By Imtiaz Gul Iran’s response to Israeli aggression has redrawn the contours of modern conflict in the region, where missiles are only part of the story. For Pakistan, the real threat may lie in the invisible war already underway. The recent ceasefire between Iran and Israel marked the end of a brief but consequential confrontation, one that unfolded not just on the battlefield but across cyber domains, diplomatic arenas, and intelligence networks. While the immediate hostilities may have ceased, the shockwaves they triggered are only beginning to reach countries like Pakistan, which must now confront a rapidly evolving security landscape. This was not merely another Middle Eastern skirmish. It was a direct challenge to the established regional order, exposing not only the vulnerabilities of traditional military alliances but also the silent war unfolding beneath the surface, involving drones, data, and deeply embedded espionage networks. A Heavy Toll and Unshaken Resolve Iran is currently engaged in a comprehensive post-conflict assessment. The country suffered grave losses, both in human terms and in critical infrastructure, particularly its drone and defense production capabilities. Over 600 people were killed, including senior military commanders, nuclear scientists, intelligence operatives, and civilians. Despite these staggering losses and the overwhelming pressure from the United States and Israel, Iran did not buckle. Instead, it responded forcefully. The Israeli perception of security was punctured by a massive Iranian missile barrage, which reportedly bypassed Israel’s defense systems and led to an American-mediated ceasefire after 12 days of intense confrontation. The Illusion of Invincibility Shattered Though figures like Donald Trump have claimed that Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility was decimated, credible observers argue there is no concrete evidence of such irreversible damage. More importantly, the myth of Israeli military invincibility, carefully...

Iranian Military Officials / Scientists killed So Far

Israeli military targeted Iran’s nuclear scientist and military sites and Iran vows painful and bitter revenge. As expected, Israel launched widespread strikes across Iran Friday morning, reportedly targeting nuclear facilities and military sites, including in Tehran, Natanz, Tabriz, and Isfahan. Israel stated the operation aimed to "roll back the Iranian threat to Israel's very survival." This attack reportedly involved over 200 fighter jets. Iranian state media confirmed the deaths of several senior Iranian military commanders and nuclear scientists. This includes: Maj. Gen. Mohammad Bagheri: Chief of Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces. Gen. Hossein Salami: Chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Gen. Gholam Ali Rashid: Senior IRGC commander and head of the central headquarters of the Iranian military. Fereydoon Abbasi: Nuclear scientist and former head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization. Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi: Nuclear scientist. Abdolhamid Minoucher: Nuclear scientist. Other unnamed senior figures of the Iranian General Staff and leaders of the nuclear program were also reportedly eliminated. Prior to these recent strikes, there have been other assassinations attributed to Israel: Mohsen Fakhrizadeh (November 2020): Iran's top nuclear scientist. Col. Sayad Khodayee (May 2022): An officer in Iran's Revolutionary Guard. Ayoub Entezari (May 2022): Aeronautical engineer. Kamran Aghamolaei (May 2022): Geologist. Razi Mousavi (December 2023): Senior Iranian general in Syria. Brigadier General Sadegh Omidzadeh (January 2024): Intelligence officer with the IRGC Quds Force. Brigadier General Mohammad Reza Zahedi (April 2024): Killed in an Israeli airstrike on the Iranian Embassy complex in Damascus, along with other IRGC officers. Ismail Haniyeh, the political leader of Hamas, and Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah, were also killed in Israeli attacks. Ismail Haniyeh: Was assassinated on July 31, 2024, in Tehran, Iran, by what was described as...

Tapping Trouble: India’s Canal Expansion Threatens Indus Waters Treaty

By Engineer Arshad H. Abbasi India's canal expansion plan sparks water war fears as Pakistan warns of treaty violation and agricultural collapse. On May 16th, five Reuters journalists revealed a grim and deeply troubling report: India is allegedly considering a drastic measure to curtail Pakistan’s water supply by expanding the Indus River infrastructure. At the heart of this alarming development is a proposal to double the length of the Ranbir Canal on the River Chenab—from its current 60 kilometers to a staggering 120 kilometers. This move appears to be a calculated strategy to choke the vital flow of water from the Indus Basin to Pakistan, a lifeline for millions downstream. Is India’s action essentially an open declaration of its intent to unilaterally revoke the Indus Waters Treaty? With plans to increase the canal’s water-carrying capacity from 40 cubic meters per second (1,400 cusecs) to 150 cubic meters per second (5,300 cusecs), this initiative could deal a devastating blow to Pakistan’s water reserves. Simple calculations underscore the scale of the potential loss: the average flow in the Chenab River where the canal originates is approximately 28,000 cusecs. By diverting such a significant volume, Pakistan’s water supply from the Chenab could plummet by nearly 20%. Quantitatively, this translates to an annual loss exceeding 5 million acre-feet (MAF) of water—valued at an estimated $10 billion on the global market. Such a reduction would not only deplete Pakistan’s already-stressed water resources but also devastate Punjab province, the nation’s agricultural heartland. Punjab, which contributes 68% of Pakistan’s annual food grain production, stands on the precipice of an agricultural and economic disaster. While India has long utilized the Ranbir Canal—a 19th-century irrigation channel predating the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty (IWT)—such a significant expansion raises serious questions about compliance with the treaty’s limitations. Annexure C of the IWT...

Afghan Deportations (Situational Update April – May 2025)

By Elsa Imdad In April 2025 alone, approximately 144,000 Afghans returned to Afghanistan from Pakistan, including nearly 30,000 who were deported. For many, this journey was not a return home, but an arrival into the unknown. Some had fled decades ago; others were born and raised in Pakistan and have never set foot on Afghan soil. They crossed borders with little more than the clothes on their backs, uncertain about where they would go or how they would survive. This mass movement comes amid the intensified enforcement of Pakistan’s Illegal Foreigners Repatriation Plan (IFRP), particularly its second phase. The plan, initially set to expel undocumented Afghans and Afghan Citizen Card (ACC) holders by March 31, was extended twice – first to April 10, then to April 30 – before officials declared there would be no further delays. As the deadline expired, border points such as Torkham and Spin Boldak saw thousands pouring across daily. According to a UNHCR update, more than 118,400 Afghans returned to Afghanistan between April 1 and 23. The overwhelming majority—72 percent—were undocumented, followed by 23 percent ACC holders and only 5 percent holding valid Proof of Registration (PoR) cards. In the third week of April alone, over 31,600 individuals crossed back into Afghanistan through the two main border crossings. Of these, 88 percent were undocumented or ACC holders, highlighting the scale of informal residency among Afghans in Pakistan. Deportations during this period accounted for around 12 percent, continuing a trend that began in late 2023. The crackdown has also led to a significant number of arrests. In April, approximately 18,800 Afghans were arrested and detained, primarily in the provinces of Punjab and Balochistan, further increasing the vulnerability of this population. UNHCR spokesperson Babar Baloch warned of the grave humanitarian implications of this mass return: “The arrival of more than a quarter of a million Afghans from Pakistan and Iran in one...

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TESTIMONIALS

I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.

Soniya Shams

Shaheed Benazir Bhutto Women University, Peshawar