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Pakistan Conflict Tracker Weekly Report (August 24 – 30, 2012)

The persistent wave of violence swelled significantly across Pakistan during the current week. The cross-border attacks by the Afghanistan-based militants on security check posts in the Salarzai area of Bajaur Agency and the subsequent clashes between military and militants, ongoing military operation in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) and Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) and the unrelenting wave of target killings in Karachi (Sindh)--- rocked Pakistan during the week. The data collected (throughten newspapers that CRSS uses as the source) suggests that as many as 247 persons perished as a result of 69 incidents of violence across the country during the reported week (for detailssee data sheet).These violent incidents also left 115 people injured across the country. During the current week, militants bore the major brunt of violence---, wherein 56 percent of the total casualties were of the militants. Numerically speaking 139 militants were dead as a result of violent clashes across Pakistan. The second highest number of deaths was ofcivilians, wherein 78 civilians got killed and 66 others wounded under different circumstances. Furthermore, three CIA operated drone strikeswere recorded during the course of the week, killing 18 suspected militants and injuring another 17 in different areas of Shawal valley, North Waziristan Agency (FATA). Militants also blew up an under construction government girls– school in Swabi district (KP). Moreover sectarian violence continued unabated across the country as three sectarian attacks left five Shia men dead and another two injured in Quetta (Balochistan) and Karachi (Sindh). Moreover, deaths due to the deadly wave of target killings dropped by 16 percent, (22 percent against last week 38 percent) during the current week. Overall, 67 percent of the total violent attacks wereoftarget killingin nature.The trend also underlines that the target killing adamantly remains the weapon of choice in the hands of miscreants to inflict...

Pakistan Conflict Tracker Weekly Report (August 17 – 23, 2012)

The raging wave of violence further surged across Pakistan during the current week. Meanwhile, the spree of target killings in Karachi (Sindh), clashes between military and militants in Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) and series of deadly attacks against members of the Shia sect, continued to make Pakistan toil and bleed during the week. The data collected (throughten newspapers that CRSS uses as the source) suggests that as many as 121 persons decimated as a result of 38 incidents of violence across the country during the reported week (for detailssee data sheet).These violent incidents also left 83 people injured. During the current week, civilians were the prime target of violent actors, as 60 civilians were shot dead and another 58 injured across Pakistan. The second highest number of fatalities were ofmilitants, where as many as52 militants got killed and 22 others were wounded under different circumstances. Furthermore, against the backdrop of fragile lull in drone strikes during the past two weeks; a considerable spike inCIA operated drone strikeswas recorded during the course of the week, as four CIA operated drone strikes left 29 suspected militants dead and another 13 injured in different areas of North Waziristan Agency (FATA) this week. No significant sabotage attack was reported in any part of the country; however militants blew up a government boys– high school in Shabqadar tehsil of Charsadda district (KP). Casualties due to the recurrent wave of sectarian violence rose sharply during the week, as three sectarian attacks left 27 Shia men dead in Babusar top (KP), Quetta (Balochistan) and Karachi (Sindh). Moreover, deaths due to the relentless wave of target killings also increased by 15 percent, (38 percent against last week 23 percent) during the current week. Overall, 55 percent of the total violent attacks wereoftarget killingin nature.The trend also underlines that the target killing remains the preferred weapon in the hands of...

The Drone Outrage

The latest rain of Hellfire missiles fired off CIA-operated drones on targets in Waziristan, in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas(FATA), offer Pakistan another excuse to protest the series of attacks that have killed some three dozen people between August 19 to August 24. The latest string of these multiple strikes on Friday, August 24, left at least 18 people dead, reportedly including either Badruddin Haqqani, the younger brother of the head of the Haqqani Network, Sirajuddin, or a younger member of the family[i]. Only 24 hours earlier, August 23, Pakistani officials had lodged a formal protest to the US on North Warziristan drone attacks[ii]. Pakistan maintains that such strikes not only violate international laws but also its territorial sovereignty. During the current year so far, the CIA has operated as many as 32 lethal drone strikes. A cursory breakdown of these strikes suggests that some 14 were directed against the Haqqani Network, nine against Hafiz Gul Bahadur, a North Waziristan-based warlord considered the mainstay support for the Haqqani Network and Al Qaeda fighters, three against Maulvi Nazir (Wana, South Waziristan), about six aimed at the TTP warlord Hakeemullah Mehsud and 5 for other splinters of Taliban, largely known as Punjabi Taliban. On the face of it, the intensification underlines a revival of intelligence-sharing between the US and Pakistani institutions. One indicator for that is a drone strike in the region between Pakistan's Bajaur agency and the eastern Afghan Kunar province, which anti-Pakistan TTP is reportedly using for attacks on Pakistani security posts. The death in a US-Afghan attack on the Afghan soil of Mulla Dadullah, the head of the Bajaur agency TTP, over the weekend, and raging border region skirmishes between the TTP and Pakistani military also point to the possible resumption of tactical contacts between forces on both sides of the Durand Line.   Constellation of Militants The TTP has also vowed revenge for...

Pakistan Conflict Tracker Weekly Report (August 10 – 16, 2012)

The overall level of violence escalated substantially across Pakistan during the week. Meanwhile, the spree of target killings in Karachi (Sindh), military-militants– clashes in Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) and series of bomb blasts rocked Pakistan during the week. The data collected (throughten newspapers that CRSS uses as the source) suggests that as many as 115 persons fell prey to 50 incidents of violence across the country during the reported week (for detailssee data sheet).These violent incidents also left 116 people injured across the country. Contrary to the preceding two weeks, wherein civilians endured the maximum loss, militants bore the major brunt of the ongoing violence across the country. Sixty militants got killed and another fourteen injured under different circumstances. The second highest number of casualties were ofcivilians, wherein, as many as,44 civilians were killed and 51 others got wounded. Furthermore, like the previous week noCIA operated drone strikewas reported in any part of the country. Moreover, sabotage attacks by the miscreants once again picked up during the reporting week as two power pylons and a portion of railway track was blown up by the miscreants in KP and Balochistan provinces respectively. Militants also blew up a government primary school in Mardan district (KP). Unlike the preceding week, three sectarian attacks were witnessed during this week, wherein three activists of Sunni Tehrik (ST) and a Shia man were killed in different areas of Karachi (Sindh). Moreover, casualties due to the relentless wave of target killings were down by five percent. Overall, 44 percent of the total violent attacks wereoftarget killingin nature.The trend also suggests that the target killing remains responsible for the most number of deaths in the ongoing violent conflicts around the country (seethe pie chart below). Furthermore, data shows that of the total 22 incidents of target killings, a staggering 63 percent took place...

Pakistan Conflict Tracker Weekly Report (August 03 – 09, 2012)

The overall level of violence and the consequent fatalities subsided significantly across Pakistan during the current week. However, the largest metropolis and the busiest harbor city of the country, Karachi, continued to seethe under the ethno-political violence perpetrated by the warring factions ´ wherein 22 people were butchered during the course of current week. The data collected (throughten newspapers that CRSS uses as the source) suggests that as many as 64 persons fell prey to the 34 incidents of violence across the country during the reported week (for detailssee data sheet).These violent incidents also left 62 people injured across the country. During the week under review civilians were again the prime target of the ongoing violence across the country, as 60 percent of the total fatalities were of the civilians this week i.e. as many as 39 civilians were killed and 35 others wounded under different circumstances. Militants– causalities, mostly due to the clashes between military and militants in different areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) and Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA), were the second major cause of deaths, wherein 15 militants were killed and another five got injured. Furthermore, unlike the preceding two weeks (last one of July and first one of August), when two US operated drone strikes killed 21 suspected militants in different areas of North Waziristan Agency (FATA), no CIA operated drone strikewas reported this week. Moreover a fragile calm was observed in the terrorist incidents, usually targeting state infrastructure or security targets. No significant sabotage activity was reported in any part of the country during the course of the week. Contrary to the month of July, which saw scores of people becoming victims of sectarian target killings, no sectarian attack was witnessed across the country during this week. Moreover, casualties off target killings were down by seven percent, during the current week. Overall 50 percent of...

The elusive alliance

The July 31 U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee nomination hearing for ambassadors-designate Richard Olson (for Pakistan) and James Cunningham (for Afghanistan) exemplified the contradictory nature of U.S. relations with Pakistan. The foreign policies of the two countries are at irreconcilable cross purposes, which may converge in time, but not in the foreseeable future. At the outset of the hearing, John Kerry, the committee's chairman, acknowledged that Pakistanis have suffered greatly in the fight against terror, and also underlined that "Pakistan remains central to what happens in Afghanistan." Ambassador-designate Richard Olson echoed Kerry's remarks, saying, "I don't have to tell you how important Pakistan is to the United States." Later, Olson responded positively when asked about Pakistan military's doctrine of "strategic depth" (a concept in which Pakistan uses Afghanistan as an instrument of strategic security in ongoing tensions with India by attempting to control Afghanistan as a pawn for its own political purposes). "My sense is that the Pakistani military and Pakistani government has moved away from [strategic depth]," the ambassador argued, probably drawing cues from Pakistan's gradually expanding dialogue with arch-rival India. Most of the Western skepticism of Pakistan's role in Afghanistan has been embedded in distrust of the so-called doctrine of strategic depth, a dynamic which outside observers have been reluctant to acknowledge is changing for the better. However, Ambassador Olson also reaffirmed the United States' concern about the Pakistan-based Haqqani Network, describing it as "one of the toughest challenges that the U.S. faces." Olson's characterization only reaffirms the long-held view that the Haqqanis must remain a priority of the U.S. security establishment for their part in several deadly suicide bombings in and around Kabul since 2008. The U.S. Senate recently passed a bill requiring Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to report...

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TESTIMONIALS

I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.

Soniya Shams

Shaheed Benazir Bhutto Women University, Peshawar