Current Projects
China’s new Silk Road: Boom or just Dust for Pakistan?
SOST, Pakistan: A glossy highway and hundreds of trucks transporting Chinese workers by the thousands: The new Silk Road is under construction in northern Pakistan, but locals living on the border have yet to be convinced that they will receive more from it than dust. The town of Sost is a gateway to millions in Customs duties, with its rickety stalls of corrugated iron engraved in Mandarin and Urdu, its cross-border secret agents and its dusty petrol station’s abrupt service. It is the first stop along a new $46 billion “economic corridor” designed by China in Pakistan. Drivers from China arrive through the Khunjerab Pass, the world’s highest paved border crossing at 4,600 meters above sea level, and unload their goods encircled by the magnificent Karakoram mountains, swirled with snow. From there, Pakistani colleagues pick up the goods and transport them the length of the country – currently to Karachi, some 2,000 kilometers away on the Arabian Sea, but in the future to Gwadar, where Beijing has been given management of the port in a grand project allowing China greater access to the Middle East, Africa and Europe. But, until recently, the highway was cut off just south of Sost, blocked for five years by a landslide that dammed the Hunza river and birthed the 10 kilometer long lake of Attabad, with its blue glacier water. Unable to drive around the mountain, China simply tunneled through it, sending thousands of workers in a titanic effort that took more than three years and cost at least $275 million. “We have suffered because of the lake,” joked Amjad Ali, a round-faced trader who sells clothing in the Sost bazaar, where the new Chinese highway has replaced the old Silk Road – a tortuous dirt track travelled for centuries by trade caravans. Before the tunnel, residents of Sost had to cross the lake by boat in a journey that took at least an hour. Traffic in winter was meager. “With the tunnel, we hope business will take off and tourists flock here,” said Ali....
The Chahbahar Challenge
Gwadar in Pakistani Balochistan and Chahbahar in Iranian Balochistan are located almost at the mouth of the Gulf of Hormuz through which pass 35 per cent of the world’s seaborne oil shipments and 20 per cent of oil traded worldwide. More than 85 per cent of these crude oil exports go to Asian markets, with Japan, India, South Korea and China being the largest destinations. The two ports are separated by less than 200km. It is, therefore, necessary that Pakistani geopolitical strategists monitor closely the progress on the Chahbahar project so as to ensure that Islamabad’s geo-economic interests are not compromised in any way when the Iranian port becomes operational. India is helping develop the Chahbahar Port, which will give it access to the oil and gas resources in Iran and the Central Asian states. Tehran plans to use Chahbahar for transhipment to Afghanistan and Central Asia. India, Iran and Afghanistan have signed an agreement to give Indian goods, heading towards Central Asia and Afghanistan, preferential treatment and tariff reductions at Chahbahar. India has also finalised a plan to build a 900km-long railway line from the Afghan province of Bamiyan to Chahbahar port. Chahbahar provides India an easier land-sea route to Afghanistan. New Delhi has already spent $100 million on building a 220-km road in the Afghan province of Nimroz. The road will be extended to Chahbahar. With sanctions against Iran likely to be lifted soon and seemingly justifiably worried by the launching of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), an energy and infrastructure project costing $46 billion, India, perhaps, would like to move swiftly to get the Chahbahar port operational at the earliest. Iran has also proposed a free-trade agreement with India. Indian exporters want to build on the already existing significant trade relations with Iran, using the free-trade zone being developed near Chahbahar to increase exports to the Central Asian states. The Chahbahar port is central...
Detoxification of Pak-Afghan Narratives
Whenever Afghans, Indians and Pakistanis meet, most of them usually trade stereotypes about one another. They regurgitate cliched narratives and often get bogged down in unpleasant exchanges rooted in history. During a recent meeting in Islamabad between civil society representatives from Pakistan and Afghanistan, fireworks flew across the table as they sat down to mull ways for extricating the bilateral relationship from the current bitter gridlock. Before the formal meeting, Phillip Barton, the British High Commissioner to Pakistan, had already offered an instructive advice to both — peace is possible only when we are ready to bury the past bitterness and when leaders are ready to take bold decisions. Barton was drawing on his personal experience as an aide to former prime ministers John Major and Tony Blair during the Ireland peace process that led to the April 1998 Good Friday Agreement. But will Pakistan and Afghanistan ever get to their ‘Good Friday Agreement’? Are leaders and other stakeholders ready to make a new beginning based on mutual trust and a resolve to help their people? Well, as of now, we hardly see any signs of a conscious and concerted movement towards that goal. This is apparently because of too much mistrust, too many fingers in the pie and irreconcilable narratives. Afghan civil society delegates, for instance, spoke of three schools of thought on Pakistan. The first one — probably in majority — abhors Pakistan as a troublemaking neighbour, responsible for all the ills in Afghanistan. It is the people who believe that the Pakistani establishment “practically hand-picked” Taliban leader Mullah Mansoor and continues to provide support and sanctuary to those killing people in Afghanistan. The second group, a smaller one comprising both political and social leaders and activists, has been extremely critical of Pakistan but has now developed some empathy or sympathy for it. The third group comprises intellectuals, academia and some civil society...
Now we’re at War? We’ve been at War since 9/11, from Paris to Peshawar
Peshawar, Pakistan: a suicide bombing has torn through a police cadet parade and scores of people are dead. I arrive to find fresh blood staining the ground. A mangled motorcycle is strewn across the road. Cars are burned out and upended; shop windows are shattered. Bits of human flesh are embedded in the shrapnel-marked walls of surrounding buildings. Be’er Sheva, Israel: two buses have exploded. There is shattered glass, twisted wreckage and a convoy of ambulances ferrying the dead and wounded. There is already talk of reprisals against the Palestinian militants who have carried out this attack. Southern Thailand: Islamic separatists have taken shelter inside a mosque after launching a series of violent raids. In the preceding months there have been killings, bombings, beheadings. Now the Thai military open fire killing all inside the building. Soon after, I walk through the still smouldering mosque. There is blood dripping from the overhead fans. These are just some of the acts of terrorism I have covered as a reporter over the past 15 years. To this list I can add similar attacks in Egypt, Afghanistan, Gaza, Indonesia, China. This has been the pattern since al-Qaida targeted the United States on September 11 2001. Now we have the events in Paris and we are told this is war. What are we thinking? It has been war for more than a decade. For people living in Afghanistan, Pakistan or parts of the Middle East it has been even longer. We are rightly stunned and appalled at the loss of life and the brutality in France. But sadly, we should not be surprised. Just a day a before the Paris attacks, more than 40 people were killed in suicide bombings in Beirut. These were the deadliest acts since the end of Lebanon’s civil war in 1990. Only a month ago more than 100 people died in a terrorist attack in Ankara, Turkey. The country has been torn apart by violence this year. In July dozens were killed in a suicide bombing in Suruç. Now, we are told this is war? It was war...
Now we're at War? We've been at War since 9/11, from Paris to Peshawar
Peshawar, Pakistan: a suicide bombing has torn through a police cadet parade and scores of people are dead. I arrive to find fresh blood staining the ground. A mangled motorcycle is strewn across the road. Cars are burned out and upended; shop windows are shattered. Bits of human flesh are embedded in the shrapnel-marked walls of surrounding buildings. Be’er Sheva, Israel: two buses have exploded. There is shattered glass, twisted wreckage and a convoy of ambulances ferrying the dead and wounded. There is already talk of reprisals against the Palestinian militants who have carried out this attack. Southern Thailand: Islamic separatists have taken shelter inside a mosque after launching a series of violent raids. In the preceding months there have been killings, bombings, beheadings. Now the Thai military open fire killing all inside the building. Soon after, I walk through the still smouldering mosque. There is blood dripping from the overhead fans. These are just some of the acts of terrorism I have covered as a reporter over the past 15 years. To this list I can add similar attacks in Egypt, Afghanistan, Gaza, Indonesia, China. This has been the pattern since al-Qaida targeted the United States on September 11 2001. Now we have the events in Paris and we are told this is war. What are we thinking? It has been war for more than a decade. For people living in Afghanistan, Pakistan or parts of the Middle East it has been even longer. We are rightly stunned and appalled at the loss of life and the brutality in France. But sadly, we should not be surprised. Just a day a before the Paris attacks, more than 40 people were killed in suicide bombings in Beirut. These were the deadliest acts since the end of Lebanon’s civil war in 1990. Only a month ago more than 100 people died in a terrorist attack in Ankara, Turkey. The country has been torn apart by violence this year. In July dozens were killed in a suicide bombing in Suruç. Now, we are told this is war? It was war...
Pakistan Uproots Mangroves to Install Coal-Fired Power Plants
By Aamir Saeed in Islamabad At a time when international community is struggling to finalise a global climate action plan, Pakistan has removed mangrove forests on 205 acres of land to install coal-fired power plants of 1,320 megawatts. The project, known as Port Qasim Power Project, near Karachi will be jointly carried out by Chinese Power Construction Corp Ltd with 51% and Qatar’s Al Mirqab Capital with 49% stakes in the project with a total cost of US$2.1 billion. The plants are being set up along the coastline of Arabian sea, where the government has uprooted mangrove forests to carve out a passage for the coal supply. The project is part of a broad bilateral deal called as China-Pak Economic Corridor under which the Chinese government and banks will finance Chinese companies to invest $45.6 billion worth of energy and infrastructure projects in Pakistan over the next six years. Environmentalists say the move would have serious consequences on not only tens of thousands of people living around the plants but also the marine life and livelihood of fishermen. Pakistan’s mangrove forests cover has already decreased from 400,000 hectares in 1945 to 70,000 hectares due to different factors including land grabbing, rising sea levels and decreasing flow of fresh water into the sea, says Mustafa Gurgaze, programme officer at Pakistan Fisherfolk Forum, a Karachi-based non-profit organisation that works for welfare of fishing communities. “Karachi could be more vulnerable to disasters like cyclones and tsunamis as the natural shield to disasters like cyclones and tsunamis, mangroves, has been removed,” he said. The development should be eco-friendly and sustainable and long-term, he said, suggesting the government to review its decision of installing coal-power plants to overcome energy crisis in the country. Gurgaze said the fish stock near the coastline has already decreased nearly one-third due to fast depletion of the mangroves that serve as a natural breeding...
China to Include $14 bn Diamer-Bhasha Dam in CPEC
ISLAMABAD: In a major development, Beijing has shown its willingness to include $14 billion Diamer-Bhasha Dam into the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) framework and its financing plan will be finalised in the next Joint Coordination Committee (JCC) meeting. The estimated cost of the CPEC will definitely go beyond $46 billion, as China has also agreed to finance dual carriageway for western route starting from Burhan to DI Khan and onward to Gwadar. Both the countries have also decided to make Gilgit-Baltistan as the model area under CPEC whereby development projects would be identified in the next JCC meeting. “Pakistan has made a formal request to China for including Diamer-Bhasha Dam into CPEC framework and now Beijing has shown its willingness to discuss details of this important project in the next JCC meeting which will take place after six months,” official sources confirmed to The News on Saturday. Pakistan requested inclusion of western route into the CPEC framework because Parliament, especially nationalist parties of KP, were pressing the government to ensure timely construction of this route. They were even blaming the government for focusing only on the Punjab under the CPEC initiative so the government pressed the Chinese side to include dual carriageway of western route into the framework of CPEC. The government decided to unbundle Bhasha Dam into civil work. For civil work, the construction cost stands at $7 billion which can be financed through a consortium of multilateral and bilateral donors including China. Federal Minister for Planning and Development Ahsan Iqbal confirmed to The News that China had been formally requested to include Bhasha Dam into the CPEC framework for new projects going to be considered for 2016. “Pakistan’s food and water security is very important and Bhasha Dam seems feasible for them being located along the Karakoram Highway (KKH),” he added. After unbundling Bhasha, the minister said the civil work would be...
First meeting of the Pak-Afghan Regional Civil Society Group Concluded
The Center of Research and Security Studies (CRSS), in partnership with its Afghan counterpart organization DURAN Research and Analysis, launched a major Pakistan-Afghanistan Track 1.5/II project “Beyond Boundaries” (BB). The initiative, launched in the second week of November, is a part of the efforts to help improve relations between Pakistan and Afghanistan. BB will be implemented in close coordination with the Government of Afghanistan, and the Government of Pakistan. The endeavor is anchored in workshops that feature eight representatives from Pakistan and Afghanistan each, engaging in an open discourse about narratives, grievances and the way forward. The workshop sessions comprise of two working groups; Regional Security Group (RSG), and Regional Civil Society Group (RCSG). Both groups are slated have three meetings each in Islamabad and Kabul, followed by a concluding meeting in Islamabad. The key objectives of the initiative are: expanding the peace constituency through friendship groups in both countries; improving support for better Afghanistan-Pakistan relationship through enhanced dialogue among the influential stakeholders of both sides; encouraging dialogues at various levels through official and unofficial communication channels; and, informing policy makers through forums, policy documents and media. Initiatives like BB will bring together influential government and non-governmental stake-holders who can help reduce tensions, address misconceptions, and revive some level of confidence. The ultimate objective is to eventually urge both governments and key stakeholders away from the mutual vitriol and antagonism, and towards a more trusting and collaborative approach that enhances peace, security, and regional cooperation. The first meeting of the RCSG working group was held in Islamabad from November 9-10, 2015 against the backdrop of a politically grim environment. The inaugural session was chaired jointly by the Federal Minster for Commerce,...
Lahore Disneyland-like Facility to Cost Rs36 billion
LAHORE: The Punjab government has signed an agreement with a Chinese company (Golden Bean Group) for the construction of a state-of-the-art Theme Park and Aquarium in Lahore at a cost of Rs36 billion which will have recreational facilities like Disneyland. The Chinese company will complete the world class Theme Park in one-and-a-half years. Lahore Commissioner Abdullah Sumbal along with Punjab Horticulture Authority director-general Mian Muhammad Shakeel and Chinese company chairman Jin Ming Nan signed the agreement here on Thursday. According to a handout, the Golden Bean Group will also participate in the bidding along with national and international companies for the construction of Sundar Workers Welfare Complex Phase-I, a project of the Punjab Labour Department worth Rs7.78 billion, where 2,900 apartments would be built for industrial workers and labourers. This complex will also have facilities of two separate PWWB schools for boys and girls, a community center, a mosque and other amenities of life. Labour secretary Ali Sarfraz and Chinese company chairman Jin Ming Nan signed the MoU in this regard. Published in Dawn, November 13th, 2015
What Awaits Pakistan’s Strongman in Washington?
The Pakistani Army Chief Gen. Raheel Sharif’s Washington visit comes at an extremely critical moment of regional realignments in the neighbourhood. It coincides with an increasingly pro-active Chinese role, spurred by President Xi Jinping’s Corridor politics. By throwing his weight behind the CPEC as the first priority, Xi has clearly marked his preference for Pakistan. This also necessitates an active Chinese political role in the region (read Afghanistan). Many Afghan stakeholders desire China to take the lead. But the disunity within the unity government and the Taliban infighting continues to discourage the Chinese from taking an open position on the Afghan reconciliation. On the other hand, President Obama and his Afghanistan commander John Campbell have also declared Pakistan as “integral to Afghanistan” and once again pinned hopes on Pakistan’s support for the reconciliation process. The US and Chinese administrations are, it seems, cognizant of the competing Indo-Pakistan interests in Afghanistan. The latest US Congressional Research Service report, for instance, clearly speaks of the Indian bid to “deny Pakistan strategic depth in Afghanistan.” While Obama and co want to rely on the Pakistani shoulders, powerful section of the Afghan government remain adamant on denying Pakistan a role in the reconciliation process. Strangely, they want Islamabad to crush the Afghan Taliban, while the rest of the world wants the former to woo them into talks. The US administration still appears fixated on the possible negative consequences of the Pakistani nuclear programme and would want a cap on it. All this turns into a bitter cocktail of wishes. One would assume that Gen. Sharif shall have to deal with all those issues that impinge on the future presence of the US troops in Afghanistan, Indo-Pak relations and the nuclear programme – issues that the civilian government is supposed to be handling. This also places unusual burden on Gen. Sharif because, a) of military’s...
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I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.