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China Considers Larger Role in Afghanistan Peace Process

To play a vital role for the peace talks with the Taliban, China must convince Pakistan to engage politically and economically with all the regional powers as, a stable Afghanistan means a better transport hub. Li Shaoxian, vice-president of the Chinese Association of Middle East Studies, believes it is significant for China to establish direct contact with Taliban representatives. China would make a major difference if it pushed Pakistan to acknowledge its support for the Taliban. BEIJING- As a bloody offensive by the Taliban spreads in Afghanistan and with American combat operations there officially ended, anxious Chinese leaders find themselves under pressure to take a more active role in the long-stalled peace process, according to scholars and current and former diplomats. For observers of Chinese diplomacy, that kind of commitment is surprising since China often tries to take a hands-off approach in regions and nations at war. “The big backdrop is that the United States will have withdrawn most of its troops from Afghanistan with the antiterrorism mission unfinished, which is leaving the country a mess,” said Du Youkang, who worked in Islamabad, Pakistan, as a diplomat and is now the director of the South Asia Studies Center at Fudan University in Shanghai. “Bombings have never stopped, even in the capital. Afghanistan shares a border with China, so in this case China must get involved to promote the talks and to secure the stability in the region.” Yet if China is to play a productive role in peace talks with the Taliban, the officials and scholars say, it will have to convince its ally Pakistan that an Afghanistan at peace and engaged politically and economically with all regional powers, including India, is in Pakistan’s interests. The Afghan foreign minister, Salahuddin Rabbani, begins an official four-day visit in Beijing on Monday, and the topic of bringing Afghanistan’s warring factions to the negotiating table is expected to be the priority in his...

CRSS China Watch – January 25, 2016

The Federal Minister for Planning, Development and Reforms Ahsan Iqbal rejected the idea of incorporating adjustments in China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) route. He emphasized that the CPEC is an important project for the socio-economic development of the whole region. There was no final decision made regarding the CPEC route in Pakistan although Pak-China Industrial Working Group has to be constituted.[1] He declared that out of the $46 billion Chinese investment under the CPEC project, a big amount of $11.5 billion was allocated for projects in Sindh.[2] Emphasizing the significance of CPEC, Sindh Governor Dr. Ishratul Ebad Khan has said that this project will accelerate the economic development in Pakistan. He said that the government assured every possible support to Chinese investors in Pakistan to facilitate the foreign investment.[3] According to analysts, the CPEC project will greatly enhance and stimulate regional trade. Talking in Radio Pakistan's Current Affairs' program, Dr. Noor Fatima said that due to the improved security situation, Pakistan would attract more Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). As a result, CPEC has also increased the level of confidence in other countries.[4] Pakistan China Friendship Association Honorary President Sha Zukang said that any difference of opinions over the CPEC would actually lead to positive results. The difference in opinions means more discussions and incorporation of alternate viewpoints. Echoing his words, and talking to the Associated Press of Pakistan, Senator Mushahid Hussain Syed stated that the CPEC project would lead to the development of whole region of South Asia (SA).[5] [1] http://www.pakistantoday.com.pk/2016/01/24/city/lahore/minister-dismisses-reports-on-change-in-cpec-route/ [2] http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/national/24-Jan-2016/sindh-to-get-maximum-in-cpec-says-ahsan-iqbal [3] http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/sindh/24-Jan-2016/governor-assures-complete-assistance-to-chinese-investors [4]...

Making Sense of the CPEC Controversy

The controversy around the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) seems far from subsiding. In recent developments, political parties from Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (K-P) and Balochistan have upped the ante and have accused the ruling party of ignoring the smaller provinces in the multi-billion dollar project. In an attempt to make sense of the concerns advanced by representatives from Balochistan and K-P, I am going to examine the position taken by the federal government in a series of articles. The CPEC is a mutli-route corridor that will be completed in multiple phases over a period of 15 years. As per the decision of the May 28, 2015 APC, the western route of the corridor passing through the relatively lesser-developed provinces of Balochistan and K-P is being built on a priority basis. To judge whether the federal government has actually prioritised the building of the western route or not, let’s develop a simple test and check if its claims about having prioritised this route passes the test. According to the test, the western route shall be considered prioritised if it meets the following conditions: 1) The quality of infrastructure of the western route should be better or at least similar to that of the eastern route. For this to happen, the government must have allocated the required financial resources to the route. 2) Ideally, the western route should be constructed first so that it can become functional before the other two routes. If circumstances are not ideal, as is often the case, then it should become operational at least simultaneously with the other routes. Timing is central to economic planning and development. The question of ‘which-route-to-take-first’ is very important and is likely to play a key role in shaping the subsequent path of development. 3) At least half of the proposed industrial parks and economic zones and other supporting components of the corridor, including energy projects, railway tracks and gas pipelines should be located along...

The Tragedy of India’s Caste System 

The 2011 census in India showed the population of Indians belonging to Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes as being over 25 per cent of the population. Of these, 16.6 per cent are dalits and 8.6 per cent are adivasis. These are the other names by which these communities (whom the British called Untouchables and Tribals) are known. One-fourth of India means 300 million or 30 crore people. If they were a nation by themselves, they would be the fourth-largest in the world, after China, India and the United States. But in India’s white collar economy, they have almost no presence. The main reason for this is lack of access to quality education and historical lack of opportunity for employment. The Indian Constitution has tried to correct this by introducing reservations in educational institutions and government jobs. But the middle class (which means upper caste) Indians of our cities feel that they are discriminated against by reservations and that their ‘merit’ should not be sacrificed. I can guarantee that in any major, urban, white collar office, the most likely place to find dalits is in the list of grade one employees. This comprises those who clean. There is absolutely no shame that is felt by these institutions over this fact. Such things are not even thought about. Both dalits and adivasis are totally marginalised in the Indian economy and media. I am writing about this because of an event in Hyderabad where a dalit student killed himself. Rohith Vemula, a PhD student, and four others were expelled from their hostel after pressure from the Union government. They had squabbled with students of the BJP union over the death penalty. This resulted in a Union minister referring to the students as anti-national and casteist (a strange charge against dalits) in a letter to the minister in charge of education. This minister, Smriti Irani, demanded action against the students, sending four reminders to the university in a matter of days (one wonders if the ministry...

Fighting Terrorism: More DHAs, More Metros

Islamabad diary A nation at war? This is the biggest fiction of all. You wouldn’t guess this from Islamabad’s development priorities or the flyover craze in Lahore. Or from the billboards and ads glorifying the great amenities provided by that marvel of military planning, the Defence Housing Authority. Yet when national complacency is punctured by another terrorist outrage – such as the latest in Charsadda – the flood of crocodile tears sweeps everything before it. Let me quickly add that those hit by the tragedy, the grieving souls, their tears are all too real. But the sorrow and the solemnities pouring forth from the apparatus of government are now part of a standard and tested routine. And when the moment passes, as all moments even the most tragic must eventually pass, it is back to business as usual and the return of complacency once more…until the next terrorist attack when the usual stock of clichés is offloaded again. Army, Frontier Corps, intelligence agencies, and the rest of the security structure are all in this fight. But they are fighting a lonely fight. They are in it, up to their necks, taking the hits and the casualties. There is no village graveyard in the Chakwal district, as in adjoining districts from where come so many of the army’s soldiers, without its share of the martyred in this war. But the nation seems strangely uninvolved. Away from the killing fields, away from the frontlines, does this really seem to be a nation at war? You won’t get this feeling from the bustle of big-city shopping malls, the obsession with turning Lahore and Islamabad into pale replicas of Dubai, or from the army’s single-minded preoccupation with real estate, something not mitigated even by this war, the longest and cruellest in our tumultuous history. Do nations at war cultivate such priorities? Is this how they spend scarce resources? Leningrad under siege in the Second World War, London during the Blitz, were they into expensive projects meant to pander to...

Reforms in FATA: A Pragmatic Proposition or a Slippery Slope?

Down the Rabbit Hole In December 2006, the then military dictator General Pervez Musharraf convened a major gathering to discuss Pakistan's Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). The attendees included officials from the FATA Secretariat ,  Political Agents (PAs), representatives of the Ministry of States and Frontier Regions (SAFRON) , the Governor of Khyber  Pukhtunkhwa, notable elders and politicians from the region, along with representatives of the military establishment. The President's intent was to put all FATA stakeholders in one room, and determine the future of FATA. For nearly three days, fiery speeches, ambitious plans and reform proposals bounced back and forth between the political and military elite, whereas the only common thread by sycophantic bureaucrats and Maliks was unanimous and unconditional praise for General Musharraf for taking the initiative. However, the enthusiasm gave way to caution on the third day, when participants warned against tinkering with the system currently governing FATA. Despite days of deliberation, the gathering failed to agree upon possible reforms for FATA. One of the conference attendees, a PA, while recalling his experience, did not express even a shred of optimism regarding reforms in FATA, citing the military's hesitation for change in wake of the ongoing insurgency in the region. The military's “interest” in FATA was also evident when a 27-member Committee on Constitutional Reforms, in 2009, deliberated extensively and climaxed with amendments to 101 articles of the federal constitution. However, none of these applied to Part XII: Miscellaneous – Chapter III: Tribal Areas, especially Article 246 - which geographically defines “Tribal Areas”, “Provincially Administered Tribal Areas” and “Federally Administered Tribal Areas” - and article 247 - which gives the President sweeping powers, and excludes these areas from any parliamentary legislation, or legal jurisdiction from the Supreme Court or any High Court...

CRSS China Watch – January 22, 2016

The recent terrorist attack at Bacha Khan University in Pakistan was strongly condemned by China, said Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, Hong Lei. China firmly opposes the militant attacks on innocent civilians[1] The Federal Minister for Railways Khawaja Saad Rafiq assured to the Senate body that the railways track will be stretched up to the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) under the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Hassani highlighted that the center had deprioritized railways in the KP by assigning only $ 3.78 billion for the Railway. The ministry of railways was asked to present the complete record of railway land in the next meeting of the committee. The minister added that the demand of rise in the salaries of railway police has also been forwarded to the Prime Minister for evaluation.[2] [1] http://www.app.com.pk/en_/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=383522&Itemid=1 [2] http://nation.com.pk/business/22-Jan-2016/cpec-govt-vows-to-extend-rail-track-to-fata

Status of Minorities: strangers in their own land

by Zeeshan Salahuddin On Tuesday, January 19, a private research institute in Islamabad released their second report on minorities titled “State of Religious Freedoms in Pakistan”. The publication documents and maps incidents of violence and atrocities against minorities since 2012, and the findings are shocking. With the advent of the National Action Plan (NAP), other institutions such as the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) have determined that the incidents of violence overall (and thus violence against minorities) have gone down in the last calendar year, this publication reports at least 351 incidents of violence against minorities since 2012. Minorities in Pakistan have always been presented as soft targets, easy picking for sectarian groups, and in recent years, even non-sectarian elements. The primary groups that suffer as a result of the state’s weak response are Shias (including Hazaras and sub-sects), Christians, Ahmedis and Hindus. Since 2012, 40 attacks of varying scale and intensity were carried out against the Christian community, the most significant ones being a massive arson attack on Joseph Colony in Lahore, and a church bombing in Peshawar. Christians account for 2.5 million individuals in Pakistan. During this period seven churches were damaged, and 14 Christians were charged with blasphemy. As stated before, the amount of violence in the country has declined overall, which also lowers the incidents of violence against minorities overall. However, through interviews, it is evident that the Christian community feels marginalized, a second class of citizen, unprotected practically despite being protected constitutionally, and a non-priority for the state. There has been an increase in violence against Shias Nearly 1 million Hindus reside in Pakistan, with 80% of them hailing from Sindh. Hindus bear the additional issue of being discriminated against institutionally, as they are labelled as untrustworthy, vile, and evil traitors,...

Quadrilateral Coordination Group: Roadmap to Reconciliation

Pakistan, Afghanistan, China and the US met in Kabul on January 18 for the 2nd Quadrilateral Coordination Group (QCG) meeting to devise a roadmap for peace in Afghanistan. The meeting can be seen as a step forward, because its primary objective was to build on the work done in the first meeting at Islamabad on January 11. That is, to develop the roadmap for resuming the reconciliation process, which was suspended in July last year after the news of Taliban chief Mullah Omar’s death two years ago caused anger in Kabul. China’s special envoy on Afghanistan, Deng Xijun, and the US Ambassador to Afghanistan, P Michael McKinley, also participated in the meeting. Their presence resulted in reaffirmations by both Pakistan and Afghanistan of their commitment to fighting terrorist groups of ‘all shades’. In a joint statement issued at the conclusion of the meeting, the four countries reported “progress on the roadmap”. It also called upon all Taliban groups to enter into early talks with the Afghan government. The only substantive progress discernible from the statement was agreements on combating terrorism of all sorts and having better ties, diplomatic sources said. “The QCG countries agree that all forms of terrorism present a grave threat to the countries, the region and the world. The members indicated their commitment to a robust effort to eliminate all forms of terrorist groups, regardless of their national origin, operating in their respective territories,” said the statement. Pakistani officials, however, insist that the appeal to all Taliban for joining the talks marked a step forward, in a way – an apparent departure from the Afghan insistence on a crackdown against all Afghan insurgents it says are operating out of havens in Pakistan. Is Mullah Akhtar Mansoor the master interlocutor? This has been a major sticking point between Islamabad and Kabul. Afghan officials believe an all-out offensive first will force the militants into submission and compel them to...

State of Minorities in Pakistan

Violence against religious minorities in Pakistan has seen a considerable rise in recent years. Non-Muslims constitute about three percent of Pakistan’s estimated population of 200 million. Some 20 percent of the rest are Shia Muslims.  Prominent among the non-Muslim minority groups are Christians (2.5 million), Hindus (1 million), and Ahmadis (3 million, considered as non-Muslims according to the Pakistani constitution). During the 2012-2015 period, as many as 351 cases of violence against religious minorities were reported.  Christians, Hindus, Ahmadis and Shia Muslims remained major victims of religious discrimination.[i] Christians form the major part of the minority population and during 2012-2015 this community remained vulnerable to sexual assaults, harassment and forced conversions in some parts of the country. Some 14 Christians were charged under Pakistan’s controversial blasphemy laws. Nearly 40 attacks on the Christian community, including seven churches, were also reported during the period under discussion[ii]. The All Saints Church in Peshawar suffered the deadliest assault in September 2013, which left over 100 worshippers dead. Discrimination towards Ahmadis led to the killing of 39 people during 2014-2015. In 2012, six places of worship of the Ahmadis were attacked. According to Ahmadis, they constantly face humiliation, threats to life and property by extremist groups. Anti-Ahmadi laws have played a vital role in separating the Ahmadi community from the majority population of the state. Hindu community also remained a target of abduction, forced marriages, rape of girls and kidnappings. These factors compel them to migrate to India. In Larkana, a Hindu community center was damaged by the extremist groups in 2014. Biased curriculum has been portraying Hindu minorities as evil and untrustworthy. Shia’s in Pakistan remained a greater victim of religious intolerance. There were 23 attacks on Imambargahs and Shia mosques, 203 target killings and 1304...

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TESTIMONIALS

I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.

Soniya Shams

Shaheed Benazir Bhutto Women University, Peshawar