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Afghan Minister Thanks Beyond Boundaries for Endorsing QCG
Hikmet Karzai, Afghanistan’s deputy foreigner minister has thanked Pak-Afghan Track11/1.5 initiative Beyond Boundaries for endorsing the Quadrilateral Coordination Group (QCG) peace process. In a meeting with the members of the Beyond Boundaries at the sprawling lawns of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs on March 2 where they presented the joint declaration from their third Regional Security Workshop, Karzai said his government welcomes initiatives such as Beyond Boundaries. “We are extremely grateful to the members for fully endorsing the QCG process which we believe is the last big chance for peace in the next two or so decades,” the minister said. He also underlined the importance of Track 11 discussions. “And trust me, we highly value these efforts. I make sure that my colleagues also go through the recommendations coming from such private discussions.” I personally believe that declarations agreed on at the end of such initiatives should feed policy making because this is the only way we can collectively understand and solve problems, the minister added. Speaking of the QCG efforts, he said “none of is under any illusion, The process will be difficult and long, accompanied by violence, but gradual progress, we expect, will also result in reduction of violence. The QCG came into being on the sidelines of the Heart of Asia conference held at Islamabad on December 9, 2015. This includes Afghanistan, Pakistan, United States and China - the latter being the monitors/guarantors of the process. “Our expectation, nevertheless is that the process brings about some reduction in high-profile violence otherwise I will loose my legitimacy as a peace negotiator,” Karzai underscored, in a reminder of the continued spate of violence - as many as 18 big strikes across Afghanistan that have killed about nearly people since early January, including members of Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF). Karzai agreed that Pakistan’s image in Afghanistan is negative but argued it had a...
Clouds Over The Peace Process
by Imtiaz Gul Sunny Kabul is abuzz with diplomatic activity. One the one hand, the National Unity Government (NUG) is striving hard to get the reconciliation process going with lots of behind-the-scenes contacts between various stakeholders. On the other, immediate neighbours such as Pakistan, India as well as other members of the Quadrilateral Coordination Group (QCG), have intensified their efforts for getting Taliban leaders on board. The visit of the Chief of the Peoples’ Liberation Army, General Fang Fenghui also underscores the increasing Chinese interest in Afghanistan’s peace. The NUG itself appears optimistic about the peace process, hoping that sooner than later, influential Taliban, amenable to renouncing violence, will step forward to join the talks in the larger interests of the embattled country. But if the media reports of the last few days were any guide, the intra-Afghan peace talks are up against multiple internal and external challenges. There has been a surge in Taliban attacks — as many as 17 strikes across Pakistan that have killed about 80 people since early January, including members of Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) — alongside increasingly conflicting views on the peace process within the National Unity Government – reflected in the pro-Karzai and pro-Ghani camps. The Karzai camp still looms large over the Afghan political scene; the former president is revered by the majority as the ‘Rahbar’ – supreme leader — and politically, he is looked up to as a national leader. One difficulty comes from the ‘reformed’ Taliban leaders such as Mullah Zaeef, former ambassador to Pakistan, Abdul Wakeel Muttawakil, former foreign minister, Mulla Habib Fauzi, Said, Akbar Agha, Abdul Salam Raketi. Zaeef, who abhors Pakistan for the treatment meted out to him after the demise of Taliban regime, for instance, sits in Kabul, interacts with media but has no kind words about the QCG efforts. His recipe for the reconciliation process is direct contacts...
Tale of Two Cpecs
by Dr. Niaz Murtaza A game changer that will make Pakistan an Asian Tiger is how the PML-N sells the CPEC. None of the Tigers rose simply by building corridors with economic giants. So, one must view such claims cautiously. Still, this is the biggest economic opportunity to come Pakistan’s way in decades. That this is happening under an elected regime and autocracies could never conjure similar feats underlines democracy’s long-term potential. The PML-N deserves kudos for creating this opportunity. But the critical question now is whether it can transform opportunities into reality. One feels compelled to raise some concerns, at the risk of being branded unpatriotic even though the aim is patriotic in flagging possible pitfalls affecting attainment. Firstly, project details reveal that around $11 billion (25%) of the money is for port, road and railway linkages between Pakistan and China. But the vast majority of the money-nearly 75%- is for power plants which will not directly contribute to the economic corridor unless they feed industries whose outputs travel on the corridor. However, CPEC plans only contain vague references to establishing industrial parks. Thus, there is not one integrated CPEC but actually two unconnected CPECs presently: the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (25%) and China Pakistan Electricity Cooperation (75%). Unless PML-N integrates the two, the chances of Pakistan becoming an Asian Cub, nary a Tiger, will be remote, though the two unconnected CPECs will still benefit it individually. The “China Pakistan Electricity Cooperation” contains 24 projects, as shown on the Planning Commission’s website, to be built by Chinese companies’ FDI with Pakistan obligated to buy their output at unknown rates. Thus, the first challenge will be avoiding the exorbitant rates Pakistan faced earlier with IPPs and weaker states often face with China. Given the serious logistical and technical problems with recent power plant construction in Pakistan,...
Beyond Boundaries
Experts Call for Greater Counter-Terror Cooperation. Participants of a Pakistan-Afghanistan Track 11 dialogue Tuesday urged both governments to continue their efforts for peace and increase counter-terror and security cooperation. Joint efforts are needed to crush terrorism which is a common enemy of Afghanistan and Pakistan. The delegates also extended their support to the Quadrilateral Coordination Group which is pushing for the intra-Afghan reconciliation. The ice-breaking engagement between Afghanistan and Pakistan at both official and private level must continue to help remove the bilateral trust. Mutually agreeable confidence building measures could help in achieving these objectives. Statements hurting the sentiments must be avoided by both sides. The civil society should put pressure on stakeholders to pursue mutual peace & prosperity. Media on both sides could play a crucial role in correcting the narrative on each other, the delegates concurred and called on both governments to help facilitate Afghan and Pakistani media’s reporting from their respective regions. These views were presented by Pakistani and Afghan regional security experts during their third regional security workshop held from February 29 to March 01, 2016 at Kabul, Afghanistan. The workshop was the sixth major round in the series of meetings between civil society and regional security experts of both countries as part of “Beyond Boundaries”, a major Af-Pak track 1.5 and II initiative launched by an Islamabad based Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) - in partnership with its Afghan counterpart organization, DURAN Research and Analysis (DRA) and sub-national partner (Pakistan), the Foundation for Integrated Development Action (FIDA) as an effort to improve relations between Afghanistan and Pakistan, soothe bitter context, tackle trust deficit which can somehow de-escalate the heightened tensions and improve mutual perceptions. The sessions, chaired by Professor Anatol...
CRSS China Watch – March 01, 2016
While addressing to the participants of an International Medical Conference in Lahore, President Mamnoon Hussain has said that China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is a potential game changer that would bring prosperity into Pakistan’s socio-economic fabric. He said yesterday that apart from the CPEC, the government has initiated numerous mega projects across the country.[1] Referring to the CPEC, Deputy Chairman of the Senate Maulana Abdul Ghafoor Haideri said that the project would change the destiny of the region. He criticized Baluchistan’s government that failed to solve problems being faced by people and urged the federal government to address reservations the provinces had about the eastern and western routes of the project. [2] The ambassador of Ukraine VolodymyrLakomov addressed media in Islamabad and asserted that Ukrainian companies are interested to invest in projects under the CPEC that would further strengthen long term bilateral cooperation. [3] Former Federal Minister Anwar Saifullah and Former Senator SalimSaifullah have regretted that the southern districts had been ignored in development of the country. They urged to include the southern districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in the CPEC project which would provide an opportunity for the uplift of these areas.[4] [1]http://www.radio.gov.pk/newsdetail/83005/1 [2]http://www.dawn.com/news/1242633/centre-asked-to-remove-concerns-about-cpec [3]http://www.radio.gov.pk/newsdetail/83059/1 [4]http://www.thenews.com.pk/print/101648-Inclusion-of-southern-KP-districts-in-CPEC-sought
In Kabul, Scepticism Clouds Direct Talks
by Tahir Khan There is considerable uncertainty in Afghanistan regarding the fate of an intra-Afghan dialogue despite a certain degree of optimism about the long-awaited peace process. Afghan officials familiar with a four-nation initiative told The Express Tribune that negotiations could be a long-drawn-out affair, adding that expecting the talks to start in a few days was an unfair assessment. A source, meanwhile, denied Afghan officials have shared with Pakistan a list of ‘influential’ Taliban leaders that Kabul wants to see at the negotiating table. During its fourth meeting on February 23 in Kabul, the Quadrilateral Coordination Group (QCG) had invited Taliban factions and Hizb-e-Islami, the second largest Afghan resistance group, to join the talks by the first week of March in Islamabad. The QCG is made up of top officials from Afghanistan, China, Pakistan and the United States. Sources in Kabul said on Sunday the QCG members that approached the Taliban’s political office in Qatar had informed the meeting that the militia was ‘not very keen’ on joining the proposed talks. The QCG meeting in Islamabad had agreed on February 6 to approach the main Taliban faction in Qatar and the splinter group under Mullah Rasool’s command for their feedback to the participants of the Kabul meeting. “The US ambassador in Kabul, who represented his country at the fourth QCG meeting, told participants that he had received no briefing from Washington,” a source, who attended the meeting, told The Express Tribune. “The Chinese ambassador to Afghanistan informed the meeting that they had contacted the Taliban representatives in Qatar, but while they seemed unwilling to join the talks, they did not refuse outright to join the process.” He said Pakistan had talked to Taliban’s political representatives “but they are not keen on sitting across the table with Kabul. The Afghan side also confirmed they have sent messages to Taliban groups and Hizb-e-Islami, but they are still awaiting...
Brink of Change
by Zeeshan Salahuddin How did Pakistan do in 2015? Pakistan seems to be perched at the verge of a dramatic turnabout that will forever alter its conditions internally, its perception externally, and its future historically. Data from 2015, gathered by the Center for Research and Security Studies, suggests a sharp decline in violence across Pakistan. Fatalities have decreased significantly, and the overwhelming majority – over 62% – of those killed in the violence were militants, insurgents and criminals. This remarkable change is visible even in Karachi. In 2013, target killing was rampant, claiming 1,671 lives. A year later, the deaths dropped by about 25% to 1,263. In 2015, the number dropped by an astonishing 71%, to only 387 fatalities. Economically, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) was hailed as a lifesaver. With a massive investment of $46 billion, Beijing seemed to emerge as a savior, willing to drag Pakistan into a new era of economic prosperity and global fraternity. The failure of domestic economic policies and problems with the tax net notwithstanding, CPEC was lauded as a concept, but criticized for its apparent lack of transparency. On the regional relations side, there was an ostensible thaw in ties with India in December. It all began with Ashraf Ghani’s remarks at the Heart of Asia conference in Islamabad, and a subsequent presser in Kabul, reiterating his desire to engage with Pakistan. Later that month, following Indian External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj’s visit to the same conference, the Indian premier made an unprecedented, unscheduled visit to Lahore, furthering the idea that the two countries wanted to return to some semblance of normalcy. But a lot of the progress made in 2015 seems to have been undone as the second month of 2016 draws to a close. First, despite continued success in the FATA military offensive, reconciliation with the Baloch nationalists, and the urban pacification in Karachi, Interior Minister Chaudhry...
Media Should Help Creating a Positive Society That Believes in Philanthropy
Terror can radically change the wave of life. It prevents people from living a normal life. Anything that is divorced from reason is not doable, thus unreasonable policies should be avoided by India & Pakistan. Both India and Pakistan have to abandon policies that don’t stand to reason. We belong to a school that distinguishes itself from others with the belief in democracy.” These were the remarks made by Mr. Vinod Sharma, Political Editor, Hindustan Times while speaking at the Roundtable Forum organized by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) on “Indo-Pak Relations: Moving Beyond Acrimony and Suspicion”. Underpinning the need for respecting Institutional democracy, Mr. Sharma said that there were certain issues that had to be left to the state institutions rather. Health, education, environment are the issues which may be the direct responsibility of all including media and parliament. “Any prime minister's commitment to his country cannot be questioned. But the political leaders have to take risks to create and expand the constituency of peace. In politics, you have to take risks in order to break out of the gridlock of clichés and acrimony.” Said Mr. Vinod while adding that the civility of dialogue was absolutely essential for continuing talks. The civilly in dialogue - post Pathankot incident - shown by both governments is unprecedented. While Pathankot remains a huge challenge, but it can become an opportunity for mutually reassuring respective commitment on terrorism which is a common enemy. There is a firm resolve on our side to do anything that might help in investigation and taking case to its logical conclusion. He said that both Modi and Sharif must meet and if they had a degree of comfort with each other, they could take the process forward. We must stop demonizing each other’s national heroes. There should be an institutional mechanism for a regular discourse among historians. Purpose should be to get past the acrimonious past. We...
Sabawoon Showcase: Status of Afghan Refugees and Government Planning.
February 22, 2016, Peshawar: The Center for Research and Security Studies’ (CRSS) flagship radio program Sabawoon’s latest episode was about the status of Afghanistan’s refugees in Pakistan and the government’s plan for their safe return. The living standard of Afghan refugees, their businesses, entry and exit procedure of refugees on the Torkham boarder and issuance of fake Computerized National Identity Cards (CNIC) to some of the refugees in Pakistan were the key points of discussion. The program also highlighted the government agencies responsibility for the check and balance on refugees’ activities and the role of local government representatives in monitoring and registration. The program was aired under the theme of “Jarga Marraka” (alive spirits) on Monday. Ms. Zarin Zia, MP, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) Assembly, and Mr. Khalid Kheshgi, a journalist from KP, participated as a guest. A report from Bara, Khyber Agency, highlighted the entry and exit process at the Torkham boarder, the visa and registration of refugees in Pakistan. The report shared the details about the registration mechanism for refugees at Torkham border. Mr. Shams Ul Islam, Political Tehsildar, Khyber Agency, said, “We have established eight counters for registration, where each person’s entry and exit details are recorded. This system also checks the status of their visa on the passport that makes them eligible to enter Pakistan.” Mr. Qazi Fazul Ullah, a local, said, “We have a 2,250 kilometer long border with Afghanistan, therefore it is very hard to stop illegal entry of refugees in Pakistan. The border region is quite sensitive and there is a lack of planning from the government’s side as well.” Six callers shared their views in the program via telephone calls. They demanded that the government monitor the refugees’ activities in Pakistan and ensure their safe return to Afghanistan, as it is an increasing burden for Pakistan. A caller on the show, Mr. Aurangzeb Khan, said, “Refugees are...
US Failing to Explain Deadly Drone Policy: Report
The United States has made little or no progress in explaining how and why it orders lethal drone strikes, even as America’s reliance on the unmanned aircraft soars worldwide, a report found Tuesday. According to a study by the Stimson Center, a Washington-based nonpartisan think tank, President Barack Obama’s administration has failed to provide basic transparency into the drone program that has become a keystone in America’s counterterrorism efforts. “In terms of the justification for the program and all the legal basis – that still remains out of reach of the American public,” study author Rachel Stohl told AFP. Her paper gives American school-style grades in a “report card” to the US government, rating how it has improved its drone accountability since the Stimson Center wrote a damning report on the matter in June 2014. The report card gave the Obama administration an “F” — or a failing grade — in three areas: a lack of progress on releasing information on targeted drone strikes, developing better accountability mechanisms and explaining the US lethal drone program’s legal basis. A seemingly ever-expanding global war against extremist groups means the United States relies heavily on drones to monitor hostile lands and launch missiles at suspected extremists. Obama has drastically expanded the drone program during his tenure, but his administration provides scant information on strikes. Critics say many drone strikes kill civilians, and the aircraft alienate and radicalize local populations on the ground. Since June 2014, the United States has reportedly carried out lethal drone strikes in Afghanistan, Libya, Pakistan, Somalia and Yemen, as well as against Islamic State jihadists in Iraq and Syria. The Stimson Center said at least a dozen countries now host US drone bases, including Ethiopia, the Seychelles and Yemen. “The targeted killing program has been the most precise and effective application of firepower in the history of armed conflict,” said Michael...
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I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.