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Allies or Antagonists
by Imtiaz Gul Is the relationship strained and chequered because of the frustrations in Afghanistan, or is it a façade for something else? In an apparent damage-control attempt, David Hale, the US ambassador to Pakistan rushed for a meeting on May 25 with the boss of the General Headquarters (GHQ), General Raheel Sharif. What he heard from the host was a plain rebuke on the drone strike (that reportedly killed Taliban Mulla Mansoor) as an act of “sovereignty violation” that is detrimental to relations between both countries and is counter-productive for ongoing peace process for regional stability. Much earlier, in October 2013, Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif had described the issue of drones as a “major irritant in our bilateral relationship.” The use of drones is not only a continual violation of our territorial integrity but also detrimental to our resolve and efforts at eliminating terrorism from our country,” Sharif had said in an address at the US Institute of Peace in Washington. Even otherwise, Pakistan has routinely lodged protests since 2006, the CIA has conducted about 423 such strikes (according to the Bureau of Investigative Journalism). Drones linked to the US policy Did such protests also by the Amnesty International or Human Rights Watch deter the CIA from deployment of drones? Certainly not because the US thought differently. “US counterterrorism operations are precise, they are lawful, and they are effective, and the United States does not take lethal strikes when we or our partners have the ability to capture individual terrorists,” White House Spokesman Jay Carney had said in October 2013. The frequency of drone flights has considerably declined in the last two years or so but not because of objections or deference to concerns of other countries; most al-Qaeda operatives either got killed or left the region. The bottom line, as spelt out by diplomatic sources, is unambiguous: if a threat exists where Pakistan or any other country has ceded...
‘A Clear Signal’
by Imtiaz Gul “Our job is to help Afghanistan secure its own country, not to have our men and women in uniform engage in that fight for them,” told reporters in Vietnam on May 23. “On the other hand, where we have a high-profile leader who has been consistently part of operations and plans to potentially harm US personnel, and who has been resistant to the kinds of peace talks and reconciliation that ultimately could bring an end to decades of war in Afghanistan, then it is my responsibility as Commander-in-Chief not to stand by, but to make sure that we send a clear signal to the Taliban and others that we’re going to protect our people.” It is quite obvious that by taking out an Al Qaeda-linked Taliban leader on Pakistani soil in mysterious circumstances, President Barack Obama delivered a stern warning to all those his administration considers inimical to the peace process in Afghanistan and the interest of the US. But the entire episode – confused responses in Islamabad and contradictory postulations out of Washington on how “an obstinate” Mullah Mansoor was killed – seem to have plunged the Pakistan-US relationship into another phase of acrimony. Although David Hale, the US ambassador to Pakistan, seems to have rushed for a meeting with the boss of the General Headquarters (GHQ) Gen Raheel Sharif on May 25 to control further damage, one can fathom how much one meeting can mitigate the sense of humiliation and betrayal that Pakistan has endured through a controversial strike still shrouded in mystery. Will this “slap-first-apologize-later” conduct continue until the US and its allies believe Pakistan has bent fully in compliance? Many in Pakistan are saying the circumstances surrounding the attack are mysterious. If a predator drone dumped two hellfire missiles on the target vehicle, it should theoretically have blown it into pieces and its cargo and passengers should have been charred beyond recognition, they say. His travel documents filled the cyberspace...
345 Hanged During NAP's FIrst Year: The NAP Tracker
A report on National Action Plan (NAP) has revealed that after lifting of moratorium on hanging, 345 hanged, but there is little correlation between deterrence and capital punishment, Report recommended the need of revamping Criminal Procedure Code, Penal Code and Evidence Act and providing foolproof security to judges, lawyers, witnesses and prosecutors against criminal elements. Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) released “National Action Plan (NAP) Tracker” a comprehensive first year audit report on NAP. Report consists on period from December 25, 2014, to January 24, 2016. The report views and opinion of experts, former police officials, columnists and researchers on the various themes related to the NAP, including Imtiaz Gul, Dr. Shoaib Suddle, Ahmer Bilal Soofi, Raza Rumi and others. Report findings said after the establishing of Military Courts, 40 individuals sentenced, most to death, there are 11 military courts, with more planned for AJK and GB, the ministry of interior has transferred 148 cases to the military courts. A total of 212 outfits are prescribed, Islamic State is the only one added since NAP enacted, Jamaat-ud-Dawa and Falah-i-Insaniyat Foundation are on the watch list, implementation of restrictions is piecemeal and inconsistent, and funding is still a major issue. Report said that through counter terrorism efforts 2,159 terrorists have been killed and 1,724 have been arrested, a few ordinances have expanded civilian reach and capability and NACTA remains a stillborn baby and low on government’s priority list. The CPEC security is a high priority with resources and personal dedicated to safeguard it; the army seems to lead the charge in FATA, Balochistan, and Karachi. Due to CPEC, overall violence in the country has seen a sharp decline, the report reveals. Report said that sectarianism incidents decreased and total 1,340 killed and 1,940 injured in sectarian attacks in the last 3 years, sectarianism, like all other violence,...
345 Hanged During NAP’s FIrst Year: The NAP Tracker
A report on National Action Plan (NAP) has revealed that after lifting of moratorium on hanging, 345 hanged, but there is little correlation between deterrence and capital punishment, Report recommended the need of revamping Criminal Procedure Code, Penal Code and Evidence Act and providing foolproof security to judges, lawyers, witnesses and prosecutors against criminal elements. Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) released “National Action Plan (NAP) Tracker” a comprehensive first year audit report on NAP. Report consists on period from December 25, 2014, to January 24, 2016. The report views and opinion of experts, former police officials, columnists and researchers on the various themes related to the NAP, including Imtiaz Gul, Dr. Shoaib Suddle, Ahmer Bilal Soofi, Raza Rumi and others. Report findings said after the establishing of Military Courts, 40 individuals sentenced, most to death, there are 11 military courts, with more planned for AJK and GB, the ministry of interior has transferred 148 cases to the military courts. A total of 212 outfits are prescribed, Islamic State is the only one added since NAP enacted, Jamaat-ud-Dawa and Falah-i-Insaniyat Foundation are on the watch list, implementation of restrictions is piecemeal and inconsistent, and funding is still a major issue. Report said that through counter terrorism efforts 2,159 terrorists have been killed and 1,724 have been arrested, a few ordinances have expanded civilian reach and capability and NACTA remains a stillborn baby and low on government’s priority list. The CPEC security is a high priority with resources and personal dedicated to safeguard it; the army seems to lead the charge in FATA, Balochistan, and Karachi. Due to CPEC, overall violence in the country has seen a sharp decline, the report reveals. Report said that sectarianism incidents decreased and total 1,340 killed and 1,940 injured in sectarian attacks in the last 3 years, sectarianism, like all other violence,...
Reasons for Concern
by Imtiaz Gul With the death of Mullah Akhtar Mansoor, the Taliban leader, in a drone strike, Pakistan once again finds itself under international scrutiny. The nature of the attack and the unscathed passport of “Wali Mohammad” beg a thorough investigation. The incident has on the one hand dealt a severe blow to whatever has been going on in the name of peace efforts under the Quadrilateral Coordination Group (QCG). On the other, it draws Pakistan into yet another round of global debate on the issue of support to the Afghan Taliban and their presence here. At the same time, it exposes the country to new threats, such as direct drone strikes and latest regional realignments such as the Iranian-Indian-Afghan transit agreement on the Chabahar port. India plans to invest up to $500 million in a deal to develop Chabahar into a strategic port in Iran, precisely the way China is investing in the Gwadar port for connectivity to its western Xinjiang region. These developments contain several lessons for Pakistan because they indicate an ever-increasing encirclement of the country for multiple reasons. Firstly, it appears clear that the US will deploy drones wherever it finds elements detrimental to its interests — regardless of the location. And President Obama made it quite clear during his press stakeout in Vietnam onMay 23 that “Our job is to help Afghanistan secure its own country, not to have our men and women in uniform engage in that fight for them. On the other hand, where we have a high-profile leader who has been consistently part of operations and plans to potentially harm US personnel and who has been resistant to the kinds of peace talks and reconciliation … then it is my responsibility as commander-in-chief not to stand by, but to make sure that we send a clear signal to the Taliban and others that we’re going to protect our people.” Secondly, the Afghan Taliban are being treated as an extension of al Qaeda as well as a criminal syndicate. By implication, any...
CRSS China Watch – May 25, 2016
Pakistan approved on Monday sweeping tax concessions for Chinese operators at the deep-sea Gwadar port and businesses that will operate in the Gwadar Free Zone for up to 40 years to make the Arabian Sea port an important node in Beijing’s ‘One-Belt, One-Road’ strategic initiative. The Economic Coordination Committee (ECC) of the Cabinet took the decision on a day when Iran, India and Afghanistan signed a trilateral transit agreement to counter the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). The ECC accepted most of the recommendations made by its subcommittee for extending concessions to the China Overseas Ports Holding Company Limited (COPHCL), according to the Ministry of Finance. China is developing the Gwadar port as a strategic and commercial hub under its ‘One-Belt One-Road’ initiative that promises shared regional prosperity. CPEC is one of many arteries of the ‘One-Belt One-Road’. In 2013, Pakistan handed over the Gwadar port to the Chinese company by annulling a deal with a Singapore company that could not develop the port after taking over in 2007. The ECC further approved amendments in the Gwadar Port Concession Agreement for operating and developing the Gwadar port and free zone. Income Tax In a major move, the ECC approved a complete income tax holiday for 23 years to businesses that will be established in the Gwadar Free Zone. A Statutory Regulatory Order to that effect will be issued, and the changes will come into force the day the order is issued. Under the move, the concession will extend to contractors and subcontractors and COPHCL companies for 20 years. The ECC has also exempted the COPHCL and its operating companies from paying the minimum 1% income tax. Moreover, the ECC approved complete exemption from the 12.5% tax on dividend income and withholding tax for the COPHCL, and its operating companies, including the China Overseas Ports Holding Company Pakistan Private Limited, Gwadar International Terminals Limited, Gwadar Marines Services...
Sabawoon Showcase: Online Working Opportunities for Women
May 11, 2016, Peshawar: The Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) flagship radio program Sabawoon’s latest episode was about online working and freelancing opportunities for women in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) and the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). The themes of the program included online home-based services, youth employment programs and its prospects for females in Pakistan, methodology for approaching international markets, and the role of women in economic development. Moreover, the program focused on non-traditional businesses to create awareness among women regarding the variety of options they have. The program was aired under the theme of “Jwandey Jazbey” (alive spirits), on Wednesday. Two young entrepreneurs from KP and freelancing experts, Mr. Muhammad Ismail, and Ms. Faiza Khan were guests on the show. Report on Freelancing Opportunities: A report highlighted the paradigm shifts in business and employment opportunities that took place with the passage of time, and the various freelancing opportunities in Pakistan. Mr. Amjad Rehman, a freelance writer, said, “Since the rise of the online business, a major shift has taken place in the employment sector. At present, you can earn money by simultaneously working for several companies online.” Mr. Anwar Shah, a freelance journalist, said, “I have many organizations where I can work as a freelance journalist. I am working as a writer and a radio reporter with five different organizations, and I find it more productive rather than sticking to one organization.” Mr. Niaz Muhammad, freelance photographer, said, “I work as a photographer and take online projects through different websites. Along with this, I prepare corporate videos that pay well. One needs to explore, as there are abundant opportunities.” Live Callers on the Show: Three callers took part in the show. They appreciated the program and asked questions about freelancing opportunities in Pakistan. One caller, Ms. Fozia Khan,...
Pakistan’s Economic Outlook At Six-Year High
by Farhan Zaheer Is this the best time to expand your business in Pakistan? A latest survey conducted across the country at least says so. According to the survey, the results of which have been released recently, the economic outlook in Pakistan is at a six-year high now and is continuously improving. The survey titled the Business Confidence Index is a biannual assessment sponsored by the OICCI – an association that represents 196 multinationals operating in Pakistan – since 2010. It says, “the business confidence in the country has improved to a positive 36% in the last six months (October 2015 to March 2016), up 14 percentage points compared to 22% in previous six months (April to September 2015).” The survey results also show that the confidence level of foreign companies operating in the country was also at a positive 55%, a record high for the last six years. Positives So what has changed in Pakistan in the last six months that has improved the business confidence? “Relative political stability, improving security situation, low inflation due to record low international oil prices and 42-year low interest rates are some of the factors that have created an atmosphere in the country in which investors are looking for investment opportunities,” says the survey. “There has been a significant change in the business confidence in the last two years. After remaining literally stagnant for one and a half years (July 2013 to September 2014) at 1%, economic outlook has gradually improved to 36% in the last three half-yearly surveys.” Negatives Despite all these feel-good factors and improving macroeconomic indicators, Pakistan’s economy has yet to take off and it is not difficult to point out the factors that are pulling it back. Though security challenges have relatively waned, energy crisis is still strangling exports and causing a loss of at least one percentage point to the GDP annually. Owing to weak domestic policies and slow world economic growth, Pakistan is...
Flawed QS University Rankings…!
by Shiraz Paracha Pakistan’s armchair pundits and commentators are famous for their knee-jerk reaction to issues that require serious analysis and cool heads. Many analysts speak from top of their heads or talk according to given scripts on TV screens. Such experts prefer to challenge and attack the weak. Education and educationists are, unfortunately, the weakest in Pakistan. Following the recent release of university rankings by a British company Quacquarelli Symonds (QS), some Pakistani experts are criticizing the Pakistani higher education sector. Newspapers have carried sensational headlines saying Pakistan’s has fallen to number 124 in the list of 140 countries in the QS University Ranking list. It is true that QS has ranked Pakistan among the lowest in the area of higher education but if the Pakistani media and so-called experts did a little research about the QS University Rankings, they wouldn’t be bashing Pakistani universities and the Higher Education Commission of Pakistan (HEC). QS started ranking universities only about a decade ago. A few years later Times Higher Education (THE) and QS grouped together and issued world-wide university league tables. However, in 2009 THE parted ways saying it was not satisfied with QS ranking methodology. One of our challenges is that we tend to accept Western information and data without questioning, particularly if it come from the English speaking world. On the surface Pakistanis criticize the West but in reality they seek Western approval and trust Western system, products and services. Many do not try to understand subtle Western propaganda, diplomacy or marketing techniques. It is very important to understand that higher education is a lucrative business in the West. Like any other business, this sector, too, does everything to make more profit. Western universities are businesses and thus profit making machines. University rankings are used as PR and marketing tools for promoting a university's business and...
Pakistan Beyond Panama Papers
by Zeeshan Salahuddin Panama Papers dominated the airwaves this week. It seems that nearly no other piece of news has been discussed, dissected and discoursed. It has become a part of our national vocabulary, an interminable point of friction between the government and the opposition, and an undeniably impactful event in Pakistan’s history. However, the tenacity of the Panama Papers cannot and should not overshadow the prime minister’s National Action Plan (NAP) against terrorism. It is an omnipresent idea, a consistent, unwavering, unflinching response to the wave of terror and militancy facing the country. The agenda items on the National Action Plan (NAP) are neither new nor novel. Multiple versions of these ideas had existed for quite some time but NAP, for the first time, consolidated them all into a comprehensive document. The main difference this time is the strong across the board political will that drove this change, undoubtedly fueled and reinforced by a strong military push. However, should this political will fail, falter or fade, as it seems to be in the wake of the Panama Papers, Pakistan can slip back into the stark violence of the past fifteen years. Second, there seemed to be a concerted effort by the government to bring all parties on-board, and especially to appease the religious hardliners with political muscle. While these are good measures for building confidence and presenting a united front in the face of an unrelenting enemy, the counterterrorism narrative necessitates relentless focus and complete state ownership. The ruling party PML-N, for better or for worse, is the executive branch, with all the powers and privileges that come with that territory, and it needs to take commend of the counterterror campaign and the development of the alternate narrative rooted in the constitution of Pakistan. Pakistan can slip back into stark violence The military is a stable, well-oiled institution with a long-standing history of friction with...
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I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.