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The Internal Frontier

The world has limited sympathy for Pakistan. There have been many documented incidents of this indifference across the globe, but perhaps none that was as pronounced as the dichotomy between the Army Public School attack, which claimed the lives of 132 innocent schoolchildren in Peshawar, and the Charlie Hebdo attacks in Paris, France, just three weeks later. Both were horrendous, atrocious attacks of stark violence, worthy of the condemnation they received. But there was a marked difference in how the world reacted to Pakistan’s most shocking terrorism incident (and there have been literally thousands), and how the world reacted to the Charlie Hebdo incident. Perhaps the fault is our own. Despite our tall talk of leaving no room for terrorism, or leaving no space for extremist philosophy, or not allowing our soil to be used by miscreants, we have faced international criticism and embarrassment for allowing the same. Osama bin Laden was killed in Abbottabad, just over an hour from the capital, by shadow operatives that were able to violate Pakistani airspace, and escape quietly, unscathed. Mullah Omar allegedly died after receiving treatment in hospitals in Karachi for two years. Mullah Mansoor was apparently killed in a drone strike in Balochistan in May. The list goes on. If we were ignorant of their presence in Pakistan, that makes us foolish. If we knew, and aided or abetted, we were criminals. The impetus for any action to change this has to come from our own internal doctrine, which seems as unclear as ever. The American policy in the region is beginning to get look more stern. The F16 sale issue, debates in political circles about making Pakistan’s aid contingent on forcing Islamabad’s hand against the Haqqani Network, making public statements about Mullah Mansoor’s death long before Pakistan had a chance to react – these are all indicative of a hardening, toughening US stance on Pakistan. If we knew, we are guilty; if we didn’t, we are foolish The US...

Why Are Afghans Wary of Pakistan?

“My dear friend,” Afghan President Ashraf Ghani said in a tweet addressed to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi on June 4. “Welcome to your second home. We are delighted to have you in Afghanistan.” Modi responded with a tweet in Pashto. “Thank you Afghanistan,” he said. “My short journey today is reflective of the historic friendship between the two countries, friendship that is tied to the benefit of people of both countries.” The occasion was the inauguration of the multi-million-dollar Salma Dam in western Afghanistan that will bring power and irrigation to vast tracts of the war-torn country.  On December 25, Modi had elicited similar welcome when he formally inaugurated the new Parliament House in Kabul. A friend of mine, who did various stints as a journalist, private entrepreneur and official functionary in Kabul between 1995 and 2015 before moving out of the country for higher studies in the United States, wrote to me an eye-opening message. He has good relationships in Pakistan and loves to be here, and some of the excerpts from his message are worth reading for all Pakistanis. Influence can flow from political and economic cooperation too “Iran, as many other regional and world actors, has had its proxy elements within Afghanistan who had been part of the bloody and notorious inter-factional fighting in the 1990s. As long as the patron, Iran, saw its interest in keeping friendly relations with Kabul to primarily please the United States, its agent(s) also had been playing a constructive role over the previous 10-15 years, as these elements were anyway given a greater portion of public values as a result of the Bonn Accord. “Now that president Ghani government has been effectively trying to reestablish peace in the country and reach a political agreement with the armed groups, some of the elements, including and prominently the traditionally Iranian agents, do not see such potential development(s) in their interest… Most of them have been acting/posing...

What Democracy?

Those coming into power on the back of poor peoples’ votes appear to loathe democratic conduct. They liken self-preservation and personal interests to democracy and equate any opposition  to an attack on democracy when questioned on their democratic conduct. What democracy are we talking about? Or is it a plutocracy that we speak of? (A country that is ruled by the richest people or a group of very rich people who have a lot of power, according to Merriam Webster dictionary.) The way elected ‘democrats’ run the country (contempt for cabinet meetings and disdain for parliament) clearly points to a plutocracy, which vociferously guards its rights under the garb of the rulers being ‘elected representatives’. They also immediately cite the country’s ‘peculiar conditions’ when reminded of their democratic responsibilities. How many real cabinet meetings — the forum for collective decisions — have taken place in the last three years? Less than a dozen! Political democracy requires financial democracy too i.e., equitable and accountable distribution and management of national resources. Is the epicentre of democracy i.e., the federal government ensuring this? Article 160, for instance, requires the federation to convene a meeting of the National Finance Commission (NFC) every year, ideally before the annual budget to award the designs of financial formulae of economic distribution to provincial and federal governments for five consecutive years. Although instituted in 1951, the NFC has thus far been awarded only seven times, including the 2009 award. This displays little regard for democratic inclusive federal governance, and clearly betrays the high-handed and insensitive attitude of the centre, particularly in the current context when we look at the conflict-battered provinces of Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan. A case in point was the logjam that accrued from the federal government’s arbitrary decisions on and preference for the eastern route over the crucial...

Is Chabahar a danger to Pakistan?

India and Iran recently inked the Chabahar Pact, sending alarm bells ringing in Pakistan. Located at the Sistan-Baluchistan province lying to the southern coast of Iran, it offers great strategic pathway to India, easily bypassing Pakistan. The route allows outreach to Afghanistan, a land locked country. For India, transport costs and freight time will approximately be reduced to a third to the Gulf as well as Central Asia. India has pledged $500 million towards the project. Besides this, India has already pledged $100 million for a 220-km road that will link western Afghanistan to Chabahar. Both India and Iran are driven by economic interests. Iran is interested in a free trade zone near Gwadar – to accelerate its economic development that had been held back by many years of sanctions it was blanketed under. Further, Saudi Arabia and Iran are rivals in the market of energy products. Interestingly, the Gulf Cooperation Council states and Saudi Arabia supply a good percentage of Oil India imports while Qatar is their biggest importer of natural gas. India on the other hand is rearing its head vying to be a regional leader and without doubt, the development of Chabahar will lead to a boost in her regional status. Lindsay Hughes, Research Analyst, Indian Ocean Research Programme writes, “India, however, does not appear to seek to only import Iranian oil; it wishes to invest in Iranian oil and gas fields, thus further securing its energy from that country.”(April 26, 2016) Chabahar, once it takes off, will offer better ingress to India into Afghanistan and Afghani markets, this will in turn lead to a stronger say with the Afghan government. This will also improve India’s chances to angle for Turkmenistan gas. Development of Gawadar Port had fallen in neglect although it was originally built in 2007 with the help of China. Only now, with CPEC coming up has Gwadar gained impetus and urgency. One of the biggest stumbling block to see Gwadar delivering on its promise is...

Ulasi Police Showcase: Police Reforms in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) Province

The Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) has broadcast three new episodes of its new flagship radio program “Ulasi Police” in the districts of Mardan, Peshawar and Charsadda on May 24, 25 and 26 respectively. “Ulasi Police” is an awareness and advocacy campaign undertaken by the Center - as part of USAID Small Grants and Ambassadors’ Fund Program - to strengthen the rule of law in KP province by promoting and disseminating the significant police reforms aimed at incorporating local communities’ policing needs and international human rights standards. The endeavor aims to ameliorate the trust deficit between the public and police, help KP police become an accountable and community-focused police force. Dispute Resolution Council (DRC): Ulasi Police aired from Pakhtunkhwa Radio, FM-92.6, Mardan on May 24, 2016 focused on Dispute Resolution Councils (DRC), their importance in justice system and performance in district Mardan then far. The program discussed several other aspects of the DRCs including the vision and mission of the establishment of DRCs, member and panel selection, case filing procedure, investigation process, monitoring and transparency, and the importance of DRCs in the provision of justice to general public and how they reduced burden on Police and judiciary. Mr. Ikhtiraz Khan, Deputy Superintendent Police (DSP) Rural, Mardan, said: “Approximately 400 cases have been successfully resolved by DRC in 2015. While in 2016, we have resolved 101 cases out of 183 registered and the remaining are in process, and by the end of this year, the figure will touch 650. All the members have taken a solemn oath to be impartial and honest.” The other guest participant was Mr. Arshad Manan, Lawyer and Member of Dispute Resolution Council (DRC), Mardan, Six Specialized Training Schools for KP Police: Ulasi Police aired from Pakhtunkhwa Radio, FM-92.2, Peshawar on May 25, 2016 focused on specialized training schools for KP police, and their importance in...

CHINA WATCH [May 31 – June 6]: Chabahar, Security Updates and Electricity Woes

This last week, news regarding China-Pakistan cooperation was dominated by Chabahar Port, security issues for Chinese nationals working on (China-Pakistan Economic Corridor) CPEC in Pakistan, and compounding electricity woes. Chabahar Former ambassador Javed Hussain has said that Iran and India have been working on Chabahar Port project for many years, and it is premature to say that the project would benefit the world to great extent.[1] Chabar, naturally, has emerged as a direct competitor to Pakistan’s Gawadar port, and the Indian investment in the region has been pronounced and unprecedented. For details, please see this detailed piece from our Research Fellow Sitwat Bokhari.[2] Maintaining diplomatic neutrality, the Iranian ambassador to Pakistan said Islamabad and Beijing are welcome to join New Delhi and Kabul in developing the strategic port of Chabahar in southeastern Iran.[3] This is an odd statement, given that His Excellency is fully cognizant of the sheer amount of time, effort, energy and resources Pakistan and China are pouring into Gawadar port to make it a success. Electricity Woes With the summer in full swing and temperatures soaring to 52 degrees Celsius, load shedding in the country has reached a record high, with the public up in arms about electricity shortages. To make matters worse, the $2.1 billion mega project of erecting 878-kilometre long transmission line to transmit 4,000MW electricity from Sindh under CPEC initiative has run into problems. The Chinese company that is to build this project has demanded from the National Transmission and Dispatch Company (NTDC) Rs33 billion as annual revenue for 25 years and sought the full capacity charges even if less than 4,000MW electricity is dispatched a day.[4] All things considered, this should get resolved sooner or later, but the fact that issues of this nature and scale continue to plague the cooperation mechanism is worrisome. The following day, Pakistan Economy Watch (PEW) said the...

Analysis: The Human Cost of Operation Zarb-e-Azb

Operation Zarb-e-Azb in Waziristan is in terminal phase. Though belatedly, the military has cleared the region of safe haven and wherewithal of renegade militants. The campaign was secretive. Journalists were flown into Waziristan only where the top commander wished so. The Pakistan Army did not risk trying a US-NATO style embedded journalism, probably fearing that a damaging book or long-form pieces may emerge later. Since the Peshawar school attack, the national consensus to root out any terrorist safe haven in the country has been unflinching. However, not everyone is mindful of how huge is the mission within the country’s limited means. Neither media-persons nor the civil society protested against the secretive nature of the operation until the last trip to Waziristan. The chopper flew over valleys and mountain slopes dotted with villages and hamlets. A vast majority of empty residential structures were devoid of rooftops. The military officials justified it, stating it was the most viable manner to keep a vigil on the areas cleared of militants. According to them, the landscape is treacherous with sufficient camouflage to an insurgent or guerilla fighter to sneak back in, with limited risk of being spotted. The other option, however, could have been to deploy troops on each village in sufficient numbers to keep a vigil. The cost of reconstructing rooftops was thought to be less expensive than deploying armed manpower for security of each cleared hamlet and valley. Even if Pakistan was equipped and could afford, technology has serious limitations in counter-insurgency operations. Moreover, the terrain in the Waziristan region could not have been more challenging. Spiral of issues The issue is not only limited to missing rooftops. The remaining structures do not look strong enough to hold a roof whenever built. Having withstood tremors of arms explosions and harsh weather, the walls are now crumbling. The region also has to start afresh from livelihood and...

Indian Current Agenda to Suppress the Kashmiri Freedom Movement

Demographic change stricto-senso refers to spatial or temporal changes in population in response to birth, migration, ageing or death. The factors responsible for demographic change may be natural such as rapid birth rate or deaths due to different natural or human follies such as wars etc. The demographic changes may affect the population numerically, ethnically, culturally, psychologically, economically besides many other ways. In the case of the State of Jammu and Kashmir, the demographic change is not the current agenda to suppress the Kashmir freedom movement but a well designed, deliberate and malicious policy of the Government of India right from the day of partition of the subcontinent through different manners including annihilation of the Muslim populace of the State and submerging the survivors by drastic constitutional and administrative measures to suppress the freedom movement fearing to lose the State in case the numerical demography continued as such and  fair and impartial plebiscite takes place in the meantime. The first onslaught was genocide of lakhs of Muslim in Jammu followed by forced migration of lakhs of Muslims to take refuge in Pakistan. To add insult to the injury, lakhs of west Punjab Hindus were settled in Jammu. The Muslim population of the State was 77% in the census of 1941, while it is reduced to 68.2% in 2011 census. It is consistently being reduced by forced migration of Muslims due to the State oppression and settlement of non-Muslims under different pretexts, be it the business or industry, employment in the federal services and their trickled down affects. The demography is affected innumerably by administrative measures of prolonging the stay of Military personnels, originally allowed as 12 to 18 thousand personnels under UNSC Resolution dated 23 Dec 1952, to more than one million now, with concentration in the Valley and the Muslim majority belt of Jammu and Kargil leaving worst effects on economy and culture. After...

Equality, Justice and Fair Play

by Zeeshan Salahuddin This past Wednesday, I sat in the company of well-educated, well-meaning and ostensibly enlightened people at a gathering in Islamabad. Puns were spun, jokes cracked, people lambasted for one thing or another. It was supposed to be a light, carefree evening. Then a friend commented on how she was not happy with the services of her maid. “TheseChuhras are so lazy,” she said. The statement was said in such a nonchalant, flippant way, that it shocked several of us. As the conversation went on, it was revealed that she did not know the term was derogatory, and that she didn’t see a problem with it. Pundits and activists bemoan the state of minority rights and the institutionalization of the marginalization of minorities in Pakistan, but in our own homes, backyards and gatherings, we are surrounded by people who, despite their fancy Ivy League degrees, are fundamentally ignorant of why the term Chuhra is derogatory, insensitive, and offensive. Obviously this is anecdotal, and I don’t have access to any data that suggests that even the best educated among us are not aware of the historical and constitutionalized prejudice faced by monitories in Pakistan. But this does not change the fact that even those that have the power to change attitudes, shape beliefs, and alter history are not armed with the knowledge necessary for a person in their position. She did not know the term was derogatory While Muslims around the world are excelling in their careers in predominantly non-Muslim societies because of equal opportunity and respect for diversity, in our own land of the pure, we have institutionalized the marginalization of minorities. For instance, our Constitution promises everyone equal citizenry under Article 25, which says, “All citizens are equal before law and are entitled to equal protection of law.” However, the same constitution also prevents any non-Muslims from holding the office of the President (Article 41(2)) or Prime Minister (Article...

Three Tests for a Modern Pakistan

By William Milam  CRSS Note: In this incisive analysis, former US ambassador to Pakistan, William Milam proffers three ways that can transform Pakistan’s society, economy and political structure. He argues that readiness of the civilians for political and economic structural reforms can increase their leverage and decrease the military’s predominance of the country’s politics. Two weeks ago, I wrote of the three major tests for those who hope to transform Pakistan from its “muddle through” path toward mediocrity and eventual failure, toward a virtuous circle leading to a modern society, economy, and political structure. The tests are: 1) Will the elected politicians choose to, and be able to, break their chain of dependency on the religious parties? 2) Will these same politicians – who seem to have recognized the counterproductive nature of zero-sum politics –  change the patrimonial character of their parties to make them democratic and issue oriented, to reflect the urban society that Pakistan is becoming? 3) As a natural result of that, can the political parties grasp the nettle of structural economic reform, widening the tax net to bring in the entire society into a formal economy that raises adequate revenue to live within its means while providing the services, especially in health and education, to make Pakistan really competitive in a globalized economy? These questions concern civil society politicians and their parties, and would in any society cause anxiety about the future. Politicians in most countries are not known for their perspicacity, their analytic depth, or their willingness to take risks. In Pakistan, however, as all readers will already be mumbling to themselves, there is an “elephant in the room” which cannot be ignored. The army will determine whether civil society reform efforts of the kind listed above have even a prayer of being answered positively. And the answer to the question of where the army stands on the question of such root and...

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TESTIMONIALS

I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.

Soniya Shams

Shaheed Benazir Bhutto Women University, Peshawar