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Insurgencies in South Asia: A Snapshot

PROLOGUE South Asia stands at a crossroads, beset by complex and enduring insurgencies that have profoundly shaped its socio-political landscape. The Maoist insurgency in India, the Baloch insurgency, and the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) insurgency in Pakistan each represent unique yet interconnected challenges that threaten regional stability. This report provides a critical insight into these insurgencies, offering background of their origins, evolution, and the pervasive impacts they have on regional peace and stability,  governance, security, and socio-economic conditions of the south asian nations. The Maoist insurgency in India, commonly referred to as Left Wing Extremism (LWE) or Naxalism, has long been a blight on the nation’s internal security. Despite significant efforts to curb its spread, the insurgency continues to thrive in the tribal heartlands, exploiting deep-rooted socio-economic disparities and governance failures. This insurgency lays bare the inadequacies of India's development policies, highlighting a persistent neglect of the marginalized communities. The loss of thousands of lives and the displacement of communities expose the fragility of India's development narrative and raise pressing questions about the state's capacity to address systemic inequalities. The persistence of Maoist violence testifies the gaps in the country's socio-economic fabric that remain unaddressed. In Pakistan, the Baloch insurgency spearheaded by the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) and the Baloch Liberation Front (BLF) has escalated to unprecedented levels. High-profile attacks, particularly targeting Chinese interests linked to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), underscore the insurgents’ evolving tactics and determination. The potential unification of BLA and BLF threatens to amplify the insurgency, posing significant challenges not only to Pakistan’s internal security but also to regional stability and international economic interests. The Baloch...

PAKISTAN’S VIEWPOINT OF AFGHANISTAN

In his paper for the Friedrich Naumann Foundation (FNF), Imtiaz Gul, the Executive Director of the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS), provides a comprehensive exploration of Pakistan's policy shifts towards Afghanistan following the Taliban's takeover in August 2021. The analysis sheds light on the growing security threats posed by the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and the challenges these developments create for Pakistan-Afghanistan relations. Gul also addresses the broader regional context, emphasizing the importance of pragmatic diplomatic efforts and humanitarian interventions to mitigate the crises facing Afghanistan. This paper offers valuable insights for policymakers, academics, and anyone interested in the evolving dynamics between Pakistan and Afghanistan and the wider implications for the region. Read more: https://www.freiheit.org/de/pakistan/pakistan-und-afghanistan

Global South, Ukraine conflict and geopolitical tensions

Warmongers and rumour mills, it seems, are working overtime to convince their electorate in Europe and the US of the august nature of their support for Israel and Ukraine. In essence their statements on Ukraine and Israel betray the double-faced exceptionalism that stems from their national and block interests. Truth and letigimate interests of smaller nations become the direct victim of such geopolitical endeavours - often at the cost of individual nations' sovereignty. The latter stands compromised when most developing nations begin suffering the consequences of the reckless and self-serving governance by the ruling elites. Invariably, these nations increasingly become dependent on aid, handouts and loans via the IMF and World Bank. These tools simply ensnare the countries - mostly in the South - into a dependence syndrome and thus deprives them of independent decision-making. Pakistan's nearly total reliance on IMF loans and the goodwill of Saudi Arabia, the UAE and China for survival is a case in point. It represents a living example of a member of the Global South sandwiched between the interests of the US-led West on the one hand and those of China and Russia on the other. Ukraine represents another extreme. Being a beneficiary of NATO's love, it is acting now as a willing instrument of geopolitics, trying to enlist the states of the Global South for an anti-Russian partnership and thus enforce a geopolitical shift. This effort includes initiatives such as peace summits, multilateral and bilateral dialogues and extensive media campaigns to pave the way in favour of Kiev's "peace process" that is also meant to extract ever more financial resources from Western capitals. Let us not forget that former American president Donald Trump had publicly dubbed Ukraine as "the third most corrupt country in the world". "Why should we give money to a country that's known corrupt? It's a very corrupt country. I mean, I love the people in Ukraine. I know Ukrainian people....

Three Years of Taliban Rule: Reflections on Afghanistan’s Turbulent Journey

Three years of Taliban rule reveal a fragile peace overshadowed by severe human rights restrictions, especially for women and girls. As Afghanistan faces deep economic and social challenges, critical questions arise about the international community's role and future engagement. August 2024 marks three years since the Taliban returned to power in Afghanistan, a milestone that brings with it mixed emotions and a complex legacy. The Taliban's takeover in August 2021 was swift and decisive, a moment that abruptly ended two decades of U.S. and NATO intervention in the country. Since then, the group has struggled to maintain its grip on power, balancing the implementation of its strict interpretation of Islam with the pragmatic demands of governance. As the Taliban celebrate their "victory" with military parades and symbolic gestures, the world watches closely, torn between the harsh realities of the regime's rule and the fragile hopes for Afghanistan's future. One of the most glaring aspects of Taliban rule has been the deterioration of rights and freedoms, particularly for women and girls. Afghanistan's current government is arguably the most discriminatory in the world when it comes to gender, imposing draconian restrictions that have effectively erased women from public life. Bans on education, employment, and even leisure activities for women reflect a deeply entrenched system of gender apartheid. This regression has not only limited the opportunities for half the population but has also diminished the overall potential for Afghanistan's development. The silence that has descended on Afghanistan's political scene is equally troubling. The once vibrant and chaotic political landscape, characterized by intense competition and occasional violence, has given way to a one-party state. The Taliban's intolerance of dissent has driven many former politicians, journalists, and activists into exile or forced them into silence. The stifling of political and media freedoms...

Forging Regional Alliances: A Path to Advancing Women’s Rights in Afghanistan

Hamza Boltaev Head of Centre for Afghanistan and South Asian Studies at Institute for Advanced International Studies hamza.boltaev@iais.uz Aziza Mukhammedova Research fellow at Institute for Advanced International Studies aziza.mukhammedova@iais.uz Abstract: This article examines the challenges faced by international organizations in addressing the denial of women's rights in Afghanistan under Taliban rule and explores strategies to foster regional collaboration between Western countries and Afghanistan's Central Asian neighbours. Despite previous efforts, progress has been limited due to factors such as funding and support issues, cultural and ideological differences, a lack of direct influence, diminished international support, and a lack of a common strategy. To overcome these challenges, a new vision is proposed, which includes engaging neighbouring countries, empowering women at the local level, respecting local culture, and implementing scholarship initiatives and infrastructure development. The article highlights the importance of strategic engagement, grassroots empowerment, and cultural sensitivity in paving the way for tangible progress in women's rights. The internal ideological splits within the Taliban also offer a glimmer of hope, as pragmatists within the movement recognize the need to address women's rights within the framework of Sharia law. By involving the right actors and adopting a nuanced approach, there is a possibility of achieving tangible results in collaboration with the Taliban. The article concludes by emphasizing the need for a shift in strategy and united international support to effectively address the denial of women's rights in Afghanistan. Since the Taliban came to power in Afghanistan, the efforts of international organizations, in collaboration with local stakeholders, have proven ineffective in achieving desired outcomes. Recognizing the urgent need to address the denial of women’s rights to higher education, employment, and...

Ethical Journalism in Pakistan: Navigating Issues and Challenges

In a world where the truth often struggles to be heard amidst the noise of misinformation, the importance of ethical journalism cannot be overstated. Recognizing this, the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) recently organized a dialogue titled "Ethical Journalism in Pakistan: Navigating Issues and Challenges." This dialogue underscored the significance of integrity, accuracy, and responsibility in journalism, addressing the prevalent lack of adherence to ethical standards among media outlets and journalists in Pakistan. Mr. Sabookh Syed, a seasoned journalist, delivered the keynote address to audience comprising young professionals, aspiring journalists, and media students. He centered on the principles, challenges, and best practices of ethical journalism within the Pakistani media landscape. Syed critically recalled the evolution of media ethics, from journalism's golden age between 1900 and 1950 to the challenges faced during the Cold War. He also discussed the transformative impact of email, the internet, and the digital age on journalism. In his view, the digital era necessitates rigorous verification processes and an unwavering commitment to ethical standards. Syed highlighted several current challenges in the media environment, including the proliferation of fake news, state-sponsored propaganda that promotes specific narratives, and the mainstream media's tendency to prioritize content that drives viewership over content that serves the public interest. He also noted the increasing influence of marketing departments due to their financial power. Additionally, the rise of social media has exacerbated the spread of fake news, given the absence of thorough fact-checking processes that are more typical of traditional media. The participants discussed the lack of focus on local issues in the media and highlighted the disparity in coverage between international and domestic matters. They pointed out that while the media extensively covers events in...

Economic Assistance to Afghanistan after Taliban Takeover August 2021

BY SHAHANA NASEER & TARIQUE HAFEEZ Amidst the international sanctions and humanitarian crisis that followed in August 2021 in Afghanistan, various international players have actively supported the country through humanitarian and economic assistance. The following is a breakdown of the substantial international efforts to provide development aid to Afghanistan amidst the ongoing political and economic challenges. Each country and organization that has played a crucial role in addressing the humanitarian crisis and supporting the Afghan population in various critical sectors is listed below: U.S. 2021 S. humanitarian aid for the country and for Afghan refugees in the region has totaled nearly $474 million so far this year. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/22/us/politics/afghanistan-sanctions-aid-taliban.html S. Assistance to Afghanistan. The United States remains the largest donor to programs supporting the Afghan people, disbursing more than $2.8 billion for humanitarian and development assistance since the Taliban takeover in August 2021. https://www.sigar.mil/interactive-reports/sigar-quarterly-report-2024-01-30/#:~:text=U.S.%20Assistance%20to%20Afghanistan,-An%20Afghan%20woman&text=The%20United%20States%20remains%20the%20largest%20donor%20to%20programs%20supporting,Taliban%20takeover%20in%20August%202021. More than $1.73 billion of the nearly $2.52 billion appropriated for assistance to Afghanistan since the end of FY 2021 has gone toward humanitarian assistance, representing 69% of the total, and another $404 million, or 16% of the total, went toward development assistance. https://www.sigar.mil/pdf/quarterlyreports/2023-10-30qr.pdf Amount: $2.8 billion Purpose: Humanitarian aid Source: https://thediplomat.com/2024/05/what-is-the-state-of-us-assistance-to-afghanistan-and-afghans/:~:text=The%20%242.8%20billion%20in%20appropriations,falling%20precipitously%20since%20October%202021. Amount: $12 million Purpose: Items such as food, health care and shelter...

Sincere Dialogue, Shared Responsibility and Indigenous Voices Catalysts for Stronger Pak-Afghan Relations

Challenges and tensions escalate when there are no conversations at any level of bilateral relationship and both sides refuse to resort to dialogue. Without open channels of communication, misunderstandings and mistrust flourish, exacerbating existing conflicts and creating new ones. Despite the numerous challenges jeopardizing their relationship, both nations must prioritize negotiations and diplomatic interventions over military options. Only through continuous and sincere dialogue can they hope to resolve their differences, build mutual trust, and pave the way for a peaceful and cooperative future. These remarks were made by Pakistan’s former ambassador to Afghanistan, Ayaz Wazir while charing the 5th round of Pak-Afghan Tribal Stakeholders Dialogue organized by Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) in Peshawar. Ambassador Wazir said that the issue of girls’ education lacks the focus and advocacy it deserves – especially by the broader Pakistani and Afghan societies who can help mobilize the much-needed pressure and citizens’ voices demanding to secure the future of Afghan youth and upholding their fundamental rights. A huge onus lies on the religious community whose scholars should engage and sit with the de factor Afghan leadership to understand the obstacles and concerns and come up with the solution that lives up to the Afghan nation’s aspirations. The efforts to empower female members of the society and educate them need to be taken and bolstered on both sides, especially in the border regions between Pakistan and Afghanistan which are yet to experience some serious developmental interventions. Pakistan and Afghanistan are conjoined twins, and are never meant not to be separated. Both countries must stop the blame game and channelize and address their security concerns by strengthening their security against threats from terrorism and prioritize counter-terrorism cooperation. Expressing solidarity with Afghanistan, Ambassador Wazir stated that...

COAS Can Save Pakistan From Economic Collapse By Addressing Energy Security

In October 2021, we wrote a letter to the then Chief of Army Staff (COAS), General Qamar Javed Bajwa, to warn about the imminent threats posed by Circular Debt and Capacity Payments to Pakistan's national security. Our letter not only highlighted these critical issues but also offered practical solutions that could have averted the current crisis. Regrettably, our warnings and recommendations went unheeded, leading to the challenges the country now faces. We hope that in the future, such expertise and advice will be taken seriously to prevent similar crises. Here, we share the original letter to emphasize the urgency and importance of addressing these issues. It serves as a testament to the foresight provided and a reminder of the need for proactive measures in safeguarding our nation's security and economic stability. To General Qamar Javed Bajwa NI(M) HI(M)                                                                                         Oct. 03, 2021 Chief of the Army Staff of Pakistan Army GHQ Rawalpindi Subject- COAS Can Save Pakistan From Economic Collapse By Addressing Energy Security I would like to invite your kind attention towards the state of electricity in Pakistan and Karachi at large since I consider your involvement imperative; for the reasons that the events and orders and situations when the Ministry of Energy and enormous allied entities, including the National Power Regulator, (NEPRA) has to remain questionable in respect of transparent and bold conduct. The system and trust in the political economy of energy and its governance do not disallow us to say that I have lost faith and trust in the system. Just so you know – the letter is addressed to you, without malice or prejudice to any individual or office. I have tried to highlight the serious issue of Energy security, which has universally become a subset of National Security. This way it is sure that I can reach you most effectively on a subject of national importance.  Our archrival...

Terrorism Continues to Batter Pakistan

Outline During the second quarter of 2024, Pakistan witnessed 380 violence-linked fatalities and 220 injuries among civilians, security personnel, and outlaws, resulting from as many as 240 incidents of terror attacks and counter-terror operations. This includes 236 fatalities among civilians and security forces personnel. The northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) and the southwestern Balochistan provinces - both bordering Afghanistan, were the epicenters of violence, accounting for nearly 92% of all fatalities and 87% of attacks (including incidents of terrorism and security forces operations) during this period. Individually, the former suffered 67% and the latter 25% of all fatalities in Q2, 2024. The data indicates that the remaining regions were relatively peaceful, suffering only 8% of all fatalities. Violence and Casualty Rates Across the Country Plummeted in Q2, 2024 Reduction in Overall Violence:The country experienced a 12% reduction in overall violence, with 380 fatalities recorded compared to 432 in Q1 2024. Sharp Decline in Casualties:A similarly encouraging trend can be observed in terms of casualties recorded throughout the country which dropped significantly, from 802 in Q1 to 600 in Q2 2024, marking a substantial 25% decline. Regional Success Stories Balochistan Leads with Remarkable Improvement: Balochistan:The most notable improvement was seen in Balochistan, where violence decreased by 46%, with fatalities falling from 178 in Q1 to 96 in Q2 2024. Sindh:Violence in Sindh also saw a notable decline of 32%. GB and ICT:Similar downward trends were reported. However, Punjab and KP experienced a surge in violence, with an increase of 13 and 31 fatalities, respectively, compared to the previous quarter. Who Suffers Most: A Breakdown of Fatalities Outlaws Hit Hardest: Outlaws accounted for the majority of fatalities (38%), followed by civilians (32%) and security and government officials (30%). Compared to Q1, civilian and security forces' fatalities...

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TESTIMONIALS

I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.

Soniya Shams

Shaheed Benazir Bhutto Women University, Peshawar