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China is losing more of its manufacturing and export dominance
According to the latest data in the CNBC Supply Chain Heat Map report, China released its latest economic data where the figures do not show a healthy state of affairs, as the economy is struggling domestically and internationally. The main factors attributing to its slowdown can be China’s zero-covid policy and its ongoing trade conflict with the US. Undoubtedly, China’s zero covid policy is a significant factor in the erosion of its long-term dominance in global trade. “China’s Zero Covid approach is impacting production and manufacturers are seeking for alternatives to the current ‘factory of the world’,” said Antonella Teodoro, senior consultant at MDS Transmodal. China has lost ground in profitable consumer categories like the furniture, clothing, accessories, footwear, travel goods and products industries, as there has been a significant decline in production costs since 2016, which has had an influence on the global industrial economy. China’s share of global exports of consumer goods has fallen since 2016 While Vietnam has invested in Metal manufacturing products, Malaysia and Bangladesh have taken over the apparel manufacturing sector. From 2016 to present, Malaysia and Bangladesh have merged into the apparel and accessories domain, what once used to be part of China’s expertise. Since 2018, US trade tariffs have also been looking for alternate sources in China for manufacturing and disruption in costs. This could also be due to the heavy supply demand from other neighboring countries. Bangladesh and Malaysia have eaten into China’s global share of clothing and accessories exports in recent years A rise in intra-regional trade in Asia has been observed for manufacturing especially in Vietnam and other southeast Asian countries. In the years before to Covid, the competition had grown fierce. Vietnam has taken the lion’s share of the manufacturing trade away from China with an almost 360% increase in far-distance trade since 2014. “Vietnam’s close...
Russia-India Bilateral Trade To Track To Reach US$40 Billion As Cheap Oil Exports Increase
Setting Up In India Can Alleviate An EU Energy Crunch As Cheap Energy Fuels Productivity And GDP Growth The Ukraine conflict is having the effect of significantly boosting Russia’s trade with numerous nations, as the world’s largest energy player goes in search of new markets in the wake of energy sanctions being imposed by the West. Trade with India, which Russian President Putin and Indian Prime Minister Modi had been previously set as a target of US$30 billion to be achieved by 2025, is set to be well over that, three times earlier than planned. India’s bilateral trade with Russia has risen to a record high of US$18.2 billion between April and August, according to India’s Commerce and Industry Ministry. Compounded, that indicates a 12 monthly level of US$43.2 billion. This has been fuelled by a surge in the import of oil and fertilizers. Source: Indian Ministry of Commerce & Industry When the conflict with Ukraine broke out in February, many nations, including India, scrambled to find trade alternatives for commodities Russia exported. Moscow then provided discounts, to motivate energy production and supplies to alternative energy markets. India’s energy needs for example, according to the Central Electricity Authority (CEA), an advisory body to India’s Federal Power Ministry, have said that India’s power demand would reach 1,874 billion units by March 2027, compared with 1,320 billion units in the fiscal year ending March 2022. Moscow offered discounts on Russian crude and fertilizers to ensure India maintained trade and illustrate to New Delhi that it could satisfy India’s growing needs. As a result, Russia is now India’s seventh-biggest trading partner. India’s imports from Russia have typically included petroleum oil and other fuel items, and fertilizers, mixed in with consumables such as coffee and tea, spices, and animal and vegetable fats. As at now, fertilizers and fuel alone accounted for over 91% of bilateral trade in 2022. In September, Russia...
Revisiting Existing Laws – to Gauge their Relevance – also Required for Rule of Law: SP Cantt. Peshawar
Rule of law and democracy are interlinked as they belong to a similar set of universal values and principles. They are mutually reinforcing; where upholding rule of law is essential for the protection of all human rights and fundamental freedoms as well as to achieve sustained economic growth, sustainable development, and eradication of poverty and hunger. Both are means to the same end purpose; safeguarding individual liberties and protection. These remarks were made by Mr. Muhammad Azhar Khan, Superintendent of Police (SP) Cantt, Peshawar, during the KP Chapter of Paving Pathways to Social Cohesion - Faculty Members Workshop Series, organized by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS). He said that revisiting existing laws to gauge their responsiveness, application and adaptability to the changing context and realities is also a subject of rule of law. The onus to uphold rule of law lies on all the actors as part of the legal system, as exploitation of the system in their personal/ selfish interest to take unfair advantage out of it, even by a few of them can be detrimental to rule of law, hamper public access to justice and affect the credibility of the entire system. While rule of law means that everyone is equally subject to and accountable before the law, it also means accountability of law and procedures as well as the ones implementing the law. It is most certainly our right to be protected by laws, but at the same time, we are responsible to respect laws. The notion of rule of law cannot be seen through the rights paradigm alone, careful consideration and fulfillment of obligations is also a prerequisite. As a matter of responsible citizenship, the citizens must duly consider that in exercising their freedoms; of movement and assembly, they should not affect others’ freedoms. Speaking at the workshop, Advocate Ali Gohar Durrani, Founding Partner, Shah Durrani Khattak Law Firm, noted that social cohesion demands that every member of the society...
20th CPC National Congress concludes- Xi affirms his confidence as he secures third term in power
On October 23, 2022, President Xi Jinping officially began his third term as president of China. The congress party’s leadership groups were chosen by around 2,300 delegates, to be formally announced in March during the government’s annual legislative sessions. Xi was also reappointed head of China’s Central Military Commission, keeping him in charge of the People’s Liberation Army. Furthermore, the appointment of six of Xi’s protégés and allies as members of the Politburo Standing Committee was announced. They included Li Qiang, Xi’s former chief of staff, Ding Xuexiang, a close friend of Xi, and Li Xi, the president’s longstanding confidant and leader of the Guangdong party. Apart from two men, anti-corruption chief Zhao Leji and political theorist Wang Huning, the rest of the elected members are all new to the team. After introducing the team, President Xi gave a brief speech in which he thanked the party for placing its trust in them and vowed to bring about the great rejuvenation of the Chinese country on all fronts. He also stressed on modernization which would entail high-quality development and common prosperity, moderate wealth for all people rather than just a few. “I wish to thank the whole party sincerely for the trust you have placed in us,” Xi told journalists at Beijing’s Great Hall of the People after the closed-door vote was announced. No other leader besides Communist Party founder Mao Zedong has ever served a third term, this development solidifies Xi as the most powerful leader since Zedong. Leaders of China’s allies, Russia’s Vladimir Putin and North Korea’s Kim Jong-un were among the first to send their congratulations. The United States offered no immediate response. Pakistan’s President Arif Alvi and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif also congratulated Xi Jinping on securing a third term as chief of China’s Communist Party (CPC). The president said in his message that China is Pakistan’s true friend and expressed hope that relations between the...
What lies behind communal violence in Leicester?
The causes of the surge in communal violence in Leicester can be traced back to demographic changes in the city’s South Asian population and the use of social media as a tool by the direct preparators and indirect influencers of violence. Extremist ideologies of Hindu and Muslim fundamentalist groups and religiously-influenced political figures are also chiefly responsible. The clashes that occurred in September 2022 between Hindu and Muslim communities in Leicester were shocking news for many. But the incidents did not come as a surprise for those who have been observing a growing trend of extremism in the Indian polity which has all the ingredients for its spill over to the countries where the Indian diaspora has been thriving and multiplying in number. In 1951, Leicester had only 624 South Asian residents; today, it has one of the highest numbers of South Asian residents, the majority of whom are from India. Of these Indians, 13 percent are Muslims and 12.3 percent are Hindus. Until the recent incidents of communal violence, Leicester was considered to be a model city for religious harmony and tolerance with freedom for both communities to celebrate their religious festivals like Diwali, Eid, and Vaisakhi. The recent communal riots that occurred soon after the India-Pakistan cricket match in late August 2022 shattered the peaceful image Leicester had for many decades. Although victims tend to cite reasons that suit them well, the real causes of it are far more complex than what is currently being perceived and discussed by many analysts. The use of social media for spreading rumours and false news, uncontrolled migration into the UK, pursuing Hindutva policies away from home, and the delayed action by the police force in defusing the tension in the area are some of the main factors for this sudden outburst of violence in a city known for its peaceful environment. The press in India and Pakistan is also playing a role that often promotes a message of blaming...
Li Qiang: Xi loyalist likely to be China’s next premier
One of President Xi Jinping’s most trusted proteges, Li Qiang is almost certain to become China’s next premier after he was unveiled as number two in the Communist Party hierarchy on Sunday. The Shanghai party boss leapfrogged over two other candidates seen as having more traditional qualifications for the role — a shock move confirming that Xi has stacked the party’s Politburo Standing Committee, the highest echelon of power, with his allies. Li’s chances of getting such a high-ranking role were seen to have been endangered by the harsh two-month Shanghai lockdown he oversaw earlier this year, in which the financial hub’s 25 million residents struggled to access food and basic medical care. “If proof were needed that loyalty trumps meritocracy in Xi’s China, Li Qiang’s elevation provides it,” said Richard McGregor, senior fellow at the Lowy Institute in Sydney. “Li might be quite capable, and may make a good premier, but it is hard to see how he got there other than through Xi’s personal favour.” Although it is not unusual for former Shanghai chiefs to be promoted to the party’s top ranks, unlike almost all previous premiers, Li does not have experience at the central government level as a vice premier. But he has rich local administration experience, having taken top leadership roles in the affluent provinces of Zhejiang and Jiangsu. Crucially, he served as Xi’s chief of staff between 2004 and 2007 while he was the party boss of Zhejiang. His rapid promotions since then reflect Xi’s high degree of trust in him. He was parachuted into Jiangsu by Xi in 2016 after a corruption scandal took down several provincial officials, before becoming party secretary of Shanghai the following year. In his capacity as premier, Li would also act as the head of China’s cabinet, the State Council. The role traditionally involves responsibility for the day-to-day running of the country, as well as macroeconomic policy. “(Li) was seen as a business-friendly local leader but it’s...
Third Term for President : Endorsement of XI Thought
October 23 marks another watershed day in the political history of China under President Xi Jinping; on this day, Xi, also general secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee, not only secured a record third term as the President but also presented the Party’s new central leadership when meeting the press at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. The strongman of the Peoples’ Republic also presented six newly elected members of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the 20th CPC Central Committee: Li Qiang, Zhao Leji, Wang Huning, Cai Qi, Ding Xuexiang, and Li Xi. With the conclusion of the week-long Congress, Xi Jinping consolidated his power as the new undisputed leader of modern China. Representatives from all over China unanimously endorsed the philosophy meanwhile known as the XI Thought, focused largely on internal socio-economic development and external collaborative mechanisms through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Interestingly, there was no mention of the BRI in the resolution with a greater focus on internal development back by scientific knowledge, research and hard work. This was also reflected in the Resolution on report of the 19th Central Committee of the 20th Congress that was adopted unanimously a day earlier. “The rejuvenation of the Chinese nation is now on an irreversible historical course. Scientific socialism is brimming with renewed vitality in 21st-century China,” The Congress with nearly 2,200 delegates drawn from all over the country, underscored three permanent features that serve as the guiding principles for continuing the socialist model of governance with Chinese characteristics i.e. adherence to Marxism-Leninism, Mao Zedong Thought, Deng Xiaoping Theory, the Theory of Three Represents, and the Scientific Outlook on Development. The Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era is meanwhile the overarching philosophy that now dominates the republic. “It is a...
US-Saudi rift intensifies over decision to reduce oil production
The US has strongly reacted to OPEC’s recent, unprecedented decision to cut its oil production by 2 million barrels a day, effective November, thereby increasing the price of oil in the market. The Biden Administration says that the decision will have consequences. However, Saudi Arabia claims that the measure to reduce oil production was undertaken to avoid global recession and was not motivated by politics. The OPEC cartel recently made the unexpected decision of cutting its oil production by 2 million barrels a day, effective November, thereby increasing the price of oil in the market. Amongst its 13 members, Saudi Arabia and Russia are the leading exporters, and any decision regarding cuts or rise in production is influenced by them. This decision did not go down well with the US, as it believes Saudi Arabia is supporting Russia in its invasion of Ukraine. They argue that higher global oil prices would boost revenue and profit, financing their war machine. This move by the Saudis comes at a crucial time for the Biden Administration as it gears up for midterm elections next month, therefore, any increase in gasoline prices could affect the campaign. Furthermore, the Biden Administration has also reacted furiously to the decision because it views Saudi’s move to cut in production as a snub to the US, especially after President Biden reluctantly travelled to Saudi Arabia in July, with assurances by the Saudis to calm the market and stabilize prices. However, it did not work out as planned and has resulted in an uproar within US circles with chants of “Saudi Betrayal”. Senior Democrats in the US have called for retaliatory measures and a thinning of ties with Saudi Arabia, a key ally of the US in the region. Three Democratic representatives also promised a bill to remove US troops and missile systems from the region, calling the OPEC+ production cut a “turning point in our relationship” with Gulf partners. The president is disappointed by the OPEC decision and is...
US walks back Biden’s quip, terms TTP ‘threat’
WASHINGTON: The US continued to back-pedal from President Joe Biden’s position on Pakistan’s nuclear programme as the State Department said on Tuesday that Washington sought a strong partnership with Pakistan to counter global and regional terrorism and also has confidence in its ability to defend its nuclear assets. “Few countries suffer from terrorism like Pakistan and have a shared interest in combating threats to regional stability and security from groups like TTP,” spokesperson Vedant Patel said. On Monday, the State Department had quashed speculations stirred by President Biden’s remarks when it clarified that the US was confident of Pakistan’s ability to keep its nuclear assets safe and secure. Endorsing the confidence expressed by previous US administrations as well, State Department spokesperson Vedant Patel said: “The United States is confident of Pakistan’s commitment and its ability to secure nuclear assets.” The clarification followed a meeting between Ambassador Masood Khan and a senior aide to the US Secretary of State, Counsellor Derek Chollet. After the meeting, both sides expressed the desire to continue rebuilding their partnership. In addition, a member of the US Senate Committee on Foreign Relations said on Tuesday that President Biden’s remarks were not deliberate, or the administration would not have clarified them on Monday. Democratic senator from Maryland, Chris Van Hollen, said: “I was pleased to see the State Department issue a clarification, making it clear that the United States government has confidence in the security of Pakistan’s nuclear weapons systems”. When asked how US lawmakers viewed this controversy, he dismissed media speculation about a change in the US policy towards Pakistan’s nuclear programme. Asked if President Biden had just made off-the-cuff remarks or his statement indicated a policy change, he said: “I think it was off-the-cuff remarks. I’m speculating here, but that would be my reading, and that is why the...
Pakistan to take up climate financing issue at COP27, says minister
ISLAMABAD: “Loss and damage” — consequences of climate change that go beyond what people can adapt to or when a community doesn’t have the resources to access or utilise existing options — will be central to this year’s UN climate change conference, Climate Minister Sherry Rehman told the first meeting of the Pakistan Climate Change Council (PCCC) on Tuesday. The 2022 UN Climate Change Conference, more commonly referred to as COP27, is scheduled to be held from Nov 6 to 18 in Egypt’s Sharm El Sheikh city. “The COP27 must capitalise the adaptation fund and introduce agility and speed in countries that need to build resilience,” Ms Rehman told the meeting, chaired by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, while talking about bringing the climate financing agenda at the forefront of the UN meeting. “Simplified, long-term climate financing instruments are needed to plug severe capacity deficits in the developing countries right now as the protracted periods of pipelining funds lose potency when resilience needs change faster than the speed of resource dispersion,” she said. “We need climate funds that are easy to access, predictable transfers. We must reduce the delays in funds mobilisation; the needs end up changing on the ground by the time the funds arrive,” she added. The minister also brought to light the lack of financial and technical resources that Pakistan is facing in its flood response efforts. “The government has repurposed all its existing budgetary envelopes, including all climate adaptation and resilience funds, to continue to provide ex-gratia compensation to flood-affected households, as the toll of fatalities and loss and damage keep rising. To secure climate resilience funds for building capacity and national action plans and strategies, as part of climate finance, we must go through a lengthy process of two to three years to activate these funds,” she said. The minister said her ministry would be raising the loss and damage agenda at the COP27. “The...
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I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.