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Would there be any change in Afghan Taliban?
The US and the Afghan Taliban engaged in a series of discussions over a period of eighteen months to reach a consensus on how the US and NATO forces would withdraw peacefully. A wave of jubilation spread all around the region when the US and Taliban signed a peace agreement on 29 February, 2020. However, as the status quo suggests, the Taliban have not complied to any of the international demands made since the initiation of peace negotiations. “In a multi-ethnic and diverse society such as that of Afghanistan, no single group, party, or faction, can claim to hold power by itself alone,” said Amir Saeed Iravani, the permanent representative and ambassador of Iran to the UN. It raises the question of whether all those efforts of the US that it used to negotiate with the Afghan Taliban as a solo group and to sign a peace agreement with them were futile attempts? There are many other reasons that keep leading to this conclusion. The US and the Afghan Taliban engaged in a series of discussions and negotiations over a period of eighteen months to reach a consensus on how the US and NATO forces would withdraw peacefully. Following former US President Donald Trump’s , announcement that the US would be reducing its military presence in Afghanistan, all the regional countries began interacting with the Taliban to discuss regional security issues and play their role in a peaceful exit of US and NATO forces from Afghanistan. In December 2018, the Taliban visited UAE to meet with US, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia as the diplomatic efforts stepped up to end the war. The year 2019 witnessed a flurry of trips by the Taliban from Doha to Moscow to have meetings with foreign diplomats and even rub shoulders with those Afghan leaders who were once their opponents. Iran, an arch enemy of the Taliban because of their anti-Shi’ite stance, invited them in January 2019 to discuss what the Taliban declared as a review of “the post-occupation situation, restoration of peace and...
Delusions, Exclusions from Peace Talks and Corruption caused Fall of Kabul
The biggest reason for the fall of Kabul on August 15, 2021 was the Ghani administration’s misplaced delusion that the US would never withdraw from Afghanistan. Government through a small coterie of aides, all-pervasive corruption within governance structures and exclusion from the US-Taliban negotiations that began under President Donald Trump were some of other pressing reasons that precipitated the fall of the Afghan capital to the Taliban. These stark conclusions stand out in the special report that the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR) has submitted before the Oversight and Reform Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives. The committee had asked SIGAR, John Sopko to inform the house on what triggered the fall of Kabul despite a massive security and financial engagement of the US and Allies since 2002.SIGAR also investigated the US role – leadership and management of Afghanistan since 2002 – while assessing the causes of the collapse of the Afghan government and the relative success or failure of the American reconstruction efforts in the conflict-battered country. Below are the Six major elements that SIGAR mentioned as contributing factors to the fall of the Afghan government. The Afghan administration was oblivious to the fact that the US would truly withdraw. The United States had wavered on the subject of military withdrawal for almost 20 years and through three U.S. presidents. Even as the United States formally stated its intention to leave Afghanistan in the years before its departure, inconsistent messaging from American officials undermined efforts to persuade Afghan officials, who had an optimistic outlook on alternative outcomes, of the seriousness of U.S. intentions. As a result, when the US troops and its contractors left, the Afghan government was fundamentally unfit to lead the war against the Taliban. It was weakened and undermined by the Afghan government’s isolation from US-Taliban negotiations. Before...
Why The Afghan Government Collapsed
After the fall of the Republic on August 15, 2021, the Oversight and Reform Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives asked Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR) to investigate the causes of the collapse of the Afghan government and the relative success or failure of American reconstruction efforts to establish and maintain Afghan governing institutions since 2002. Six elements were noted by SIGAR as contributing to the fall of the Afghan government: 1. First, the Afghan administration was oblivious to the fact that the US would truly withdraw. The United States had wavered on the subject of military withdrawal for almost 20 years and through three U.S. presidents. Even as the United States formally stated its intention to leave Afghanistan in the years before its departure, inconsistent messaging from American officials undermined efforts to persuade Afghan officials, who had an optimistic outlook on alternative outcomes, of the seriousness of U.S. intentions. As a result, when the US troops and its contractors left, the Afghan government was fundamentally unfit to lead the war against the Taliban. 2. Second, it was weakened and undermined by the Afghan government’s isolation from US-Taliban negotiations. Before the fall of the Afghan government in August 2021, a permanent political settlement that would bring about long-term peace and stability was the main objective of the United States in Afghanistan. That objective was hampered by the Taliban’s refusal to communicate with the Afghan government without first engaging in negotiations with the US. By dealing with the Taliban first, the United States attempted to avoid this and lay the way for an intra-Afghan peace process and perhaps an Afghan political settlement. The U.S.-Taliban accord, however, had no such impact. Instead, the Afghan government was weakened by its exclusion from U.S.-Taliban discussions and the belief that the United States was ceasing its support, and the...
Xi confronts Trudeau over alleged leaks in G-20 clash
Chinese President Xi Jinping and Canadian PM Justin Trudeau on Wednesday (16th November 2022) exchanged barbs on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Bali over the leaked reports of their meeting. Xi confronted Trudeau at the Group of 20 summit, accusing him of disclosing information about a private discussion between the men. In what may have been a very unusual open remark caught on television, an agitated Xi, whose image is carefully curated by Chinese official media, was seen protesting to Trudeau’s claim that whatever they discussed in a prior meeting was leaked to the media. https://matrixmag.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Gt0_1Njp7muxrfbr.mp4 “Everything we discuss has been leaked to the paper, that’s not appropriate,” Xi told Trudeau through a translator. That is not how the conversation was conducted,” he said. “If you are being sincere, we must communicate with mutual respect,” Xi added. “If not, I’m not so sure how it will turn out.” But Trudeau interrupted the translator, saying: “We believe in free, open and frank dialogue and that is what we will continue to have, but there will be things we will disagree on.” Xi was dismissive stating, “Lets put the conditions first,” before shaking the Canadian Prime Ministers hand and turning away. Trudeau held talks with Xi, the first in more than three years, at the G20 summit , according to Canadian officials. Media reports said Trudeau had brought up “serious concerns” about alleged espionage and Chinese “interference” in Canadian elections during the discussion. Asked later at a news conference about the exchange with Xi, Trudeau said “not every conversation is always going to be easy, but it’s extremely important that we continue to stand up for the things that are important for Canadians”. The original meeting on Tuesday lasted for 10 minutes and was an informal chat on the sidelines of the summit, a Canadian government source told the Reuters news agency. China’s state-run Global Times said that the two...
With The U.S. Out Of Afghanistan, China Comes Calling
The first thing you see walking out of Kabul’s airport is a billboard advertising Chinatown, which, if you visit, turns out to be a plain, off-white trio of 10-story towers in the Afghan capital’s Taimani district. On the ground floor are shops selling Chinese products, including lights, office furniture, fans, electric bicycles, kitchen equipment, garden tools, pipe fittings, solar panels, toiletries, clothes, decorations and Clean Laundry detergent, which promises “disintegration of the stain.” Most visitors’ first stop is the office of Yu Minghui, the 51-year-old entrepreneur who started Chinatown in 2019 and who doubles as chairman of the China-Afghanistan Trade Committee, a semiofficial liaison office for Yu’s passion project: bringing Chinese merchants to Afghanistan. The office helps them obtain visas, navigate the market and make connections. Those who like their chances can join Chinatown or rent space in Yu’s newest undertaking, a sprawling 350-acre, $216-million industrial park on Kabul’s northeastern edge — the first infrastructure project signed between a Chinese company and the Taliban government. “They want to help foreigners invest here,” Yu said of Afghanistan’s hard-line Islamic rulers. “The government is now supporting us.” Behind his efforts is at least the tacit support of another government: his own. With the West focused on Ukraine and the U.S. refusing to deal with a Taliban-led state, China sees an opportunity to extend its influence in its backyard, using commercial ties to help forge a stable regional order and demonstrate that its brand of economic diplomacy — buttressed by a steadfast policy of noninterference in domestic affairs — can achieve success where Washington’s 20-year misadventure in Afghanistan could not. The efforts are nothing like the United States’ gargantuan nation-building campaign. Instead, Beijing’s goal is to neutralize the dangers from what has long been a problematic neighbor, while pursuing wider policies such as...
What Afghanistan Needs For Recognition
Afghanistan is facing a governance crisis. The ruling group’s stringent measures and inflexibility have caused public dismay. While the de facto authority implores the world for recognition, they can not have it if the people at home are unhappy and unsatisfied. People’s welfare and local and national reforms should be the priority. Resolving issues with the country fellows is a much better and more respectful procedure to proceed forward – making way for domestic reforms – than begging the international community for legitimacy and recognition. Looking back at the past, one can not afford to commit violence as pressure for reforms as it would not lead to success. There is a need to be more serious and focus on political settlement rather than repeating the pungent past. In addition to the obligatory status of education in the charter of the United Nations and other global organizations, education is considered compulsory for everyone in Islam. Unfortunately, middle and high school female students in Afghanistan are banned from attending schools for more than 400 days. This petrifying act has severely damaged the global image of the Taliban and Afghanistan. Freedom of expression is a vital human right. Islam advocates and appreciates the freedom of expression – given that it is not violating moral and spiritual redlines. The suppression of freedom of expression is a misinterpretation of Islamic values by the kitchen cabinet members of the monarch. On the other hand, it is ironic that though such laws exist in certain Muslim societies, racial discrimination and blasphemy have become the most dangerous and provocative weapon under the title of freedom of expression. Such criminalization is considered to be the root cause of radicalism and fundamentalism. Taking into account the current trend of information technology developments, it looks nearly impossible for a backward country to impose censorship and ban on media. Therefore, in compliance with the principles of...
‘Pakistan’s share in global arms export market growing’
Made-in-Pakistan weapons are so effective that they determine the outcome of war. According to one private-sector arms manufacturer present at the 11th International Defence Exhibition and Seminar (IDEAS) 2022, his company’s 40mm single-shot grenade launchers played a “key role” in helping Sri Lanka win its war against the Tamil Tigers in the late 2000s. “Their chief of army staff called our CEO to thank him personally,” Daudsons Armoury Ltd General Manager Irfan Ahmed told Dawn on Wednesday. He said about 30 per cent of the company’s total revenue comes from export channels while the rest originates from the domestic market, which consists of the armed forces, law enforcement agencies and private citizens. Most exhibitors that Dawn spoke to were reluctant to go into specifics with regard to the size of their operations, pricing and clientele given the secretive nature of the arms business. But many of them happily stated that foreign business has been flourishing for the last many years. “We export weapons mainly to the Middle Eastern countries. I can say confidently that Pakistani businesses are growing their share in the global arms market. That’s because our quality is a lot better than that of arms manufacturers from other, comparable nations,” he said. According to trade data compiled by the International Trade Centre (ITC), Pakistan exported arms and ammunition worth $3.8 million in 2021. In contrast, imports amounted to $30.1m in the same year. These figures appear understated as the original source of the ITC data is the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics. Daudsons Armoury makes aircraft bombs weighing from 250 pounds to 2,000 pounds for the Pakistan Air Force and also sells the same to foreign governments. The state-owned ordnance producer has a monopoly over the explosive substance that goes inside a bomb. Daudsons Armoury produces the body of a bomb — a highly precise job in which even a minute inaccuracy can change the projectile’s centre of gravity and...
US, Pakistan launch initiative to deepen economic ties
The United States and Pakistan on Wednesday formally launched a robust initiative envisaging a string of measures to enhance bilateral trade between the two countries. US Ambassador to Pakistan Donald Blome and Pakistan’s Minister of State for Finance and Revenue Dr Aisha Ghaus Pasha launched the five-year project named the Investment Promotion Activity (IPA) to be implemented by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The IPA will help strengthen Pakistan’s business environment, build the capacity of Pakistani institutions focused on investment promotion, attract foreign direct investment, and increase US-Pakistan bilateral trade and investment. Overall, the project aims to reduce barriers to investment and trade by improving Pakistan’s investment promotion capabilities. According to the US Census Bureau, the USA imported Pakistani goods worth nearly $5.3 billion in 2021, and investments in Pakistan went up by 50 per cent in the past year. During the launch event, Ambassador Blome remarked that the US has been a leading investor in Pakistan for the past 20 years. He further said that by building on and expanding that strong foundation of economic cooperation, “we are continuously seeking to increase bilateral trade, boost investment, and improve entrepreneurial and educational opportunities for Pakistanis”. The US has long been Pakistan’s largest export market, with potential for further growth. The project will also provide grants to firms registered in Pakistan that are interested in enhancing trade with the US and have the potential to attract foreign direct investments. These grants will play a critical role in connecting Pakistani firms with US investors and other countries. Published in Dawn, November 17th, 2022
China to bring more stability, certainty
China will work with the United Nations to push for concrete progress in implementing the Global Development Initiative and the Global Security Initiative in order to bring more stability and certainty into a volatile world, President Xi Jinping said on Wednesday. Xi made the remark while meeting with UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres on the sidelines of the 17th G20 Summit in Bali, Indonesia. At a time when important changes have taken place across the global, Xi said all countries must put mankind's future and destiny above everything else and work together to overcome difficulties. "In particular, major countries should lead by example, instead of creating divisions or confrontations, or even profiting from others' misfortunes," he said. Xi expressed China's willingness to push for mankind's progress with Chinese modernization and to bring new opportunities for the world through the country's own development. Noting that developing countries, especially vulnerable ones, have been severely affected by the unprecedented challenges facing global development, Xi said development must be put at the center of the international agenda and efforts must be made to enable the fruits of development to better benefit every country and every person in a fairer way. To this end, all countries should act on what they say and present their achievements to the world instead of speaking empty words, he said. Xi also said that to achieve world peace, the purposes and principles of the UN Charter must be observed and the legitimate security concerns of all countries must be taken seriously. China is a staunch supporter of the international system with the UN at its core and will continue to uphold true multilateralism and support the UN's work, he added. "I'm convinced that the historical trend of peace, development, cooperation and win-win results is irresistible and that mankind has a bright future," Xi said. This is the second meeting between Xi and the UN chief this year....
Indo-Pacific Strategy: Competition Without Confrontation Possible?
The world is currently embroiled in an intense debate over the US-led Indo-Pacific Strategy (IPS) and the China-led Global Security Initiative (GSI). The much-anticipated meeting between US President Joe Biden and the Chinese strongman Xi Jinping at the Indonesian resort Bali (November 14) also took place in the context of these two tit-for-tat initiatives and provided a footnote to the simmering tensions over various issues between the two countries. “We’re going to compete vigorously. But I’m not looking for conflict, I’m looking to manage this competition responsibly,” Biden said after his talks with Xi on the sidelines of the G20 summit. In a post-meeting statement, Xi called Taiwan the “first red line” that must not be crossed in US-China relations. Biden , on his part, said he sought to assure President Xi that U.S. policy on Taiwan, which has for decades been to support both Beijing’s ‘One China’ stance and Taiwan’s military, had not changed. This reiteration by both signaled a visible break from the hostile rhetoric that has muddied their bilateral relations since Biden assumed Presidency. House President Nancy Pelosi’s controversial visit to Taiwan in August, too, had fueled tensions and triggered unusual rage in Beijing. The latest exchange between the two leaders offers yet another opportunity to dissect the US-led Indo-Pacific Policy (IPS) and the Chinese response to it – the Global Security Initiative (GSI). The IPS envisioned by the US directly confronts China and aims to curtail China’s economic and military influence in the region. Pakistan very much lies in the area covered by the Indo-Pacific strategy, given her strategic partnership with China, and can neither remain oblivious to the developments, nor remain unaffected. Pakistan, therefore, has to grasp the essentials of this new tussle between the leading powers of the world and must leverage its elements of national power to advance its for advancing its own national interests. A free and...
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I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.