Current Projects
Xi’s Gulf/Saudi Arabia Diplomatic Offensive
The deepening of ties between China and Saudi Arabia can be viewed as a significant development towards multipolar alliance. A vast majority of staunch Western allies in the Persian Gulf have recently come to the realisation that cooperation with Eurasian countries like China and Russia will serve their interests more effectively. Although there is no immediate threat to the US-Arab alliance in the near term, there is no doubt that there is a major shift taking place in the Arab world. On December 10, 2022, Chinese President Xi Jinping’s trip to Saudi Arabia came to a close. It was his first visit to the Middle East and can be defined as a historic diplomatic achievement with the Arab world. Xi also met with GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) heads of state to reach and secure long-term strategic agreements in the fields of culture, economy, science and regional security. The Chinese foreign ministry described this as “an epoch-making milestone in the history of the development of China-Arab relations.” The deepening of ties between the two countries is a major development towards multipolar alliance. The vast majority of other staunch Western allies in the Persian Gulf have recently also come to the realisation that cooperation with Eurasian countries like China and Russia will serve their interests more effectively. Xi was greeted with a warm welcome, in contrast to US President Joe Biden’s underwhelming trip with Saudi Arabia this summer, where he requested increased oil production but provided nothing substantial in return. The trip, in the opinion of experts, not only produced favourable economic and commercial outcomes, but it also showed that China will continue to promote regional development and support peace in the Middle East. During their meeting, China’s President Xi Jinping stated that China and Gulf nations should make full use of the Shanghai Petroleum and National Gas Exchange as a platform to carry out yuan settlement of oil and gas trade, thereby...
Sino-Saudi Deals: A New Era in the Making
What a landmark a defining visit for China and Saudi Arabia – during President Xi Jinping’s rare visit to Riyadh, both countries signed investment deals worth $34 billion. Their bilateral trade has already crossed $ 80 billion. And the warm send-off Prince Mohammad bin Salman gave to President XI after three days was equally worth-watching and probably reflected a new beginning. It also bespoke the mutual vows to take the relationship to new levels. This unusual warmth evoked several eyebrows in the western political quarters and evoked riveting responses. “Time will tell, but judging from the cold and humiliating reception of Biden, and the extremely warm reception of China, the US is no longer a close Saudi ally,” said the above Twitter handle. The deals in Saudi Arabia take Chinese investments in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, and Qatar to a staggering $ 95 billion in the last few years, with a promise of a massive uptick in bilateral trade as Arab rulers hunt for new investment opportunities at home and eastwards. The push for investments and trade connectivity through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) sharply contrasts with the billions of dollars these countries have dished out to the US and leading NATO nations for arms purchases. In August 2022, for instance, State Department approved a $3 billion sale of Patriot missiles to Saudi Arabia and $2.2 billion to the United Arab Emirates. It is contrary to what Biden had promised in the 2019 election campaign, i.e., to make Saudi Arabia a pariah. Earlier on May 20, 2017, President Trump and Prince Salman bin Abdul Aziz signed a series of letters of intent for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia to purchase from the United States totaling US$110 billion immediately and $350 billion over ten years. It was a geopolitically driven move that underscored the two countries’ old alliance. Beijing, on the contrary, has pursued geo-economics through the BRI – making it a harbinger of change through trade, economic cooperation, and...
Afghanistan invasion by US: Strategic Failure or Engineered Catastrophe?
The US invaded Afghanistan with arrogance but withdrew in disgrace. The strategic failure of the so-called “war on terror” has shattered the US war frenzy. None of the parties directly or indirectly involved, seem to be satisfied with the achievement of the so-called “war on terror” and the outcome of the Doha agreement, while the world has become even more, dangerous than it used to be two decades earlier. Khalilzad is an Afghan-American diplomat who has long been involved in Washington’s Afghan policy and is known for his treacherous character in Afghanistan and as per Trump’s remarks in the US as well. At the first Bonn conference during the US invasion of Afghanistan, he played a significant role in handing over the power to the warlords that subsequently contributed to defamation of the system. He was a key figure in drafting the constitution and the formation of the presidential system in Afghanistan. Having experience and skills in deceiving American and Afghan politicians, Khalilzad is accused of working for his interests as well. The author will never think of declaring Ashraf Ghani’s innocence, but in the context of the Doha agreement, Ashraf Ghani has not considered himself obligated to implement the provisions of the agreement, and he was by no means part of it. It has been bad luck for Afghanistan that the Ex-president has never openly or implicitly spoken of giving up power for the sake of peace. Even in meetings with Afghans, the former President rejected the establishment of an interim government and repetition of Dr. Najeebullah’s mistake to resign and clearly said, it was unacceptable. So in such circumstances, why the US failed to expect an even harsher response from such a selfish man with an authoritative mentality? Considering the vast intelligent network in Afghanistan, the US should have anticipated or even intercepted the president’s escape from Afghanistan or should have brilliantly admitted sharing the multi-dimensional...
Role of Teachers Vital for Democratic Citizenship: Quetta-Based Faculty Members
The gatekeeping role of teachers - at different levels of education - to inoculate democracy against the threats from extremism, inculcate the democratic values of peace and harmony in youth as leaders of tomorrow, and develop their critical thinking skills as an inherent communal capacity against/ to refute extremist narratives, figured prominently in the discussions among Quetta-based faculty members. Representing different universities across Quetta, the faculty members converged at the Quetta Press Club for the Balochistan Chapter of Paving Pathways to Social Cohesion, an initiative by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS). The Center screened four original short films during the workshop, one each on i) Equality, Diversity and Tolerance Perspectives, ii) Women Rights and Empowerment, iii) Challenges to Peacebuilding, and iv) Rule of Law and Accessible Justice. In the discussions based on the short-films, the participating faculty members noted that the differences, a difference of understanding, & misunderstandings, if not resolved timely and respectfully, can lead to devastating outcomes. No democracy can be successful without the socio-political ideals like equality, humanity and equal opportunities for all members of the society regardless of their socio-political, ethnic, cultural, and religious backgrounds. The extension of acceptance and respect towards the minorities should not be determined by the choice of majority groups, instead, by the constitution and the milestones like the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UDHR). We can be born to Muslims or to the believers of any other faith, that's not our choice, but we do have a choice to deal with the people from different backgrounds respectfully. “We are making doctors, engineers, and honing and producing other expertise in the society in an effort to respond to the market needs, but are we creating good human beings as something that our society needs?”, questioned participants....
TTP Threat in SWAT: NACTA warning to Senate Committee
The following information was laid out by National Counter-Terrorism Authority (NACTA) to the Senate Standing Committee on Interior: The Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf’s (PTI) strategy for engaging in discussion with the Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) has failed and, on the contrary, encouraged TTP terrorist activity in Pakistan. With TTP’s base still intact in Afghanistan, the US military withdrawal from Afghanistan “provided impetus to TTP activities.” TTP’s resurgence in Swat and surrounding areas “can be attributed to their efforts to gain pulse of locals and response by the state.” The division of Malakand was described as “susceptible” to terrorism because of its “central location and access to inhabited regions” in the study. Although there has been a drastic increase in terrorist activities, strong opposition to the terror group from all social groups can be termed as a positive development. Locals have requested protection for their communities, particularly for the political leadership involved in the conflict with the militants. With the onset of weather, it is likely that TTP fighters may leave their present location and merge in with the local population hence all militant activities should be closely monitored. NACTA also recommended in-camera discussions concerning security-related matters, peaceful rallies and promoting tourism. Finally, the Committee on Interior approved the Criminal Law (Amendment) Bill, 2022 to address the rise in incidents of child sexual exploitation and cybercrime in light of Pakistan’s constitutional obligations and international commitments. For more info: https://www.dawn.com/news/1725422/ttp-used-peace-talks-to-swell-its-ranks-nacta
Europe And Its Dependence on The United States
The ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia has placed Europe in a dilemma. For years now, Europe has been dependent on Russian gas supplies during winter. However, as a consequence of the conflict and Western-imposed sanctions, Europe has been under pressure by the US to diversify its requirements. Furthermore, the Biden administration’s manipulative use of the Russian-Ukrainian war to advance its own interests at their expense has infuriated Europeans. A case in point is the US charging the Europeans four times more for natural gas supplies than it does for domestic sales, especially in these times of crisis. Ever since the election of Democratic candidate Joe Biden as President of the United States, the hawkish European NATO partners have heaved a sigh of relief. It is no secret that former President Donald Trump was not in favor of continuing support for the US-led NATO alliance, mainly for political and financial reasons. Europe got cold feet as it began to feel left out of any form of defensive shield and realised that, if there ever was a threat from Russia, it could not defend itself without US support. However, all that changed with Joe Biden`s election as President. Being a staunchly anti-Russian and anti-communist follower, one of his first declarations that he announced as President was “America is back”. His statement was made specifically to pacify his NATO allies in Europe and assure them of continued US support to the alliance, unlike his predecessor Donald Trump. Unfortunately, though, he brought the US and Russia back to the Cold-War era, with Europe helplessly following. Under US pressure and direction, NATO has been pursuing an expansionist policy in Europe for a while. Its principal objective is to corner Russia, despite the fact that this strategy has backfired. They say that, if you keep poking a bear with a stick, it will react, hence Russia seeing itself cornered by NATO`s insistence on Ukraine to join the alliance, the bear reacted...
Tensions on Korean Peninsula Rise
This show of missile tests by North Korea was a retaliation to the ongoing largest ever joint military drill of South Korea and the US, in which thousands of military personnel and 240 aircraft were taking part. At a time when the USA is already engaged in multiple global challenges like the Ukraine war, the Russian threat of using nuclear weapons, Iran’s nuclear plans, and deteriorating relations with China on the Taiwan issue, opening up another front to comply with its security agreements with Japan and South Korea is another challenging task for US and North Korea knows it very well. Last month (November,2022), the tension on the Korean peninsula escalated after North Korea fired 23 missiles in one day on 2nd November and then launched another six missile the next day; one of which was suspected be an intercontinental ballistic missile. Japan claimed that one of these missiles had flown over its territory and it was the second occurrence in a month. South Korea reacted by firing several missiles on the next day. Earlier, a missile was fired by North Korea that had crossed the maritime border with South Korea for the first time and caused a panic leading to televised announcements for the residents of the border area to “evacuate to the nearest underground shelter”. This show of missile tests by North Korea was a retaliation to the ongoing largest ever joint military drill of South Korea and the US, in which thousands of military personnel and 240 aircraft were taking part. In response to this provocative military exercise, North Korea had warned that it might take “more powerful follow-up measures” from Pyongyang[1]. What happened on 2nd November was in line with this warning but there are more reasons for the rise of tension in the region. It wasn’t the first time North Korea had fired missiles directed towards the Sea of Japan or South Korea. On 28 September, it fired two short-range ballistic missiles off its east coast a day before the arrival of US...
Pakistan Tops List of Countries at Risk for Mass Killing
A recent study by a renowned US-based think organization places Pakistan at the top of the list of countries most at risk of a new wave of mass killings. One of the primary issues for the country, which is already experiencing political and economic woes, is violence by the Taliban, according to the research. The Washington, DC-based think tank, Early Warning Project, stated in a report that Pakistan faces numerous security and human rights challenges, including rising violence by the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), which is accountable for a nonstate-led mass killing episode that has been ongoing since 2001. “Our statistical model estimates that there is a 16.3%, or approximately 1 in 6, the chance of a new mass killing beginning in Pakistan in 2022 or 2023. Pakistan ranks first highest-risk among 162 countries,” the EWP says in its report. This is the third year in a row that Pakistan has been put at the top of the list of 162 countries facing the highest risk of mass killings. The report said, “Pakistan has numerous security and human rights issues, including rising Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) violence.” Both domestically and from across the border in Afghanistan, where TTP enjoys safe havens under Afghan Taliban protection, Pakistan has seen a substantial rise in terrorist strikes. The country’s blasphemy laws, which have led to instances of mob violence against religious minorities, and threats of strikes by ISIS, according to the EWP assessment, were further reasons for Pakistan’s high-risk ranking. The report was released a few days after the TTP militant group made a statement canceling a months-long truce with the government to stop the carnage and urging its members to start attacking again. On the list, Afghanistan was rated eighth. Two other Asian countries made the top ten list, including Myanmar at number three, where the military overthrew the government in a coup in February of last year. India was ranked eighth because, according to the...
NATO Chief Warns Against Repeating Russia Errors With China
BUCHAREST (Nov 30): NATO countries must avoid repeating mistakes they made in relations with Russia to ensure they limit dependence on China, alliance chief Jens Stoltenberg said. “I believe in free trade and member states should continue to trade with China but we cannot make these decisions only based on commercial considerations,” Stoltenberg, secretary general of NATO, told Bloomberg Television on Wednesday, after its foreign ministers discussed issues including China ties and the Russian invasion of Ukraine in Bucharest. “We’ve seen this issue with Russia, it’s not just a commercial decision, it has to do with our security. Over dependence of resources on authoritarian regimes like Russia makes us vulnerable and we should not repeat that mistake with China,” Stoltenberg said. He added: “We should assess our vulnerabilities and reduce them.” Earlier in Bucharest, some ministers stressed that Beijing could help push for a deal to end the war in Ukraine. This comes after the leaders of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization had agreed in June that China posed a “systemic challenge” and warned about a deepening strategic partnership between Beijing and Moscow. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken told reporters after the meeting that governments need to “make sure that when China is making investments in our countries,” which “we want to sustain,” it is necessary “to be careful with that, in particularly sensitive areas, strategic areas, strategic industries, companies infrastructure.” Security considerations must be taken “fully into account before allowing any investments to go forward,” Blinken said. ‘Aggressive’ Behaviour Stoltenberg described China’s behaviour toward Taiwan as “aggressive, coercing and threatening”, saying “there is no reason for that and any conflict around Taiwan would be in nobody’s interest”. While the allies pledged increased support to Ukraine at the Bucharest meeting, including air-defence systems, Stoltenberg acknowledged the need to...
Washington Pledges Support For Islamabad’s Anti-TTP Efforts
WASHINGTON: The United States and Pakistan have a shared interest in combating threats to regional security, such as the Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and Washington will support the Pakistan government’s efforts to combat terrorism in all its forms, a State Department spokesperson told Dawn on Tuesday. On Monday, the outlawed TTP had asked its combatants to carry out attacks across the country because of alleged “unabated” operations by security forces against militants in the southern districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Deploring the outlawed TTP’s decision to end its ceasefire with the government of Pakistan, the United Nations also expressed grave concern over the move that, they fear, could lead to increased suffering for civilians in the country. “We seek a strong partnership with Pakistan on counterterrorism and expect sustained action against all militant and terrorist groups. We look forward to cooperative efforts to eliminate all regional and global terrorist threats,” a State Department spokesperson told Dawn in response to a query. The spokesperson recalled that the Pakistani people have suffered tremendously from terrorist attacks in the past two decades, adding: “We support the Pakistan government’s efforts to combat terrorism in all its forms”. Separately, Stéphane Dujarric, spokesperson for the UN Secretary General called the TTP’s decision “most unfortunate”, saying that this could lead to an increase in acts of terrorism. “That would be most unfortunate if that is, in fact, true,” he said when informed at a briefing that TTP had announced ending its ceasefire with the Pakistani government, and that its leaders have already ordered their cadres to re-launch attacks on Pakistani targets. When asked to elaborate this response, Mr Dujarric said: “I personally haven’t seen those reports, but obviously, any action that leads to increased violence that could lead to increased acts of terrorism and increase suffering for civilians is something that is of...
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I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.