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ANNUAL SECURITY REPORT- 2022

Casualties from Terror Attacks and Counter-Terror Operations Terrorist violence touched a new height in 2022. From 850 fatalities in 2021, the figure jumped to 980 in 2022 – indicating an over 15 percent rise in violence from as many as 512 terrorist incidents and counter-terror operations. The highest rise in violence was recorded in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), where fatalities went up from 399 in 2021 to 633 this year – a nearly 59% rise. Balochistan recorded a marginal increase of 1% in violence but it could not bring any relief to the region as it had the second-highest number of fatalities in the country.  All other regions witnessed a drop in violence with Punjab, the largest province of the country, recorded a 61% drop in violence, followed by Sindh 50% down, and Islamabad Capital Territory (ICT) registered an 11% decline, while Gilgit Baltistan (GB) had no incident of violence this year (Table 01-A and Table 01-B). Both KP and Balochistan together suffered nearly 90 percent of all fatalities across the country, with the last month of the year i.e., December emerging as the deadliest for the security forces that lost at least 42 personnel in over two dozen attacks. Officials attributed the concentration of violence in KP and Balochistan to the return of the Taliban to power in Afghanistan, where thousands of Pakistani militants and wanted terrorists – mostly linked to the banned Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) - reportedly enjoy safe havens and the necessary support for planning acts of terror in Pakistan. TTP demands the restoration of seven former FATA (Federally Administered Tribal Areas) regions that had been merged with KP in May 2018. The terrorist group also wants the army to withdraw from the region, where it desires to replicate the Islamic caliphate model as enforced by the Afghan Taliban. On November 28, the group also called off a ceasefire agreement it had agreed to in June 2021. Comparing casualties of violence and counter-violence yields a very...

India’s Rising Hostility: Should Pakistan Re-evaluate its Foreign Policy?

The political and economic unrest in Pakistan has drawn focus away from Kashmir. India, on the other hand, continues to act hostilely toward Pakistan and never misses an opportunity to disparage it, while Pakistan is expressing a wish to dialogue with its archrival. Pakistan should be willing to participate in a discourse in these circumstances, it should maintain its commitment to its values. Pakistan’s political instability and growing economic woes have been the focus of all attention, with every day unfolding something new. This has meant that policy towards India and the issue of Kashmir has taken a back seat. But under the current setup, growing interest in changing gears with India and the principled stance on Kashmir raises questions. We are seeing a new desire for peace with India and renewed hopes to move forward with the arch-rivals. Showing a desire for peace is not a sign of weakness. War brings nothing but death and destruction, and there are no real winners. No matter how ugly things get between countries, the door for diplomacy and negation is often left open. Former Prime Minister Imran Khan also held out an olive branch towards Prime Minister Narendra Modi and spoke of resolving all issues, including the longstanding issue of Kashmir. But in order for peace to be achieved, the desire for peace has to be felt on both sides. India has shown no interest whatsoever in engaging in dialogue with Pakistan. Instead, India has made it very clear that dialogue will only resume on India’s terms and when India chooses to do so. India under Narendra Modi continues to show hostility and misses no opportunity to discredit and malign Pakistan on every international forum. There has been a lot of talk surrounding “taking back Indian occupied Kashmir” and a lot of bravado for domestic consumption coming from the likes of Home Minister Amit Shah. No speech is complete without a mention of Pakistan. And the same goes for India’s media. Majority of its content...

US-Japan pact may increase global tension

In a historic shift from the post-World War II international order, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida cast off the country's pacifist limitations during a recent meeting with United States President Joe Biden, a move that will increase regional and geopolitical tension, experts said. "Japan has actually broken out of its six decades of pacifist status," said Wang Qi, a researcher of East Asia at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences in Beijing. "So the question now is whether the world is ready to accept an aggressive Japan that is committed to growing its military and is less hesitant to use military power as one of its statecraft tools, because we all remember what happened the last time Japan did these things," Wang said. Meeting with Biden on Friday on the last leg of a G7 tour ahead of the group's summit in Hiroshima in May, Kishida said the US-Japan alliance was "stronger than ever". Biden said, "The United States is fully, thoroughly, completely committed to the alliance and, more importantly, to the defense of Japan" — showing Washington's support for the country's controversial rearmament plan, which aims to double Japan's defense spending over the next five years. The two leaders signed a pact to deepen cooperation on security and space, among other areas. Japan agreed to upgrade the intelligence and surveillance capabilities of US troops stationed in Japan. The US endorsed Japan's decision to develop counterstrike capabilities, which would allow Tokyo to defend itself from incoming missiles and launch strikes against possible aggressors. "Biden's support for Japan's rearmament, is, in a way, a very selfish act in making Japan a cat's-paw to contain China," said Xu Liping, director of the Center for Southeast Asian Studies of the CASS. "In fact, the US has reneged on some of the commitments it made after World War II, and (the support) is, to some extent, a kind of disrespect for the sacrifice of the US military during the war," Xu said. "It is very...

HIGHLIGHTS OF CHINA-ARAB COOPERATION

DIPLOMACY The Arab-Chinese Summit held in Riyadh in December 2022, represents a massive leap in the development of Arab-Chinese relations and carries important significant economic and political implications. It arrived at a time when US-Saudi ties are at their lowest points, and the tension between Washington and Beijing is on the rise. The Middle Eastern countries, are currently diversifying their relations by strengthening their ties with China, Russia, India, and other nations. This Chinese-Saudi-Gulf Arab summit establishes a legal framework for relations between China and the Arab world, which promotes the growth of such ties on all fronts—economic, political, security, and cultural. From $36 billion to $330 billion in 2021. BILATERAL TRADE During Xi’s Visit to Riyadh, both countries signed investment deals worth $34 billion. Their bilateral trade has already crossed $80 billion. The summit also discussed promising investment opportunities with China in the presence of Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. The Projects include: The development hub of the Suez Canal and the new administrative capital in Egypt. The NEOM project in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia within the Kingdom’s Vision 2030. SECURITY/ENERGY Chinese companies are building ports and free trade zones in the region, including Oman, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait. Cooperation between China and Arab countries has also grown to include digital technology, renewable energy, tourism, and aviation. Most of the GCC countries use Chinese Huawei technology in their communications networks. Since 2017, China has become the largest importer of crude oil worldwide, and the Middle East is likely to account for 70% of China’s energy needs by 2030. Cooperation in the field of new and renewable energy was another key topic at the summit. In November 2022, Qatar Energy signed a 27-year deal to supply China’s Sinopec with liquefied natural gas (LNG), the longest agreement in the history of LNG industry in the world....

‘Successful’ Afghan policy: at what cost?

State of denial and delusional notions can at times obscure the ability to critical analysis. One of the obvious consequences thereof is often misplaced megalomania and skewed strategies. The much more fatal consequence ensuing from this is the reputational cost to individuals and nations. A case in point is Pakistan’s Afghan policy and its debilitating impact, effecting belief that the country successfully helped in first driving the Soviet Russian forces out of Afghanistan and then partnered with the US and Allies in the war on terror — a mission that the US terminated prematurely in late August 2021. It resulted in the return of former hosts of al-Qaeda i.e. Taliban who now apparently host Tehreek Taliban Pakistan (TTP), Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), Islamic State of Khorasan (IS-K), Daesh, Ahrarul Hind, al-Qaeda inter alia. Top TTP leadership for sure is nestled in Kabul and other parts of Afghanistan — ably supported also by fighters of Hafiz Gul Bahadur (former North Waziristan warlord). At what cost did Pakistan achieve the distinction of having been instrumental in defeating Russia and then “terrorists” whom the US signed into power again through the Doha process? The advocates of successful Afghan policy rarely introspected that Pakistan’s placement in the Grey List of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) in June 2018 stemmed from an old security-centric flawed policy devoid of considerations for the global response. The policy had centred on and inclined to the support for militant groups in and outside Pakistan and was tied to the Kashmir cause which meant “diplomatic, moral and political” backing of the freedom fighters. But the policymakers failed to comprehend India’s growing international relevance in the new millennium, particularly after the hijacking to Kandahar of the Indian airlines flight IC 814 in December 1999 by militants who ended up in Pakistan after their release from Indian jails. They kept ignoring the grave consequences of...

Secret behind China’s Quest for Pride and Rejuvenation of the Society?

China’s phenomenal socio-economic growth continues unabated. Even the COVID-19 Pandemic could not dent obstruct this trajectory. Hostility by the US-led West has also failed in stemming the Chinese progress. Naghmana Hashmi, Pakistan’s Former Ambassador to China, traces this rise to the Chinese leadership’s quest for pride and rejuvenation of the society as an un-ignorable member of the global community https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T23602Ij0XM&t=7s

China reopens borders after three years of quarantine

BEIJING: China lifted quarantine requirements for inbound travellers on Sunday, ending almost three years of self-imposed isolation even as the country battles a surge in Covid cases. The first people to arrive expressed relief at not having to undergo the gruelling quarantines that were a fixture of life in zero-Covid China. And in Hong Kong, where the border with mainland China was re-opened after years of closure, more than 400,000 people were set to travel north in the coming eight weeks. Beijing last month began a dramatic dismantling of a hardline zero-Covid strategy that had enforced mandatory quarantines and punishing lockdowns. The policy had a huge impact on the world’s second-biggest economy and generated resentment throughout society that led to nationwide protests just before it was eased. At Shanghai’s Pudong International Airport, a woman surnamed Pang said on Sunday she was thrilled with the ease of travel. “I think it’s really good that the policy has changed now, it’s really humane,” she added. “It’s a necessary step I think. Covid has become normalised now and after this hurdle everything will be smooth,” she said. Chinese people rushed to plan trips abroad after officials last month announced that quarantine would be dropped, sending inquiries on popular travel websites soaring. But the expected surge in visitors has led more than a dozen countries to impose mandatory Covid tests on travellers from the world’s most populous nation. China has called travel curbs imposed by other countries “unacceptable”, despite continuing to largely block foreign tourists and international students from travelling to the country. China’s Covid outbreak is forecast to worsen as it enters the Lunar New Year holiday this month, during which millions are expected to travel from hard-hit megacities to the countryside to visit vulnerable older relatives. Published in Dawn, January 9th, 2023  

CRSS conducts Professional Development Training

Employees are any organization’s most valuable resource, and successful firms understand this and are also cognizant of the significance of talent investment. Numerous studies show that organizations that invest in employee training and development enjoy not only a significant rise in earnings but also a high level of worker retention, which is essential for long-term company expansion. To mark an auspicious and productive start to 2023, the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) organized a two-day professional development training for in-house employees on January 4 and 5, 2023. The training was facilitated by Ms. Naila Qazi, a certified leadership and development professional. On Day 1, the training focused on organizational leadership skills, how they evolve with time and exposure, and what role self-actualization plays in employees’ ability to utilize and improve their expertise depending upon task requirements to bear maximum outcomes for projects and the organization as a whole. The facilitator commenced the training by listening to participants’ views on leadership; she later divided them into pairs and assigned each to identify the pros and cons of different leadership styles. Ms. Qazi gave a thorough overview of the chemical and physiological composition of the human brain and how one can improve his/her leadership skills and navigate emotions in personal and professional contexts based on cognizance and understanding of certain brain functions. “We may not know why and what we lack in certain aspects of our professional and personal lives. How we react to a situation has more to do with neurological functions than due to any other factor”, said the trainer. On day 2 of the training, participants were asked to reflect on the previous day’s sessions and present key takeaways and how they would utilize that learning throughout the year. Automatic Negative Thoughts (ANTs) were one of the most specific aspects of the neurological processes that the...

Epicentre of terrorism is a very ‘diplomatic’ phrase for Pakistan, I could have been harsher: MEA Jaishankar to Austrian anchor

Indian External Affairs Minister (EAM), S. Jaishankar, is on his three-day maiden visit to Austria, which concluded on 3rd Jan 2022. He held several meetings on regional and global issues of mutual interest with Austria’s Foreign Minister, Alexander Schallenberg. It was the first EAM-level visit from India to Austria in the last 27 years. On January 2, 2022, in an interview with Austria’s ZIB2 podcast, a popular magazine of ORF television, Jaishankar, was questioned over using non-diplomatic language towards Pakistan. “Before you said, you are a diplomat but several weeks ago, you called Pakistan, your neighbour, the epicentre of terrorism. This doesn’t sound very diplomatic, does it?” the interviewer asked. https://matrixmag.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/IWvpGws1dClRhI04-Trim.mp4 Jaishankar gave a fiery response by stating, “I did it again today without using the word Pakistan…because you are a diplomat, doesn’t mean you are untruthful. I could use much harsher words than epicentre, so believe me, considering what has been happening to us, I think epicentre is a very diplomatic word.” The Mumbai terror attack in 2008 and the Indian Parliament attack in 2001 were both planned and carried out by terrorists from Pakistan, according to S Jaishankar, who also outlined how they attempt to infiltrate Indian territory every day. When the anchor continued by emphasizing that Pakistan is not a nation that fosters terrorism, Jaishankar replied, “If you control your sovereign space which I believe they do. If terrorist operations are operating in broad daylight with recruitment and financing, then can you really tell me that Pakistani state doesn’t know whats going on? Especially when they are being trained in military-level, combat tactics.” Furthermore, he criticized the European countries for not condemning Pakistan. “When we speak about judgments and principles, why don’t I hear sharp Europe condemnation of these practices that have been going on for decades”, he added....

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I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.

Soniya Shams

Shaheed Benazir Bhutto Women University, Peshawar