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Q1 Security Report – 2015
First Quarter 2015 - Introduction In the aftermath of the terrorist attack on the Army Public School in Peshawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), a National Action Plan (NAP) was devised by the government. The NAP was later approved and passed by the parliament as the 21st Constitutional Amendment. As part of the NAP, provincial Apex Committees (ACs) were formed which included civil and military experts, to streamline a united anti-terrorism front against all forms of terrorism and violence. Under the guidelines of the ACs , a new trend emerged, where the Law Enforcement Agencies (LEAs), both the Rangers and the Police, decided to release the names to both electronic and print media of organizations involved in terrorism and violence, irrespective of their political, religious, or religio-political affiliations. What once appeared to be the acts of unknown terrorists or target killers, suddenly got recognition of their perpetrators and the names of the Tehreek-e-Taliban, Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, Lashkar-e-Islami, and political parties such as the Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM) started appearing along with the reports. Another significant development took place after the Rangers’ operation at the headquarters of the MQM in Karachi on March 11, 2015, resulting in the apprehension of more several dozen unlawful individuals, including convicted absconders, mostly the MQM second and third tier leaders, activists and workers. They were arrested and produced before the Anti-Terrorism Courts (ATCs), and were sent on judicial remands either to the Rangers, or the Police. The improvement in the national security brought about by the NAP will be reviewed in this report in detail. Errors and omissions, a possibility in all statistical works, can occur. However, such mistakes do not grossly affect the basic objective of this report. NOTE: All data is from January - March, 2015. Report prepared by: Mohammad Nafees Senior Research Fellow Center for Research and Security Studies NOTE: ...
Paradigm shift
Pakistan is gradually coming out of a cold war era mindset. A lot of analysis on the current day Pakistan, particularly by American, Indian and Afghan commentators, continues to be rooted in the past. Much of the argument is a one-way ostracization of Pakistan based on the baggage which is undeniable but which cannot and should not be used to judge a constantly evolving situation. Such analysis, while embracing their respective countries’ geopolitical alignments as “unavoidable necessity,” blatantly ignores the compulsions that geopolitics place on Pakistan. Let us dissect some of the factors that require a closer and sympathetic scrutiny by foreign commentators, most of whom would project anything relating to Pakistan as “linear and black and white,” disregarding the fact that geo-politics is mostly gray and is non-linear because of the competing political and commercial interests of nations. Commentators, firstly, need to note the difference between September 19, 2001, when General Pervez Musharraf simply announced to join the US-led anti-terror war, and March 2015, when Nawaz Sharif had to back-peddle on his commitment of all-out support to Saudi Arabia. Although financially and politically indebted, Pakistan seems to have weathered the storm. Geo-politics is mostly gray and non-linear Secondly, commentators misleadingly project Pakistan as the only big roadblock to reconciliation as well as an “unreasonable opponent” to the overland transit trade rights for India, without explaining the Pakistani reservations about it. They point to the Afghan president Ashraf Ghani’s frustration with Pakistan too. During his recent India visit, Ghani warned Islamabad (according to The Hindu newspaper) that if it does not open the Wagah land transit for Afghan imports from India, his country could take counter measures. “We will not provide equal transit access to Central Asia [for Pakistani trucks],” he said. Ghani said it was a question of “sovereign equality”, and Pakistan...
Pakistan opens first solar power plant
ISLAMABAD: Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif on Tuesday inaugurated the country’s first solar power plant, the latest fruit of increasingly close cooperation with China and a step towards an electoral promise to end crippling power cuts. The solar park in Punjab province will produce 100 MW of power, which will be increased to 1,000 MW by next year. The plant, owned by Punjab province and built by China’s Tebian Electric Apparatus Stock Co Ltd (TBEA), took a year to build at a cost of $190 million. “Since I became prime minister, my one goal has been to eliminate darkness in Pakistan and bring lights back to the country,” Nawaz said in a speech. “By 2017-2018, there will be an end to load shedding,” he said, referring to a system of rolling black-outs used to ration electricity. The Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park, spread over 500 acres of sun-baked southern Punjab, is a link in an ambitious plan for a China-Pakistan economic corridor, unveiled by China’s President Xi Jinping last month. The corridor, linking Pakistan’s Arabian sea port of Gwadar with western China’s Xinjiang region, includes energy and infrastructure projects worth up to $46 billion. Camels and horses pranced to the beat of traditional drums as national flags fluttered over the inauguration ceremony. China’s ambassador Sun Weidong said the plant marked a new phase of cooperation between the neighbors. Nawaz said solar plants planned across the country would produce a total of 4,260 MW of power. He said his government came into power with a commitment to turn around country’s economy. He said by 2018, the people would witness major improvement in country’s infrastructure, electricity, gas supply and basic facilities. He said his government from day one had only one objective and that was to end poverty, illiteracy and the ills that afflict the nation. He said one of the priorities of his government were to generate enough electricity so as to meet its present and future requirements. Another priority was to...
Al-Qaeda’s Women Wing in Pakistan: The Shaheen Force
The Al-Qaeda core operating from tribal areas of Pakistan is keen to compete with its splinter, the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS/ISIL) at all levels. To match the magnitude and ferocity of ISIS terrorist attacks, Al-Qaeda operatives in Pakistan even attempted to hijack a Pakistan Navy frigate PNS Zulfiqar in September 2014[1]. Just one week before that failed incident the then Al-Qaeda Emir Ayman al-Zawahiri announced the establishment of Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent, led by Asim Umar a veteran jihadi on September 4, 2014 in a 55-minute video[2]. Since Al-Qaeda wants to spread the tentacles of its Pakistani franchise in the Indian Subcontinent, the most recent Al-Qaeda endeavour in this regard is the launching of its women wing: Al-Qaeda Shaheen (falcon) Force. According to the statement this force would be led by Afinda Bint-e-Ayesha under the tutelage of Umaima Hassan Ahmed Muhammad Hassan[3], wife of Ayman al-Zawahiri[4]. Mrs Zawahiri has remained instrumental alongside her husband, the chief of Al-Qaeda, in mobilizing jihadi women. Time and again she has urged Muslim women to raise children for jihad. While addressing jihadi women inspiring them to participate in active jihad at a web-based jihadi forum, she said: “I advise you to raise your children in the cult of jihad and martyrdom and to instil in them a love for religion and death. Each woman would raise her child to be a new Saladin by telling him that it is you who will restore the grandeur of the Islamic nation and you will liberate Jerusalem.”[5] The newly created Shaheen Force appears to work under Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent (AQIS) and has plans to train 500 female suicide bombers for striking civil and military installations in Pakistan[6]. The Shaheen Force seems to be just another Al-Qaeda effort to compete with the growing influence of ISIS in Pakistan’s jihadi circles. Scores of jihadi leaders from Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) have defected to ISIS. The ISIS has...
The law, the poor & the rich
Ayaan’s case is a classic example of how collusion of legal experts on both sides of the fence can blatantly obfuscate crime and delay trials. Taking advantage of the dated criminal procedure code (CrPC), lawyers camouflage their delaying tactics with walls of objections, reservations and at times frivolous arguments. It took the Customs Intelligence and Investigation several weeks to prepare a charge sheet, despite the fact that she was caught with $500,000 in her possession while she was on her way out of the country. The charge sheet is based on her statement which states that she “had purchased files of plots worth Rs5 million from a housing society and sold it for Rs50 million and that the housing society had paid her Rs50 million in the shape of over $0.5 million”. The figures mentioned are the same, i.e., Rs50 million, and the dollar-rupee parity, or the difference of sale-purchase value didn’t affect it at all. The charge-sheet doesn’t mention whether people named by Ayaan, i.e., the housing society manager and the currency dealer, were interrogated. The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) regulations allow a passenger to carry not more than $10,000, or the equivalent of notes of another currency, out of the country. The same regulations are noted in most other countries, which make the possession of over $10,000 an offence. That is why people are asking whether Pakistan’s Anti-Money Laundering Ordinance 2007 and Anti-Money Laundering Regulations 2008 cover the undeclared money that Ayaan was carrying? Strangely, this case most probably represents only the tip of the iceberg; a former SBP governor, Anwar Yasin, had, for instance, told a parliamentary committee in 2013 that some $25 million were being siphoned out of the country every day in “briefcases through airports”. One of my acquaintances had an encounter with a nephew of a sitting prime minister on board a London-bound PIA flight in 2011. Protocol officers escorted the young man carrying a large briefcase...
The law, the poor & the rich
Ayaan’s case is a classic example of how collusion of legal experts on both sides of the fence can blatantly obfuscate crime and delay trials. Taking advantage of the dated criminal procedure code (CrPC), lawyers camouflage their delaying tactics with walls of objections, reservations and at times frivolous arguments. It took the Customs Intelligence and Investigation several weeks to prepare a charge sheet, despite the fact that she was caught with $500,000 in her possession while she was on her way out of the country. The charge sheet is based on her statement which states that she “had purchased files of plots worth Rs5 million from a housing society and sold it for Rs50 million and that the housing society had paid her Rs50 million in the shape of over $0.5 million”. The figures mentioned are the same, i.e., Rs50 million, and the dollar-rupee parity, or the difference of sale-purchase value didn’t affect it at all. The charge-sheet doesn’t mention whether people named by Ayaan, i.e., the housing society manager and the currency dealer, were interrogated. The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) regulations allow a passenger to carry not more than $10,000, or the equivalent of notes of another currency, out of the country. The same regulations are noted in most other countries, which make the possession of over $10,000 an offence. That is why people are asking whether Pakistan’s Anti-Money Laundering Ordinance 2007 and Anti-Money Laundering Regulations 2008 cover the undeclared money that Ayaan was carrying? Strangely, this case most probably represents only the tip of the iceberg; a former SBP governor, Anwar Yasin, had, for instance, told a parliamentary committee in 2013 that some $25 million were being siphoned out of the country every day in “briefcases through airports”. One of my acquaintances had an encounter with a nephew of a sitting prime minister on board a London-bound PIA flight in 2011. Protocol officers escorted the young man carrying a large briefcase...
The law, the poor & the rich
Ayaan’s case is a classic example of how collusion of legal experts on both sides of the fence can blatantly obfuscate crime and delay trials. Taking advantage of the dated criminal procedure code (CrPC), lawyers camouflage their delaying tactics with walls of objections, reservations and at times frivolous arguments. It took the Customs Intelligence and Investigation several weeks to prepare a charge sheet, despite the fact that she was caught with $500,000 in her possession while she was on her way out of the country. The charge sheet is based on her statement which states that she “had purchased files of plots worth Rs5 million from a housing society and sold it for Rs50 million and that the housing society had paid her Rs50 million in the shape of over $0.5 million”. The figures mentioned are the same, i.e., Rs50 million, and the dollar-rupee parity, or the difference of sale-purchase value didn’t affect it at all. The charge-sheet doesn’t mention whether people named by Ayaan, i.e., the housing society manager and the currency dealer, were interrogated. The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) regulations allow a passenger to carry not more than $10,000, or the equivalent of notes of another currency, out of the country. The same regulations are noted in most other countries, which make the possession of over $10,000 an offence. That is why people are asking whether Pakistan’s Anti-Money Laundering Ordinance 2007 and Anti-Money Laundering Regulations 2008 cover the undeclared money that Ayaan was carrying? Strangely, this case most probably represents only the tip of the iceberg; a former SBP governor, Anwar Yasin, had, for instance, told a parliamentary committee in 2013 that some $25 million were being siphoned out of the country every day in “briefcases through airports”. One of my acquaintances had an encounter with a nephew of a sitting prime minister on board a London-bound PIA flight in 2011. Protocol officers escorted the young man carrying a large briefcase...
Counter-Terrorism and Pakistan Police
Pakistan is home to an estimated 200 million people, spread over six regions including the provinces of Balochistan, Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (KP), Punjab and Sind, and the Gilgit-Baltistan and the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). While the armed forces have largely led the counter-terrorism operations, police across Pakistan look after the regular law and order matters. Download
Al-Qaeda’s Women Wing in Pakistan: The Shaheen Force
The Al-Qaeda core operating from tribal areas of Pakistan is keen to compete with its splinter, the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS/ISIL) at all levels. To match the magnitude and ferocity of ISIS terrorist attacks, Al-Qaeda operatives in Pakistan even attempted to hijack a Pakistan Navy frigate PNS Zulfiqar in September 2014. Just one week before that failed incident, the then Al-Qaeda Emir Ayman al-Zawahiri announced the establishment of Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent, led by Asim Umar. a veteran jihadi, on September 4, 2014 in a 55-minute video. Since Al-Qaeda wants to spread the tentacles of its Pakistani franchise in the Indian Subcontinent, the most recent Al-Qaeda endeavour in this regard is the launching of its women wing: Al-Qaeda Shaheen (falcon) Force. According to the statement this force would be led by Afinda Bint-e-Ayesha under the tutelage of Umaima Hassan Ahmed Muhammad Hassan, wife of Ayman al-Zawahiri. Mrs. Zawahiri has remained instrumental alongside her husband, the chief of Al-Qaeda, in mobilizing jihadi women. Time and again she has urged Muslim women to raise children for jihad. Author: Farhan Zahid Download
Voices from Balochistan
This report draws on over 80 radio nationally syndicated shows that the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) produced and aired in 2014-2015. These shows were titled “Balochistan Kay Awam ki Awaz.” (The Voice of Baloch People). The main objective of the publication is to: a) Highlight the socio-political grievances of the ethnic Baloch in the restive Balochistan province, b) Identify general governance gaps in the province, and, c) Document and disseminate these gaps and grievances in black and white across Pakistan for broader understanding of the Baloch dynamics. The primary data for this report was obtained from two distinct sources: 1. The discussions at radio programs by leading voices from Balochistan. 2. Exclusive field stories and news reports produced for the CRSS radio shows on the ground by reporters. Political and civil society activists, experts from various fields of life such as health, media, politics and education participated in these programs. Since “Balochistan Kay Awam ki Awaz” was a youth-focused show, almost every episode also included students and young socio-political activists. Most of these young leaders had been part of a similar CRSS intervention ‘Balochistan Youth Forum’ (2012) which included capacity building training workshops, dialogue and exposure trips to Islamabad, Lahore, Peshawar and Karachi. Balochistan Kay Awam ki Awaz endeavored to develop a democratic discourse on socio-political issues being faced by the people of Balochistan. It was essentially designed as a counter-radicalization measure that could help mainstream Baloch voices via airwaves across Pakistan. Under this initiative, over 80 radio programs were aired in Balochistan, Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Sindh on the following radio networks: 1. FM-101 Quetta (Balochistan), 2. FM-101 Peshawar (KPK), 3. FM-93 Multan (Punjab), 4. FM-93 Mithi (Sindh) All these programs were re-broadcast on the corresponding day on radio networks of Turbat and Loralai...
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I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.