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The Peruvian experience

Peru, an impoverished South American country, remained plagued with the menace of terrorism for fifteen long years. The Peruvian problems started with the emergence of Maoist terrorist organisations Shining Path (Sendero Luminoso) in 1980 and Tupac Amaro in the late 1970s. The more lethal of the two was Shining Path, led by Abimeal Guzman (aka Presidente Gonzalo), a former university professor of philosophy. Guzman’s ideology was a mix of Marxist-Leninism with a strong blend of Maoism. He wanted an armed revolutionary movement against the state to install a communist system based on ‘pure communism.’ Since the movement had its origins from the southern poverty-ridden and most disadvantaged region of Ayacucho, therefore Ayacucho nationalism appeared to blend with the Maoist ideas propounded by Guzman. Shining Path, though ideologically Maoist, had a slightly different version of Maoism than the regular one. Guzman’s idea was to bring about a cultural revolution in Peru to establish dictatorship of the proletariat without any revisions, which he believed many other communist countries had earlier done. Guzman called it New Democracy. The Peruvian government faced tremendous difficulties in tackling the situation since over time Guzman’s organisation had become a personality cult with thousands of armed fighters launching terrorist attacks against government and civilians across Peru. In more than 6,000 incidents of terrorism by Shining Path more than 60,000 Peruvians lost their lives with billions of dollars of economic and infrastructural losses. More than half of rural Peru had become a no-go area for the government. The Peruvians had no resources to take any counterterrorism measures. Terrorism is generally considered a weapon of the weak, with very little resources required to conduct acts of terrorism. Simply put, terrorism is cheap whereas counterterrorism is very expensive. But the Peruvian had faith in the leadership of their then prime minister Alberto...

China assures successful accomplishment of Economic Corridor

China assured all out support to Pakistan for the successful accomplishment of new avenues including the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) project, Radio Pakistan reported. The assurance was given by Chinese Assistant Minister of Foreign Affairs on South Asia Affairs Mr Liu Jian Chao at a meeting with Chief of the Air Staff, Sohail Aman in Beijing. Read: Pakistan dismisses India’s concern over China-Pakistan Economic Corridor On the occasion, the Air Chief asserted that this strategic cooperation would yield far-reaching economic benefits and regional security was instrumental for this purpose. Chief Marshal Aman further emphasised on the contributions of the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) in eliminating terrorism from the country as he believed that PAF played a lead role in destroying terrorists’ hideouts. Read: Economic corridor: Pakistan spurns ‘frustrating’ objections from India Air Chief Marshal also held a meeting with Vice-Chairmen Central Military Commission General Fan Changlong and discussed matters of professional interest. Published on Express Tribune, June 03, 2015 

Money laundering and the West

The European Union (EU) and Switzerland signed a tax transparency agreement late last month that will put an end to Swiss banking secrecy for EU residents. The two sides will start sharing data on residents’ financial accounts from 2018. The data will include names, addresses, tax identification numbers and dates of birth, as well as a broad set of other financial and account balance information, according to the agreement. Work on similar deals with small princely states such as Andorra, Liechtenstein, Monaco and San Marino, some of the most favoured tax havens and parking lots for dirty funds, are also underway. Notorious current and ex-rulers can easily stash funds there without disclosing their source. Not only have members of ruling elites from Pakistan, India, most African countries and the Gulf abused the Swiss laws and off-shore companies hidden ill-gotten money, even celebrities such as Boris Becker, John McEnroe did the same, without declaring their funds at home. These Western celebrities often paid heavily for non-declaration of funds in Switzerland or in the accounts of off-shore companies because financial accountability and the rule of law hardly leaves anybody off the hook. But extremely poor law-enforcement and little accountability, say in Pakistan, kept encouraging politicians, businessmen, indenters and generals to stash huge funds in Swiss and French, or Cayman Island accounts. The infamous Cotecna cases involving former premier Benazir Bhutto were a case in point. Her family has had bank accounts in France since the mid-1970s. Similarly, a former air chief too had maintained an account in the Paris branch of a local bank since the late 1970s. This was the time when Pakistan purchased the first batch of Mirage fighter aircraft from France. But following years of criticism, Switzerland is gradually caving in to international demands for opening its banks to international scrutiny as part of a global campaign against slush funds. Until recently,...

War-related Death, Injury, and Displacement in Afghanistan and Pakistan 2001-2014

Courtesy: Watson Institute for International Studies, Brown University. Summary This report summarizes the separate toll of war on civilians in Afghanistan and Pakistan and describes some of the ways the wars in each of those countries, while still having distinct features and dynamics, have become one larger conflict.2 The two wars are linked in several ways. Afghan civilians have fled the war to neighboring states, including Pakistan, in large numbers. United States drone strikes in Pakistan are in service of both the larger war on terror and aimed to kill anti-government militants in Pakistan who have fled from Afghanistan or who are attempting to destabilize and overthrow Afghanistan's government. Drone strikes kill Pakistani civilians as well as their intended targets. The US also supports Pakistan's ground and air war against militant organizations, such as the Pakistani Taliban, which has led to growing numbers of civilian casualties in Pakistan. Pakistan's attacks on militants have also included cross-border shelling into Afghanistan, which has led to displacement and caused some deaths and injuries in Afghanistan. Finally, international military forces have transported food, fuel, and equipment through Pakistan to Afghanistan, and militants have repeatedly attacked the vehicles, leading to civilian deaths. This report describes the two kinds of war-related death and injury: direct deaths due to violence, and deaths caused indirectly due to the effects of the destruction of infrastructure and displacement. The focus is on direct deaths since it is very difficult to estimate the toll of indirect death in Afghanistan and Pakistan (AfPak). Although the US stated in December 2014 that it would soon withdraw from Afghanistan, the war there has grown in destructiveness over the past year and the Obama administration announced on 24 March 2015 that it would keep the same level of troops in Afghanistan through 2015. By contrast, the war in Pakistan has seen...

Encirclement of Pakistan: What awaits Pakistan under the Growing Indo-Afghan Relations?

For years, particularly since the unfolding of the anti-terror war in October 2001, apprehensions of encirclement by India and Afghanistan have been growing. For most of the time, Pakistan's security apparatus viewed the growing Indo-Afghan American relations as an unusual “Pakistan-focused nexus” meant to “encircle” Pakistan. Much of Pakistan’s security doctrine has since aimed at preempting and neutralizing those threats emanating from its western and eastern borders. However, those apprehensions have assumed alarming levels in view of the recent string of intimidating statements from the Indian prime minister to the defense and foreign ministers as well as the national security advisor. These have not only evoked strong reaction from Pakistan’s military and the civilian leadership, but also alarmed external players such as the United States, which believes growing Indo-Pak tensions, will also play out in Afghanistan and undermine President Ashraf Ghani’s peace mission. Download

Corruption, Nation-building and Money-Laundering

Consider this: the total annual cost for the combined 352,000 strong Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) – comprising ministries of Defense and Interior - is $5.5 billion a year. After investing billions on the Afghan security apparatus since 2003, the US DOD has no direct oversight of Afghan National Army’s (ANA) personnel data. Neither has the Afghan MOD an electronic payroll data system. Instead, it calculates ANA salaries by hand, leaving limited assurances that personnel receive accurate salaries. This is no fiction, rather part of a testimony and regular reports from the office of John F. Sopko, US Special Inspector General for Afghan Reconstruction (SIGAR). In its April 2015 Quarterly Report to Congress, SIGAR concludes that absence of electronic records means minimal oversight of US funding for ANA salaries, making it difficult to ensure the funds are being used to pay authorized ANA personnel their correct salaries. Despite over13 years of engagement with the US-led coalition forces the ANA attendance data, upon which U.S.-funding for salaries relies, is minimally controlled, inconsistently collected, and lacking direct oversight. Emma Sky, a British civilian who volunteered to help rebuild Iraq after the overthrow of Saddam Hussein in 2003 has similar tales to tell in her book, The Unraveling: High Hopes and Missed Opportunities in Iraq. Sky details how and why the Iraq adventure failed. In a brilliant recap of her several years of volunteerism in Iran , Sky exposes the failures of the policies of both American Republicans and Democrats, and the lessons that must be learned about the limitations of power. The book provides an eyewitness account on American efforts to transform a country which had reeled from decades of war, sanctions, and brutal dictatorship before descending into the current insurgencies and civil war. She also explains how the West-favorued corrupt political elites used sectarianism to mobilize external support for themselves in the...

Inaction plan

The attack on innocent schoolchildren in Peshawar in December 2014 was an unprecedented wake up call for both civil society and the government. The National Action Plan (NAP), a 20-point set of strategies/objectives designed to eliminate and retard the growth of extremism and terrorism was enacted within two weeks. Nearly a half year later, Tariq Khosa looks at where the NAP stands now, and why momentum on it seems to have all but died out. Terrorists cannot demoralise the nation. The war will continue till the elimination of the last terrorist. Thus spoke the interior minister recently — after some weeks in hibernation. Reassuring? Or are words all he has? He was declared the counterterrorism czar in January this year by the prime minister in a meeting to discuss the implementation of the National Action Plan (NAP) when it was decided that the interior minister would lead the effort to implement the 20-point counterterrorism (CT) strategy and ensure proper coordination with all stakeholders. It is now time to point out the inadequacies of certain aspects of the CT policy being pursued and also highlight the lack of progress in implementing NAP in its true spirit. The snake-pit of militancy needs to be cleared. Firstly, over 100 convicts have been hanged in five months since the Dec 16 carnage at the Army Public School, Peshawar. Has capital punishment deterred diehard terrorists? All I can say with my experience of more than 40 years in law enforcement is that it is the certainty and not the severity of punishment that deters criminals or reduces criminality. As long as loopholes exist in our justice system, death by hanging will not work. Second, NAP emphasised that no armed militias would be allowed to function in the country. While the interior ministry has banned issuance of arms licences, some provinces are generously distributing licences of even prohibited-bore weapons. There is no policy of firm gun control in any province. No wonder violence cannot be...

China Pakistan Economic Corridor

The China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is a development mega project which aims to connect Gwadar Port in southwestern Pakistan to China’s northwestern autonomous region of Xinjiang, via a network of highways, railways and pipelines to transport oil and gas. The economic corridor is considered central to China–Pakistan relations and will run about 3,000 km from Gwadar to Kashgar. Overall construction costs are estimated at $46 billion, with the entire project expected to be completed in several years. The Corridor is an extension of China’s proposed 21st century Silk Road initiative. According to a First post report, “this is the biggest overseas investment by China announced yet and the corridor is expected to be operational within three years and will be a strategic game changer in the region, which would go a long way in making Pakistan a richer and stronger entity than ever before.” The announcement of an economic corridor between China and Pakistan linking Kasghar and Gwadar through multi-modal communication lines is an encouraging sign for a weakened economy and is a long awaited step in the right direction. The government is en-cashing on the historically friendly relations between the two countries termed as higher than mountains and deeper than oceans. Now comes the vision and desire to link these mountains and oceans with trade goods and economic opportunities freely flowing to and fro. Pakistan has long been involved and immersed in management of internal and regional security issues but now the time has come to take a turn in the right direction for welfare and prosperity of its people. Opportunity of having an economic corridor for the west China region can put us on a track of economic and trade development, provided that we prove ourselves equal to the task and are able to plan and manage accordingly. We can reap the fruits of our strategic location on the world map by appropriately moving ahead with consistency in policy formulation,...

Targeted: What’s Behind the Militant Assault on Pakistan’s Minorities

Minorities in Pakistan have been under attack for years. In the months since the atrocious attack on school children in Peshawar, that left 141 dead, 132 of them children, Pakistani authorities enacted the National Action Plan (NAP), a comprehensive document of interventions designed to combat and eradicate militancy in the country. Since the NAP came into effect, however, the focus of terror attacks has increasingly and visibly shifted from the general population and civil-military infrastructure to minorities. On May 13, 2015, a bus carrying members of the Ismaili community, a Shia sub-sect, was attacked by gunmen on motorcycles, killing 45 people, and injuring another 19. The youngest victim was 16 years old. Police reports and eyewitness accounts establish that six gunmen surrounded the bus, and then boarded it. They separated very young children from the rest of the passengers, and told everyone to bow their heads. They then shot the separated passengers using 9mm pistols. The attackers managed to flee the scene. This is the worst attack against Ismailis in the history of Pakistan. The Ismailis are widely recognized as a patriotic, peaceful community, largely apolitical, middle-class, and well educated. In the past, isolated incidents have occurred, such as the bombing at Aisha Manzil in Karachi in 2013, which killed four people and injured 42 others. Flare-ups in the northern Chitral Valley and Gilgit-Baltistan regions, where a large concentration of Ismailis reside, have resulted in casualties in the past, but nothing on the scale of the May 13 attack. Within hours of the attack, several banned groups clamored to claim responsibility. The first was Jundullah, a splinter group of the proscribed Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). Initially affiliated with al-Qaeda, the group has claimed responsibility for multiple terror attacks, especially on minorities, often without any real evidence to prove their involvement. In November 2014, the group changed its...

‘Outrageous’ intelligence deal

In a bizarre though expected display of their contemptuous opposition to Pakistan, a large number of Afghans took umbrage to the recentMemorandum of Understanding (MoU) on counter-terror and security cooperation between the ISI and Afghanistan’s National Directorate of Security (NDS). The head of the NDS, Rahmatullah Nabil, who refused to sign the MoU, his predecessor, Amrullah Saleh, sitting parliamentarians and former president Hamid Karzai joined the chorus against what they likened to a treasonous act. Their reaction has exposed their deep-rooted dislike, if not contempt, of Pakistan. Even Indian National Security Adviser Ajit Doval jumped into the fray to run down the ISI-NDS. The vitriolic reaction defied logic and also exposed the lobbies that are at work against any fence-mending between Afghanistan and Pakistan. The denouncement of the MoU and the calls to cancel it literally stopped short of questioning Afghan President Ashraf Ghani’s integrity and commitment to the country by running down his attempts to smooth off the fractious relationship with Pakistan. All the Afghan detractors of the MoU essentially wishfully want Pakistan to eliminate all non-state actors and snap their social support with a single click; i.e., a precondition for any cooperation deal. This desire naively overestimates their own state’s internal divisions — within the unity government as well as among insurgent groups. Their proposition also grossly underestimates the likely internal blowback in case Pakistan goes all out after the Afghan Taliban by using their businesses and families residing there to pressure them into talks. Pakistan certainly has leverage but this leverage cannot be invoked at the cost of sociopolitical sensitivities on both sides of the border. The country has already enough fires to extinguish and should not be expected to add more to its raging troubles. Recent discussions with stakeholders in Washington and Beijing also entailed a more sympathetic view of...

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TESTIMONIALS

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I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.

Soniya Shams

Shaheed Benazir Bhutto Women University, Peshawar