Current Projects

Counter Terrorism: The Sri Lankan Way

Until May 2009, Sri Lanka was one of the worst-affected countries by terrorism. The island nation struggled against the scourge for more than three decades. Formed in 1975,the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Elam (LTTE) wrought havoc across Sri Lanka before it was finally smashed in a three-pronged attack in 2009. The nationalist-separatist movement was striving for the creation of an independent homeland ‘Elam’ for the Tamils of northern Sri Lanka. During the thirty year terror campaign of LTTE,  70,000 people lost their lives in 2,953 terrorist incidents (Global Terrorism Database, National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism). The LTTE was formed to the backdrop of ethnic violence with roots in the Sinhala-Tamil language riots of 1958, more than 300 people, mostly minority Tamils, lost their lives in the riots. The deep rooted hatred between the two communities paved the way for the emergence of several Tamil terror groups in Sri Lanka by the mid-1970s. The Velupillai Prabhakaren-led LTTE managed to wipe out all other Tamil violent groups, claiming to be the sole representative for the rights of the Tamil community. Though initially the LTTE restricted itself to acts of terrorism, it gradually managed to carve out large swaths of territories in northern and eastern Sri Lanka, with capital of the de facto state at Kilinochi. At its peak the LTTE had a force of 25,000 men and women, with about $300 million annual revenues. The LTTE had its own training facilities, a small navy comprising of few customized gun boats and an air force with two light Cessna aircrafts, which were occasionally used for manually dropping bombs in aid of ground troops.The LTTE Special Forces called Black Tigers reported directly to Prabhakaran and were the primary force behind its suicide attacks. By early 1980s and 1990s the LTTE was sending waves of suicide bombers to hit military and civilian targets in the Sri Lankan cities. The Black Tigers were successful in...

A Money-Making Mill

Is there another financial fraud in the making around the Pakistan Steel Mills (PSM)? This question flows straight from the recommendations of the financial advisers appointed by the government on the transaction structure for the PSM sale. The advisers say that an initial investment of $289 million, uninterrupted power supply and a new management could turn around the PSM’s fortunes and it could become a profitable enterprise before its eventual privatisation. The advisers have proposed a mouth-watering three-phase development and expansion plan, with a capital investment of $885 million in three phases, a fantastically construed plan that palpably aims at minting money from a company that is currently reeling under losses and liabilities running into billions. “The way for the PSM to achieve three-phased transformation and revitalisation is through privatisation, formation of a new management team and overall optimisation of the supply chain,” said the advisers. Interestingly, back in August 2013, the Economic Coordination Committee (ECC) was informed that the PSM could be turned around with Rs28.5 billion to fetch a better price for its privatisation or else it would “close by the end of September”. At the time it was running at 11 per cent capacity. Ever since then, the steel mill has not run beyond 20 per cent of its actual 2.2 million tonnes/year capacity. Today, its entire working capital stock is gone, with no hope of revival. Reportedly, as of July 31, 2015, the cumulative losses and debt liabilities have reached a staggering Rs325 billion. Successive chairmen, their cronies, contractors and suppliers have all prospered, but the PSM itself has continued to bleed. Strangely, the latest recommendations by the advisers run contrary to a recent summary from the ECC. “The present state of PSM was due to unchecked corruption, inefficiency, over-employment and government’s lukewarm attitude towards its revival,” the summary had said. A black, bottomless pit...

A French Revolution in India

I do not want to sound alarmist, but it looks to me that some kind of French Revolution is inevitably coming about in India. Consider the facts. All our state institutions have become hollow and empty shells, and the constitution seems to have exhausted itself. The last two weeks have shown that we have a parliament that hardly functions, with its members shouting and screaming, often all at the same time, and hardly any meaningful debate is held or business transacted there. When the UPA was in power, BJP members were disrupting the functioning of the House, and when the NDA is in power, the Congress and others are doing the same. It seems the same thing will be repeated in the winter session of parliament, then in the budget session, and so on ad infinitum. Moreover, a large number of our MPs have criminal antecedents. We have politicians who are mostly incorrigible rogues and rascals with no genuine love for India, but who have looted the country, taking much of the country’s wealth to secret foreign banks and havens, and who know how to manipulate caste and communal vote banks, often by inciting caste or religious riots. Our bureaucracy has largely become corrupt, and so has a section of the judiciary, which takes an inordinate time to decide cases. Our democracy has been hijacked by the feudals, and now elections in most places are held on the basis of caste and religious vote banks, and no one bothers about the merit of the candidate. There is massive poverty in India, massive unemployment (see my blog ‘Unemployment in India’ on justicekatju.blogspot.in ), massive malnourishment (see my blog ‘Malnourishment in India’), etc. It is estimated that ten million youth are entering the job market every year, but only half a million jobs are created in the organised sector of the economy. So what do the remaining youth do? They become hawkers, street vendors, stringers, bouncers, criminals, prostitutes or beggars. Healthcare is almost nonexistent for our masses (see...

Delhi is literally a shithole; but so is all of India

In his 1960 exploration of eastern mysticism, The Lotus and the Robot, Arthur Koestler compared the smell of Bombay to that of “a wet smelly diaper” wrapped around his head. Four years later, VS Naipaul was so revulsed about the filth in India that he wrote in an Area of Darkness that “Indians defecate everywhere ” -beside the railway tracks, on the beaches, on the hills, on the riverbanks and on the streets. “They never look for cover,” he said with absolute disgust. India was smarter than Koestler and Naipaul — it promptly banned both the books. When the South Asia correspondent of New York Times, Gardiner Harris, wrote on 29 May (Holding Your Breath in India) — that Delhi is an unliveable place because of pollution and that he left the city to safeguard his son’s health, the outrage was similar. There was no possibility of banning an article on the Internet, but angry Indians took to social media and slammed Harris for being an elitist expat. Some said while he was over-protective over his child, he had scant regard for the Indian children in Delhi who had no option but to live there, little realising that his voice was that of a frustrated father, who doesn’t have to put his family through the perils of living in a dirty city. Harris wrote: “Foreigners have lived in Delhi for centuries, of course, but the air and the mounting research into its effects have become so frightening that some feel it is unethical for those who have a choice to willingly raise children here. Similar discussions are doubtless underway in Beijing and other Asian megacities, but it is in Delhi — among the most populous, polluted, unsanitary and bacterially unsafe cities on earth — where the new calculus seems most urgent.” He hits where it hurts. The capital of a super power aspirant, a country which is projected to become the world’s third biggest economy in 2020, has been described as “among the most populous, polluted, unsanitary and bacterially unsafe cities on earth”. He also goes...

Modi in a Muddle

The emotional outbursts following the canceled meeting between the Indian and Pakistani national security advisers have given way to a more rational assessment of what went wrong. It has probably dawned on the hawks in Delhi that they had associated unrealistic expectations with the Ufa declaration. Some Indian analysts, such as Siddharth Varadarajan and Venod Sharma, agree that while India pulled a coup in Russia by making Pakistan agree to discuss terrorism “only”, it was grossly naive on their part to assume that Islamabad would skip the issue altogether. Rather than being restricted to a one-point agenda, the Ufa declaration should have been a package – the way such agreements have been in the past, they say. Some were apprehensive much before the talks were scheduled. The Indian establishment “erred in plugging it as a Pakistani capitulation of sorts by saying things like Kashmir wasn’t mentioned”, Shekhar Gupta wrote in India Today on July 16. He went on to recall what leading BJP leaders have been saying about dealing with Pakistan. “Will it be ten heads for a head, as Sushma Swaraj said once, or kill five for one, as Rajnath Singh says to his BSF troops now? Or will it be to bring Pakistan to the negotiating table? That’s a call Narendra Modi has to make. And if his call is the latter, he has to press on, ignoring tactical distractions and keeping his political capital for the big decision.” India and Pakistan ignored their sociopolitical conditions in the Ufa declaration Gupta cited President Barack Obama’s deals with Iran and Cuba as examples of big decisions. “Obama chose his big objectives early enough: settling the nuclear disputes with Iran, normalising relations with Cuba, and on the domestic front, Obama-care. Once this course was set, he started pulling out of existing distractions, Iraq and Afghanistan included, stayed generally out of Ukraine, whatever the provocation, and left the North Koreans in their not-so-splendid, self-imposed isolation.”...

Monthly drone report, August 2015

There were more US air strikes reported in Afghanistan in August than Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia combined. More than half the 32 reported attacks in Afghanistan came in the space of a week. The US was providing air support to Afghan security forces trying to stop a second district in the southern province of Helmand falling under Taliban control. 1. Pakistan Pakistan: CIA drone strikes All strikes, August 2015 All strikes, 2015 to date All strikes, 2004 to date CIA drone strikes 1 12 420 Total reported killed 4-7 55-79 2,471-3,983 Civilians reported killed 0 2-5 423-965 Children reported killed 0 0 172-207 Total reported injured 0 21-28 1,154-1,734 The first CIA drone strike in Pakistan in 61 days reportedly killed between four and seven Haqqani Network fighters on August 6. The alleged militants were killed when the drones destroyed a house in the Datta Khel area of North Waziristan, Pakistani media reported. This was the only drone strike reported in August. The CIA drone campaign in Pakistan has slowed since the end of January this year – when five strikes reportedly killed at least 26 people. Seven strikes have killed at least 29 people since the start of February. During this time, the Pakistan military has continued its air and ground attacks on the various armed groups in the tribal areas. Several Pakistani air strikes reportedly killed scores of people in August, including a series of attacks on August 17, which killed at least 65 people, and  two onAugust 19 that left as many as 43 dead. US-Pakistani relations showed further signs of strain last month, with Washington threatening to withhold $300m in military assistance unless Islamabad did more to tackle the Haqqani network. The US has said it believes the network is behind a recent increase in terrorist attacks in Afghanistan. In response to the US complaints, Pakistan insisted the network had been disrupted. 2. Afghanistan Afghanistan: US drone and air strikes All reported strikes, August 2015...

Sabawoon Showcase: Women in Business

“Sabawoon” (Dawn) is CRSS flagship and popular radio show aired from Peshawar for the entire Khyber Pukhtunkhwa, and FATA regions. It has been designed to inculcate respect for human rights values, underscore the need for good governance, create greater awareness for democratic and governance reforms in democratic institutions, and to create avenues for the public to participate in policy-making either through formal institutions or informal consultations. The program on Thursday, August 27, 2015 focused on women in business in the Khyber Pukhtunkhwa, and a local businesswoman, Laziza Arbab joined the host in the studio for a candid discussion.

Heinous Crimes Report – January – June 2015

INTRODUCTION Since May 2014, The Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) began collecting data on heinous crimes from the local press covering the national spectrum. These are the crimes committed by those who, in most of the cases, are not necessarily career criminals or militants. Yet, they indulge in such  offences because of the values and traditions they consider as a license for their crimes.

Counterterror in K-P and FATA: A Turnaround?

Flanked by tribal areas from three sides, the Peshawar region experienced death, destruction and trauma between 2009 and 2013. During this turbulent period, terrorists, militants and criminals piled misery on the city as state security institutions were in retreat. Recurring violence forced most senior police officials to give up their designated areas of duty and retreat into the police lines in the heart of Peshawar — more or less the way paramilitary forces had opted to give up control of many of their installations in Waziristan in those traumatic years. But the last 18 months have seen a remarkable turnaround as themilitary pounded and degraded the TTP-affiliated groups spread all over Fata and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (K-P), and the police in K-P regained considerable ground it had lost to the TTP and the dubious Lashkar-e-Islam. Terrorist incidents in the first eight months of 2015, for instance, have gone down from a total of 383 in 2014 to 153. Casualties as a result of terrorist violence in K-P stand at about 75 compared to the 145 in 2014. This marks a decline of 60 per cent and 70 per cent, respectively. Similarly, abductions for ransom have decreased by 45 per cent. The combination of surgical military operations in Fata as part of Operation Zarb-e-Azb, and a proactive police force led by an autonomous police chief — Nasir Durrani — appears to have considerably dented the ability of terrorist and criminal gangs. A combination of defensive and offensive measures has helped the authorities preempt, prevent and discourage non-state actors who once operated without much fear. This may be the proverbial lull before the storm but residents of Peshawar, Dera Ismail Khan, the second largest city in K-P, acknowledge the improved policing. Both the military and the police in K-P also suffered because of HajiMangal Bagh, the head of the double-gaming Lashkar-e-Islam nestled in the Khyber Agency. But the anvil and hammer — the military acting as the latter — strategy...

China Praises ‘True Friend’ Pakistan

India refuses to send troops for military parade Monday, August 31, 2015 - Beijing/New Delhi—The Beijing military parade next week will see as many as 1,000 foreign troops from 17 countries march in China for the first time alongside the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), which will hold a rare public display of some of its most advanced battle-tanks, bombers and missiles. China had earlier this year offered India, as well as Pakistan and several other countries, to send high-level representation as well as a contingent of 75 troops for the parade, which will mark the 70th anniversary of the end of the Second World War. Chinese officials had sought the attendance India of President Pranab Mukherjee, who attended Russia’s parade marking the event in May when Indian troops also participated along with those from Azerbaijan, Armenia, Belarus, China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Mongolia and Serbia. New Delhi, however, has rejected China’s request. No Indian troops will participate, while Minister of State for External Affairs General (retd.) VK Singh will be the only top representative from Delhi - representation far lower than Beijing had asked for. Indian media said , participation would have meant the unusual occurrence of Indian troops marching side-by-side with troops from Pakistan. China had invited Pakistan around the same time that it had reached out to New Delhi. Pakistan has sent a contingent of 75 troops - whose rehearsals have been praised and covered widely in the Chinese media and on social media - while President Mamnoon Hussain will likely attend. Among the other heads of state present in Beijing next week are Russian President Vladimir Putin, South Korea’s Park Geun-hye, South Africa’s Jacob Zuma, Myanmar President Thein Sein and Vietnamese President Truong Tan Sang. Troops fromBelarus, Cuba, Egypt, Kazakhstan, Kyrghyzstan, Mexico, Mongolia, Pakistan, Serbia, Tajikistan and Russia will participate. The view in Beijing is that only “true friends”...

TOP STORIES

TESTIMONIALS

I am also a member of National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Information and Broadcasting. Recently, we held a meeting with the Director General of Radio Pakistan and we told them to initiate such local programs (like Constituency Hour) in regional languages to educate and inform people. Even Indian Radio can be heard in FATA which is being used for propaganda purposes and must be closed. Therefore, we should launch some standard and quality programs like CRSS that will change the taste of the listeners.

Soniya Shams

Shaheed Benazir Bhutto Women University, Peshawar